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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at Boise State 31

BOIS
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2019 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:37: Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John Hightower — BOIS win probability +5.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:07: Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 36 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:14: Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 36 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:09: Khalil Shakir run for 4 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:00: Miles Reed run for 21 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:36BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:44HAW 4th & 5 at BOIS 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:30BOIS 4th & 15 at HAW 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53HAW 4th & 1 at BOIS 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35HAW 4th & 1 at BOIS 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:10BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07BOIS 4th & 4 at HAW 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:38HAW 4th & 18 at HAW 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:12HAW 4th & 5 at BOIS 5, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:20BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:03HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:30BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:08HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 42, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:37BOIS 4th & 10 at HAW 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 1:07BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:14BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:09BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:18BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:00HAW Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1381% → 80%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
80.4%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
80.2%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
80.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FG
14 plays · 35 yds · 6:3620% → 23%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
80.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
79.8%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-10
79.6%
McDonald, Cole rush for 4 yards to the HAWAII48, PENALTY HAWAII holding 10 yards to the HAWAII34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+11
79.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 11 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
79.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 2 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
79.0%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+10
79.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 10 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
78.6%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
78.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 12 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
77.9%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
77.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-1
77.8%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+5
78.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Scale Igiehon) to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
77.5%
Ryan Meskell 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 6:1178% → 76%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.5%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Matt Pistone for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
77.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Bates for 10 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.6%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Akilian Butler for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
77.5%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 8 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
77.4%
Robert Mahone run for 7 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
77.3%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+12
77.0%
Jaylon Henderson run for 12 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
77.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 3 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
77.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+6
76.4%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
76.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-7
76.6%
Jaylon Henderson sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
75.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
76.0%
Eric Sachse 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 5:4424% → 28%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
75.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
74.7%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
74.8%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+45
75.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 45 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
73.0%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
72.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+7
73.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+4
72.9%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
71.4%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
71.1%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Ilm Manning) to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+13
71.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 13 yds to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.7%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.6%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 4:1074% → 72%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
73.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+8
73.4%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Octavius Evans for 8 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+5
72.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
73.3%
George Holani run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
73.5%
Khalil Shakir run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-1
74.4%
Robert Mahone run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
72.6%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to CT Thomas for no gain to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+11
71.7%
Joel Velazquez punt for 46 yds , JoJo Ward returns for 11 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:2331% → 34%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+25
69.9%
Miles Reed run for 25 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
66.9%
Cole McDonald run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
66.2%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted, touchback. Kekoa Nawahine return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3072% → 80%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
71.7%
Jaylon Henderson run for 21 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.2%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+17
72.4%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 17 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
74.0%
Jaylon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
73.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+2
73.1%
Jaylon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+36
79.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 36 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:1721% → 20%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
78.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 3 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
78.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-11
79.5%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 18
OWN 16
+3
80.4%
Ben Scruton punt for 44 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:1681% → 88%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
80.6%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 21 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
88.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 36 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 5:2313% → 12%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
87.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
87.3%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+11
87.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 11 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
86.9%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
87.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-5
88.1%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+46
88.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 46 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
85.6%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
85.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+13
86.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3591% → 90%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
90.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 9
0
90.6%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
90.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+49
89.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 49 yds , JoJo Ward returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1211% → 10%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
89.2%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-5
89.0%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Gene Pryor) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
89.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+6
90.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 44 yds , Avery Williams returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:4192% → 99%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
91.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+11
91.7%
George Holani run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
91.9%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+16
91.9%
Henderson, Jaylon pass incomplete to Evans, Octavius, PENALTY HAWAII pass interference (Farris II, Rojesterman) 16 yards to the HAWAII49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
92.7%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Bates for 17 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
93.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to George Holani for 13 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
93.2%
Jaylon Henderson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
93.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 5 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+4
94.4%
Jaylon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
94.6%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Robert Mahone for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
94.6%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the Hawa 4Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Khalil Shakir run for 4 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.0%
Cole McDonald sacked by Sonatane Lui for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 9 Cole McDonald fumbled, forced by Sonatane Lui, recovered by BoiSt Demitri Washington , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:2799% → 100%
Q3 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.6%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for 5 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:040% → 2%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 17 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.8%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+19
99.9%
Miles Reed run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
99.8%
Cole McDonald sacked by Demitri Washington for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+19
99.9%
Miles Reed run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.5%
Miles Reed run for 21 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18INT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:5799% → 99%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 9 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.1%
George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.1%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+14
99.2%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 14 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.2%
Akilian Butler run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to George Holani for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+4
99.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass intercepted Kai Kaneshiro return for 4 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 5 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 5
OWN 42
-6
99.3%
Cole McDonald sacked by Sonatane Lui for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:1399% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.4%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
99.5%
Jaylon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
99.7%
Jaylon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.7%
Khalil Shakir pass complete to Garrett Collingham for no gain to the Hawa 17 lat. to John Hightower for 8 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
99.7%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.7%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-3
99.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
John Hightower pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
99.8%
Eric Sachse 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21Uncategorized
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 16 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
99.5%
McDonald, Cole pass incomplete, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference 15 yards to the HAWAII48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 8
50
-5
99.6%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:14
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 36 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 1:07
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 36 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)
+6.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:37
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John Hightower
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com