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USA

South Alabama 15 at Georgia State 28

GAST
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:05 · Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense+31.1Score differential+19.3Garbage-time factor+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:14: Destin Coates run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +2.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 13:14: Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26 — USA win probability +2.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:39: Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +5.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:52: Tra Barnett run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +8.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:53: Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD (Barry Brown KICK) — GAST win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57USA 4th & 7 at GAST 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:57GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:35USA 4th & 5 at USA 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:14USA 4th & 15 at GAST 35, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44GAST 4th & 7 at USA 30, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:11USA 4th & 2 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07GAST 4th & 9 at USA 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28USA 4th & 1 at USA 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 5 at USA 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:04USA 4th & 16 at USA 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:52USA 4th & 6 at USA 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53USA 4th & 2 at GAST 7, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 22, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:56GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 28, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:05GAST 4th & 4 at USA 45, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:14GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:39GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:52GAST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:53GAST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:56USA Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:49USA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
77.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
77.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
77.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
77.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:5323% → 24%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
77.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 7 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
77.4%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+8
77.4%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
77.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
77.4%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-2
77.4%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+5
77.5%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
76.2%
Diego Guajardo 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.2%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
76.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 10 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
76.4%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-3
76.4%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
76.0%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
76.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 59 yds, downed at the SAlab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
75.4%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+3
75.5%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+4
75.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
75.3%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
75.3%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+12
75.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 12 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
75.2%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
75.1%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
75.2%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
75.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds, downed at the GeoSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:3673% → 76%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
73.2%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+12
73.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 12 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
73.4%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
74.0%
Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
74.0%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
74.2%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+10
73.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 10 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
74.3%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
73.5%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+14
73.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 14 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
74.0%
Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+19
74.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 19 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.4%
Destin Coates run for 6 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
72.9%
Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-1
72.8%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-8
73.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 20 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (Brandon Crum) to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
74.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
75.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:1775% → 82%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
74.6%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
75.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 10 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
75.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 18 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
76.2%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-2
76.2%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+2
75.5%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+23
74.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 23 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
76.5%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
82.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:2820% → 19%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
80.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
80.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 12 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
79.4%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
79.1%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+2
79.2%
Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 2
50
0
81.0%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the GeoSt 45 Carlos Davis fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Victor HeywardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5383% → 83%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
83.2%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+10
83.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 10 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
83.3%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
83.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Matlin Marshall, broken up by Nick MobleySimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+3
82.7%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 4
OPP 38
-5
83.0%
Ellington, Dan pass complete to Gentry, Devin for 38 yards to the USA0, clock 01:07, PENALTY GSU ineligible downfield on pass (Gilmore, S.) 5 yards to the USA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
82.8%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 41 yds, downed at the SAlab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:2817% → 17%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+22
82.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 22 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
82.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Tra Minter for 6 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+3
83.3%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
83.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 60 yds, downed at the GeoSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+18
82.9%
Tra Barnett run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.0%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
83.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds, downed at the GeoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
83.6%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
83.8%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
83.7%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+10
83.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 10 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
84.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 16 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
84.7%
Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-1
84.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
84.0%
Dan Ellington pass intercepted Devin Rockette return for no gain to the SAlab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
83.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Nick Thompson for 15 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
82.9%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-10
82.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SAlab Desmond TrotterSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+5
84.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 11
OWN 35
-5
84.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Jalen Tolbert) to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
84.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5285% → 95%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
85.4%
Ellington, Dan rush for loss of 2 yards to the GSU29, PENALTY GSU holding (Bartlett, Pat) 10 yards to the GSU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
84.8%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
84.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 13 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
85.8%
Tra Barnett run for 18 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
86.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cadarrius ThompsonSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+32
86.1%
Tra Barnett run for 32 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
86.0%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to McCoy, C. (Rockette, Devin), PENALTY USA pass interference (Rockette, Devin) 9 yards to the USA2, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.0%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-8
93.5%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Hardrick Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+12
93.9%
Tra Minter run for 12 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+10
93.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 47 yds , Quavian White returns for 10 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:2896% → 99%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
95.5%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+22
95.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 22 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.8%
Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
95.8%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
95.7%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
95.8%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Paige, Seth, PENALTY USA pass interference (Reed, Travis) 15 yards to the USA21, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
95.9%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+3
95.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 3 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
95.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 7 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD (Barry Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 69 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Tra Minter for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+39
99.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 39 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
98.9%
Desmond Trotter run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+3
98.9%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 9
OPP 0
+9
98.8%
Desmond Trotter run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.7%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
98.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Tre'Veon HamiltonSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+10
98.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 10 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
98.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 7
0
98.6%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+1
98.8%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:16100% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.7%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+1
99.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:360% → 3%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+27
99.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 27 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.6%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+6
99.5%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 20 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
98.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Oliver Holdenson punt for 40 yds, downed at the SAlab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
98.1%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Zach Dixon for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 20
OWN 22
0
98.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Quavian WhiteSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 20
OPP 0
0
97.9%
Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Tyler Gore return for no gain to the GeoSt 22 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+1
99.2%
Darius Stubbs run for 1 yd to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-3
99.1%
Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
97.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 52 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-2
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:52
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q2 6:39
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q4 14:53
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD (Barry Brown KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com