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GAST

Georgia State 10 at Georgia Southern 38

GASO
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:06 · Dan Ellington sacked by Quin Williams and Gavin Adcock for a loss of 12 yards to the GeoSo 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+30.5Pregame prior+1.8Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.3Blowout margin+16.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:59: Tra Barnett run for 15 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +3.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:24: Shai Werts run for 11 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +2.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:59: J.D. King run for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +8.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:08: Wesley Kennedy III run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +9.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:53: J.D. King run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:50GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 4 at GASO 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−0.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:20GAST 4th & 18 at GASO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:00GASO 4th & 3 at GAST 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:47GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−2.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:08GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:28GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 18, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:43GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:38GAST 4th & 14 at GASO 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:15GAST 4th & 5 at GASO 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:06GAST 4th & 12 at GASO 25, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:17GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 46, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:59GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:24GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:59GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:08GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:53GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:06GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+5
65.2%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
65.2%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Brandon Wright punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
65.1%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+5
65.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
65.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds , Quavian White returns for no gain to the GeoSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:4435% → 39%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+25
65.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 25 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
64.8%
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
64.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+16
64.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 16 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
64.6%
Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
64.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
64.6%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
64.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 17 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
61.2%
Tra Barnett run for 15 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3562% → 66%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
62.1%
Malik Murray run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
62.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
62.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+20
62.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
63.2%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+10
63.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
63.2%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+11
65.6%
Shai Werts run for 11 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5MISSED FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 5:0436% → 37%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
63.5%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
63.5%
Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
63.0%
Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
62.8%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
50
0
62.7%
Dan Ellington run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 9
50
+5
63.3%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+5
62.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
61.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
60.9%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
61.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-8
61.7%
Dan Ellington sacked by Ty Phillips for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 18
OPP 30
+47
63.2%
Brandon Wright 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:2064% → 65%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
63.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 18 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
65.2%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
65.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+10
64.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-1
65.2%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+49
65.2%
Tyler Bass 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.1%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
64.9%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
65.2%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.6%
Brandon Wright punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:0766% → 78%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
65.7%
J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+15
66.4%
S. Werts pass incomplete to D. Carter Jr. (Jones, Jaylon), PENALTY GSU pass interference (Jones, Jaylon) 15 yards to the GS40, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
67.8%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
68.4%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
68.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
69.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+12
69.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 12 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
69.3%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+12
69.2%
NaJee Thompson run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
78.1%
J.D. King run for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:1224% → 22%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
76.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 8 yds to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
75.7%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-5
76.3%
Barnett, Tra rush for 2 yards to the GSU21 (K. Duncan Jr.;R. Wade Jr.), PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GSU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-7
76.7%
Dan Ellington sacked by Randy Wade Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
78.2%
Brandon Wright punt for 58 yds, downed at the GeoSo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
75.7%
Shai Werts sacked by Hardrick Willis for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+6
75.3%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
74.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:3778% → 87%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
78.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 11 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
78.3%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
78.1%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+7
78.1%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
87.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
85.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
86.9%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
86.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 51 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
89.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-4
89.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+4
89.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to J.D. King for 4 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
88.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
87.1%
Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
86.6%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-1
86.7%
Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+1
87.4%
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 3:2392% → 98%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
92.3%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
92.3%
J.D. King run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
92.3%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+13
92.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 13 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
92.3%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
98.2%
J.D. King run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:153% → 3%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
96.6%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to McCoy, C., PENALTY GS holding (K. Vildor) 10 yards to the GSU37, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
96.4%
Destin Coates run for 34 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
95.8%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+8
95.8%
Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.6%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
96.8%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-4
97.1%
Dan Ellington sacked by Lane Ecton and Todd Bradley for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 14
OPP 18
+35
97.5%
Brandon Wright 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.8%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.9%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
98.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood, broken up by Evan JonesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds, downed at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+26
98.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 26 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.2%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
98.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 15 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Destin Coates, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 4:0799% → 100%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
99.3%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
99.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
99.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.4%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
J.D. King run for 30 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
99.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 6 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Donald Rutledge Jr.) to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+24
99.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 24 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-3
99.9%
Dan Ellington sacked by Amaru Herring for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 12
OPP 25
-12
99.9%
Dan Ellington sacked by Quin Williams and Gavin Adcock for a loss of 12 yards to the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 43 yds, downed at the GeoSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
100.0%
Kierston Harvey run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
100.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:08
Wesley Kennedy III run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q2 2:59
J.D. King run for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q3 3:53
J.D. King run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com