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GAST

Georgia State 10 at Western Michigan 57

WMU
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:54 · Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense+32.9Score differential+25.3Pregame prior+9.2Blowout margin+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Garbage-time factor+8.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:32: Sean Tyler run for 61 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +4.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:43: Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +3.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:38: LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +5.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:22: LeVante Bellamy run for 73 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps PAT MISSED) — WMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:12: Sean Tyler run for 30 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6GAST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:32GAST 4th & 6 at WMU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:55WMU 4th & 9 at GAST 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:55GAST 4th & 19 at WMU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:11WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 30, up 20
    Close callPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:40GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 43, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:04WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 25, up 26
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:19GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 41, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:54GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 40, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:26GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 42, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 39, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:01GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 35, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:56WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 38, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:46WMU 4th & 3 at GAST 46, up 47
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:20GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 10, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:18WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:32WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:43GAST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:38WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:22WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:12WMU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:21WMU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:54WMU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:26WMU Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4274% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
73.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 20 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
73.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (D'Wayne Eskridge) to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+60
73.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 60 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:4626% → 27%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+45
73.5%
Tra Barnett run for 45 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
73.5%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
73.5%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+1
73.5%
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
73.2%
Brandon Wright 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:3773% → 74%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
73.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+16
73.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 16 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
73.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 20 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
73.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.5%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
73.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
73.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
74.1%
Thiago Kapps 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.8%
Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
73.7%
Seth Paige run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
73.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+18
73.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 18 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Matlin MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
73.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+11
73.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
73.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal procedure ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-13
73.2%
Dan Ellington sacked by Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 13 yards to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 23
OPP 40
-6
73.8%
Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the WMich 36 GEORGIA ST Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 29
OPP 46
+10
73.8%
Dan Ellington run for 10 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
74.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4874% → 78%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
74.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
74.2%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+12
74.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
78.4%
Sean Tyler run for 61 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4922% → 27%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+64
77.6%
Dan Ellington run for 64 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
76.3%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
76.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
76.3%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
72.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0574% → 80%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
74.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 30 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
75.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
75.2%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+10
74.5%
WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to CROOMS, C., PENALTY GSU pass interference (Gore, Tyler) 10 yards to the GSU36, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
79.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:3822% → 21%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.0%
Tra Barnett run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
77.3%
Tra Barnett run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
77.5%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Justin TranquillSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
77.7%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-9
77.3%
Dan Ellington sacked by Drake Spears and Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
78.6%
Brandon Wright punt for 38 yds , Skyy Moore returns for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1779% → 86%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
79.3%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+73
85.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 73 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
86.7%
Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-5
86.6%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-15
87.0%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Gentry, Devin, QB hurry by BALABANI, A., PENALTY GSU personal foul (Carter, Roger) 15 yards to the GSU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 24
OWN 16
+44
87.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 44 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.0%
Dan Ellington pass intercepted Justin Tranquill return for no gain to the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
87.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 1
OWN 33
-3
88.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
87.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Tyler GoreSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+11
87.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds , Cornelius McCoy returns for 11 yds to the GeoSt 41 GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
88.7%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
88.9%
Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-7
88.9%
Dan Ellington sacked by Alex Grace for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 15
OWN 17
+2
89.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for 2 yds to the WMich 19 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3889% → 93%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
88.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 33 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
89.4%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
89.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+30
93.1%
Sean Tyler run for 30 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.3%
Tra Barnett run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
92.8%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-10
93.0%
Ellington, Dan pass complete to Barnett, Tra for 1 yard to the GSU40 (CURTIS, A.;BARNES, Z.), PENALTY GSU illegal block (McCoy, C.) 10 yards to the GSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 21
OWN 29
+14
93.1%
Destin Coates run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Matlin Marshall, broken up by Stefan ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
92.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 56 yds, downed at the WMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0594% → 96%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
94.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 2Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+14
93.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 14 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
94.1%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
93.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
93.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cornelius McCoy at the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:313% → 3%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
97.2%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+9
96.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 9 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-7
97.1%
Dan Ellington sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-10
97.0%
Ellington, Dan pass complete to McCoy, C. for 21 yards to the WMU46, PENALTY GSU HL (Glover, Travis) 10 yards to the GSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 23
OWN 23
+1
96.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 1 yd Destin Coates fumbled, forced by Treshaun Hayward, recovered by WMich Drake SpearsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:2397% → 99%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
97.0%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+9
97.1%
Jon Wassink run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
97.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.5%
Jon Wassink run for 16 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
98.9%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:412% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.4%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.2%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.2%
Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.3%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney, broken up by Anton CurtisSimilar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds, downed at the WMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 5:0499% → 100%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
98.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+10
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
98.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+19
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 19 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
98.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
98.8%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
98.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 5 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 41 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 1 yd to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+5
99.6%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete, PENALTY WMU offside (SPEARS, D.) 5 yards to the GSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-1
99.5%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.7%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.7%
Davon Tucker run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Davon Tucker run for 19 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Andre Carter) to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
99.8%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Andre Carter) to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 23 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
99.8%
TYLER, S. rush for 9 yards to the GSU48 (Bacon, Chris;Williams, C.), PENALTY WMU personal foul (DEATHERAGE, D.) 15 yards to the WMU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Ra'Sean Davie run for no gain to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 6 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cornelius McCoy at the GeoSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Destin CoatesSimilar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Matlin MarshallSimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Brandon Wright punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyron Arnett at the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Dawson Schick run for 8 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Dawson Schick run for 6 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Dawson Schick run for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Griffin Alstott pass complete to Alex Mussat for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Ra'Sean Davie run for no gain to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cornelius McCoy at the GeoSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 27INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
Darius Stubbs run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Cornelious Brown pass intercepted Harrison Taylor return for no gain to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
99.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Dawson Schick run for 1 yd to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Dawson Schick run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Dawson Schick run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 32 yds, downed at the GeoSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
100.0%
Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 12
OWN 12
-2
100.0%
Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 14
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 14
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-10
100.0%
DAVIE, R. rush for 7 yards to the WMU45 (Veneziale, J.), PENALTY WMU FL (TODD, J.) 10 yards to the WMU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 19
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 4 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Dawson Schick run for 2 yds to the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:22
LeVante Bellamy run for 73 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps PAT MISSED)
+6.6
TD · Q1 0:38
LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q1 3:32
Sean Tyler run for 61 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com