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ARST

Arkansas State 24 at Memphis 37

MEM
2020 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2020 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:30 · Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dahu Green for 8 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 194Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+27.9Score differential+11.5Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:24: Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +6.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:05: Blake Grupe 28 yd FG GOOD — ARST win probability +3.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:03: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson PAT MISSED) — MEM win probability +5.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:33: Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:42: Logan Bonner pass complete to TW Ayers for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ARST win probability +7.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ARST made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 4:30ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:21MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:00MEM 4th & 7 at ARST 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:53ARST 4th & 26 at ARST 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:17MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:05ARST 4th & 4 at MEM 11, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:00MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 23, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:43MEM 4th & 7 at ARST 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:17ARST 4th & 3 at MEM 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:44MEM 4th & 10 at ARST 41, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:30ARST 4th & 4 at MEM 25, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:45ARST 4th & 4 at MEM 11, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:36ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:53MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:05ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:49MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:24MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:03MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:33MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:42ARST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1512% → 14%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.3%
Jamal Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
88.2%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
88.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 8 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
88.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Reed Tyler for 8 yds to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+10
87.8%
Jamal Jones run for 10 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
87.7%
Jamal Jones run for 9 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
87.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 4 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
87.5%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
87.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 9 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
87.0%
Ryan Graham run for 3 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
86.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Sylvonta Oliver) to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
86.8%
Ryan Graham run for 5 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.0%
Ryan Graham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:4386% → 86%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
86.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 16 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
86.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 9 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
86.2%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
86.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 1
50
+6
86.2%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 6 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
86.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 11 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
85.9%
Brady White run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
85.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+11
85.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
84.8%
Brady White run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 12 Brady White fumbled, recovered by Memph Brady WhiteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
86.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 12 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0015% → 15%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.3%
Jamal Jones run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-2
84.9%
Logan Bonner run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
85.1%
Logan Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
85.2%
TEAM punt for 27 yds, downed (blocked by Rodrigues Clark)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0285% → 84%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
85.4%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 3 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-3
85.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 7 yds to the MEMPHIS 48 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 42Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
84.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
84.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
84.3%
Adam Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the ArkSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:1016% → 21%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
84.4%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+39
84.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dahu Green for 39 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
83.1%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+10
82.9%
Jamal Jones run for 10 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.6%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+25
82.5%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 25 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
82.3%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 5 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.2%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:0180% → 84%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
80.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 11 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
80.1%
Cameron Fleming run for 6 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+2
80.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+5
80.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
80.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 22 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
80.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+5
79.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
80.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
80.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
83.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 14 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:5718% → 19%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
81.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 12 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
81.5%
Jamal Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
81.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
81.4%
Logan Bonner pass intercepted Xavier Cullens return for no gain to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3883% → 82%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
83.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
83.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+2
83.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
82.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+54
81.8%
Riley Patterson 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 2:5920% → 21%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
79.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 12 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
79.1%
Jamal Jones run for 6 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-16
78.7%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jarrett Horst) to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+26
80.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 26 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
78.7%
Logan Bonner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 40 Logan Bonner fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Logan BonnerSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+2
79.1%
Logan Bonner run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-10
79.3%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wyatt Luebke) to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 22
OPP 48
0
78.1%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jamal JonesSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 22
OPP 48
-4
78.8%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 26
OWN 48
0
78.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1380% → 79%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
79.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+17
79.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 17 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 4 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
80.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
80.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
78.5%
Adam Williams punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the ArkSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:5423% → 27%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
76.7%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
76.8%
Jamal Jones run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+11
77.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Giles Amos for 11 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
76.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 8 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+12
74.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 12 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
73.4%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
73.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-11
73.5%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Morris Joseph for a loss of 11 yards to the ArkSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 1:3677% → 86%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
77.3%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 19Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
76.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+15
75.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
77.2%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 12 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
78.7%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the Memph 47 MEMPHIS Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Brady White) to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+16
77.2%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
79.1%
Brady White run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
79.9%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Taylon Doss) to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
79.9%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds to the ArkSt 9Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
85.7%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.1%
Lincoln Pare run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1184% → 84%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
84.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-1
84.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 17Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
83.5%
Brady White pass intercepted Detravion Green return for no gain to the Memph 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2519% → 23%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
80.7%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+8
81.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 8 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-7
80.3%
Logan Bonner sacked by Xavier Cullens for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+14
81.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jamal Jones for 14 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-1
81.3%
Jamal Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 11Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
77.5%
Blake Grupe 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0083% → 89%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
50
-5
82.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+7
81.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
82.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+9
82.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
83.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+7
83.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 7 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
83.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
88.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:1813% → 12%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.8%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 17 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
86.1%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 18
OWN 34
0
87.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Javan Hawes for no gain to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+14
87.8%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Reed Tyler for 14 yds Reed Tyler fumbled, recovered by Memph Cole MashburnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:4289% → 96%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
88.7%
Brady White run for 18 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
88.9%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
88.9%
Kylan Watkins run for no gain to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+18
88.3%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 18 yds to the ArkSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
89.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 2Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
89.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 7Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.7%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:415% → 5%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
94.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Giles Amos for 4 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+13
94.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 13 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.8%
Logan Bonner pass intercepted Sylvonta Oliver return for no gain to the Memph 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20FG
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:3296% → 99%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
95.6%
Brady White pass complete to Asa Martin for 4 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
95.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-2
95.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+25
95.3%
Joseph Dorceus run for 25 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
96.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+3
96.1%
Timothy Taylor run for 3 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+5
96.1%
Timothy Taylor run for 5 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+13
96.2%
Brady White pass complete to Timothy Taylor for 13 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kylan WatkinsSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+38
96.9%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 38 yds to the ArkSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 7 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Memph Brady WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Marcayll JonesSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
98.9%
Riley Patterson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 3:411% → 8%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.9%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
99.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Giles Amos for 6 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+6
99.0%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.0%
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+13
99.0%
Lincoln Pare run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.0%
Lincoln Pare run for 7 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
98.9%
Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
99.0%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+8
99.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Dahu Green for 8 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Joseph Dorceus) to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
98.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Roughing Passer (12 Yards) to the Memph 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Bubba OgbeborSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
98.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyrez Lindsey) to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Delay of Game (1 Yards) to the Memph 1Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to TW Ayers for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22PUNT
14 plays · 24 yds · 3:5196% → 97%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
96.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
96.3%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 6 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
96.6%
Kylan Watkins run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 46Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-3
96.6%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
97.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
97.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 7 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-13
97.6%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 13 yards to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+6
97.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 6 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Adam Williams punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:561% → 2%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jamal Jones for 2 yds to the ArkSt 19Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+6
98.6%
Layne Hatcher run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+6
98.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dahu Green for 6 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+38
98.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dahu Green for 38 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
98.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Reed Tyler for 6 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
98.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jamal Jones for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+8
98.5%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dahu Green for 8 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 6 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
98.0%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Bubba OgbeborSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
98.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Reed TylerSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 4
OPP 11
0
98.3%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24Uncategorized
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1098% → 98%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 10Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 9Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 12
OWN 9
-1
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:42
Logan Bonner pass complete to TW Ayers for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
-7
TD · Q3 3:33
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 0:24
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com