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FUR

Furman 42 at Georgia State 48

GAST
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:55 · Brandon Wright punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Furm 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+15.2Home team on offense−8.7Garbage-time factor−2.2Score differential−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Time remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:44: Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 11 yds for a TD, (Darren Grainger pass to Ryan Miller for Two-Point Conversion) — FUR win probability +18.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 0:38: Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +13.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:41: Darren Grainger pass complete to Devin Abrams for 30 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — FUR win probability +22.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 12:10: Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 44 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +13.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:26: Darren Grainger run for 12 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — FUR win probability +12.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:05GAST 4th & 11 at FUR 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:34GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:55GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:26FUR 4th & 2 at GAST 49, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:47FUR 4th & 8 at FUR 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:03FUR 4th & 12 at FUR 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:13FUR 4th & 2 at GAST 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:35GAST 4th & 16 at FUR 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:33GAST 4th & 7 at FUR 44, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:18FUR 4th & 5 at FUR 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:37FUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:34FUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:55FUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:47GAST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00GAST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:03GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:12GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:44FUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:38GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:41FUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:10GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:26FUR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FURDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2329% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.2%
Devin Wynn run for 11 yds to the Furm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
71.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 36 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
71.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 9 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+1
71.0%
Corey Watkins run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
71.0%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Devin WynnSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
70.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan Miller for 18 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:3271% → 70%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
70.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 12 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
70.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 5
50
+11
70.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the Furm 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
70.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 8 yds to the Furm 31Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+20
70.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the Furm 23 for a 1ST down FURMAN Penalty, roughing passer (12 Yards) to the Furm 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-12
70.8%
Devin Gentry run for 3 yds to the Furm 8 GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shamarious Gilmore) to the Furm 23Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 22
OPP 23
+12
70.7%
Dan Ellington run for 12 yds to the Furm 11Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-1
70.7%
Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 12Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
70.0%
Brandon Wright 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 3TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:3130% → 36%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
69.9%
FURMAN Penalty, substitution infraction (Thomas Gordon) to the Furm 12Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
70.0%
Devin Abrams run for no gain to the Furm 12Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+12
70.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 12 yds to the Furm 24Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+20
70.0%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the Furm 29 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Gore) to the Furm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.5%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete, broken up by Terry ThomasSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
69.6%
Devin Abrams run for 3 yds to the Furm 47Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+7
69.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 7 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
69.4%
Devin Abrams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
69.4%
Devin Wynn run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-17
67.9%
Darren Grainger rush for 39 yards to the GSU0, clock 04:49, PENALTY FUR illegal procedure 17 yards to the FUR44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+22
68.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Devin Abrams for 22 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
67.6%
Jeff McElveen run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
63.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 32 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) GEORGIA ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.2%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
64.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
64.2%
Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
64.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 50 yds, downed at the Furm 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 5TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 4:2137% → 51%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
63.4%
Devin Wynn run for 5 yds to the Furm 23Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+18
63.2%
Devin Wynn run for 18 yds to the Furm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
62.6%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Furm 46Similar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+9
62.6%
Corey Watkins run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
62.5%
Corey Watkins run for 19 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
60.8%
Devin Abrams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+19
60.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 19 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
60.8%
Devin Wynn run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.8%
Devin Wynn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
51.7%
Seth Paige run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
51.7%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
51.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
51.3%
Brandon Wright punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Furm 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3952% → 45%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
48.0%
Devin Wynn run for 3 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
48.0%
Corey Watkins run for no gain to the Furm 29Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+14
48.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 14 yds to the Furm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
47.3%
Corey Watkins run for 2 yds to the Furm 45Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
47.2%
Wayne Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 3
50
+1
57.6%
Devin Abrams run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
55.5%
Grayson Atkins punt for 43 yds, downed at the GeoSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8TD
17 plays · 94 yds · 5:3249% → 53%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
49.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 6 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
49.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+7
49.0%
Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
49.5%
Seth Paige run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+11
49.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
49.7%
Seth Paige run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
51.3%
Seth Paige run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+10
51.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 10 yds to the Furm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
51.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 6 yds to the Furm 42Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-3
52.0%
Seth Paige run for a loss of 3 yards to the Furm 45Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+8
51.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the Furm 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
51.7%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
51.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds to the Furm 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
52.7%
Dan Ellington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Furm 18 Dan Ellington fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Dan Ellington , return for 10 yds to the Furm 18Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
52.7%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+18
53.0%
Tra Barnett run for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
54.6%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Bo Layton) to the Furm 20Similar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
55.1%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the Furm 23Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
55.1%
Devin Wynn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 22 FURMAN Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
55.9%
Devin Abrams run for 5 yds to the Furm 27Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.0%
Grayson Atkins punt for 39 yds, downed at the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:2748% → 64%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
47.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
49.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+17
48.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 17 yds to the Furm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
50.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 8 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
52.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the Furm 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
52.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 16 yds Sam Pinckney fumbled, forced by Travis Blackshear, recovered by GeoSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
52.2%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the Furm 10Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
64.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 10 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:5759% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
58.8%
Seth Paige run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+7
59.4%
Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
59.3%
Seth Paige run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
61.9%
Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+6
62.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the Furm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
62.6%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the Furm 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+16
62.6%
Dan Ellington run for 16 yds to the Furm 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
73.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 26 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.2%
Devin Wynn run for 5 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-7
68.4%
Darren Grainger sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Furm 23Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
70.6%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Devin Wynn, broken up by Remy LazarusSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
71.3%
Grayson Atkins punt for 43 yds , Cornelius McCoy returns for no gain to the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0372% → 84%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
72.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Pat Bartlett) to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+9
72.0%
Dan Ellington run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+9
73.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 9 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
74.2%
Seth Paige run for 5 yds to the Furm 48Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+43
74.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 43 yds to the Furm 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
75.5%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the Furm 1Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
75.5%
Seth Paige run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 2Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 2 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2818% → 36%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
82.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan Miller for 42 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.3%
Devin Abrams run for no gain to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
79.4%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Devin Abrams) to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
81.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Thomas GordonSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+13
82.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 13 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+5
83.7%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
81.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 13 yds to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
81.9%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
82.3%
Devin Abrams run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
63.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 11 yds for a TD, (Darren Grainger pass to Ryan Miller for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0670% → 88%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.1%
Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
70.7%
Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
71.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 9 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+10
73.0%
Tra Barnett run for 10 yds to the Furm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
73.6%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the Furm 43Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+22
73.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 22 yds to the Furm 21 for a 1ST down FURMAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
74.9%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the Furm 20Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
88.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5713% → 36%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.2%
Wayne Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Furm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.3%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Thomas GordonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
86.7%
Corey Watkins run for 1 yd to the Furm 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+33
87.2%
Darren Grainger run for 33 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
64.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Devin Abrams for 30 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3174% → 89%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.6%
Seth Paige run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
75.2%
Seth Paige run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
75.7%
Seth Paige run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+10
76.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 10 yds to the Furm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
89.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 44 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 18INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.1%
Devin Wynn run for 10 yds to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
87.1%
Darren Grainger sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the Furm 37 Darren Grainger fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+14
86.8%
Devin Wynn run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.2%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ryan DeLuca, broken up by Jaylon JonesSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
85.7%
Ryan DeLuca pass intercepted Remy Lazarus return for no gain to the Furm 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19FG
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:1590% → 96%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
90.4%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the Furm 10Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
90.4%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the Furm 6Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-10
89.7%
Barnett, Tra rush for no gain to the FUR6 (D. Perryman;Jordan Willis), PENALTY GSU holding (Bartlett, Pat) 10 yards to the FUR16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 11
OPP 16
-5
89.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Pat Bartlett) to the Furm 21Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
89.2%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
95.6%
Brandon Wright 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:095% → 19%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
Devin Wynn run for 4 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
94.9%
Corey Watkins run for 9 yds to the Furm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+35
94.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 35 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
94.1%
Wayne Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+10
94.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 10 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
94.1%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-3
94.1%
Darren Grainger sacked by Jhi'Shawn Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
81.2%
Darren Grainger run for 12 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5392% → 94%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
92.4%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the Furm 46Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
92.4%
Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the Furm 44Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
94.6%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
93.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cally Chizik at the Furm 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
88.2%
Devin Wynn run for 5 yds to the Furm 15Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
88.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ryan MillerSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
88.7%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Devin WynnSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
89.3%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Thomas GordonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0796% → 96%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
95.8%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the Furm 8Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+7
96.2%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the Furm 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:41
Darren Grainger pass complete to Devin Abrams for 30 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
-22.8
TD · Q3 2:44
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 11 yds for a TD, (Darren Grainger pass to Ryan Miller for Two-Point Conversion)
-18.6
TD · Q3 0:38
Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com