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SCST

South Carolina State 16 at South Florida 55

USF
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:41 · Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds, downed at the SCSt 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+38.7Home team on offense+0.9Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:15: Dillon Bredsen 25 yd FG GOOD — SCST win probability +1.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:22: Mitchell Wilcox 20 Yd pass from Jordan McCloud (Coby Weiss Kick) — USF win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:32: Jordan McCloud 9 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick) — USF win probability +4.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:03: Johnny Ford 32 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick) — USF win probability +3.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:18: Datron James 8 Yd Run (Dillon Bredsen PAT failed) — SCST win probability +2.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 9SCST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00USF 4th & 21 at USF 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:35USF 4th & 11 at SCST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:15SCST 4th & 8 at USF 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:05SCST 4th & 10 at SCST 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:41USF 4th & 12 at SCST 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:59SCST 4th & 7 at SCST 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:16USF 4th & 3 at SCST 3, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:16SCST 4th & 14 at SCST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:48USF 4th & 15 at USF 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:22SCST 4th & 6 at USF 27, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:18USF 4th & 5 at USF 37, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:08SCST 4th & 10 at SCST 19, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:01USF 4th & 3 at SCST 17, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:26SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 30, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:25USF 4th & 11 at SCST 48, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:41USF 4th & 9 at USF 36, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SCST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:05USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:22USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:03USF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:18SCST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:12USF Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:26USF Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:41SCST Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:15USF Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
93.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
93.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 19
-8
93.5%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Tyrell Goodwin for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 11Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 11
+9
93.5%
Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds , Juwan Moody returns for 9 yds to the SCSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.1%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 43 Tyrece Nick fumbled, recovered by SFla Greg Reaves , return for no gain to the SCSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
93.2%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 44Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
93.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
93.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
93.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 4FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:437% → 9%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.0%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete, broken up by KJ SailsSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
93.0%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+21
93.0%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Will Vereen for 21 yds to the SCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.0%
Tyrece Nick run for 5 yds to the SCSt 46Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+28
93.0%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Will Vereen for 28 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
92.9%
Tyrece Nick run for 2 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
92.9%
Labron Morris run for 7 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
92.9%
Tyrece Nick run for 3 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
92.9%
Labron Morris run for 3 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
92.9%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+7
92.9%
Tyrece Nick run for 7 yds to the SFla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.9%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the SFla 4Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.9%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
92.9%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Labron Morris for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 8Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
91.1%
Dillon Bredsen 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1091% → 92%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 10 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
91.2%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
91.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kevin Purlett for 3 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+13
91.4%
Jordan McCloud run for 13 yds to the SCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
91.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SCSt 42Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+42
91.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 42 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Tyrece Nick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.6%
Cliff Benjamin Jr. punt for 38 yds , KJ Sails returns for 5 yds to the SFla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
91.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the SCSt 49Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
91.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
91.5%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCSt 44Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
91.5%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SCSt 43Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-6
91.4%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Bruce Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the SCSt 49Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
91.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds, downed at the SCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
90.4%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to Will Vereen for 5 yds to the SCSt 8Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 8
-2
90.4%
Omar Cummings run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 6Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
90.6%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Omar CummingsSimilar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+29
90.7%
Cliff Benjamin Jr. punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCSt 35 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the SCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:1491% → 91%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
90.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+31
90.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 31 yds to the SCSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
90.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 1 yd to the SCSt 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SCSt 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
90.9%
Coby Weiss 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.7%
Labron Morris run for 2 yds to the SCSt 27Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
90.7%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCSt 21Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
91.0%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will VereenSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
91.1%
Cliff Benjamin Jr. punt for 30 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
91.1%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
90.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
90.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
90.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Johnny Ford, broken up by Johnell BrownSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
90.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
90.4%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will VereenSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
90.4%
Labron Morris run for 3 yds to the SCSt 15Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+9
90.7%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 9 yds to the SCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
90.3%
Labron Morris run for 2 yds to the SCSt 26Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
90.3%
NICK,Tyrece pass incomplete to DAVIS.Shaqaun, PENALTY USF offside defense (PINKNEY, Kelvin) 5 yards to the SCSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-2
90.0%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 29Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
90.4%
Tyrece Nick sacked by Bentlee Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the SCSt 23 Tyrece Nick fumbled, recovered by SFla Greg Reaves , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the SCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:3291% → 93%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
90.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SCSt 20Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
90.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
93.2%
Mitchell Wilcox 20 Yd pass from Jordan McCloud (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 14FUMBLE
15 plays · 80 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+16
92.1%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 16 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
91.7%
Labron Morris run for 4 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
91.6%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will VereenSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
91.9%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will Vereen, broken up by Mekhi LaPointeSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+18
92.2%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 18 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
91.6%
Labron Morris run for 8 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.6%
Tyrece Nick run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.8%
Labron Morris run for a loss of 1 yard Labron Morris fumbled, forced by Andrew Mims, recovered by SFla Devin Studstill , return for no gainSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
92.4%
Tyrece Nick run for 5 yds to the SCSt 25Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
92.3%
Tyrece Nick run for 3 yds to the SCSt 28Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+10
92.3%
NICK,Tyrece pass incomplete to BURROUGHS,De'Mo, QB hurry by KEGLER, Kevin, PENALTY USF holding (HAMPTON, Mike) 10 yards to the SCSU38, 1ST DOWN SCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
92.2%
Tyrece Nick run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.0%
Labron Morris run for 3 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
92.0%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to Will VereenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:1893% → 98%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
92.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 16Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+15
92.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for 15 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
92.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kevin Purlett for 4 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
92.6%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+9
92.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 9 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
92.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
92.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 13 yds to the SCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
92.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 5 yds to the SCSt 34Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-10
92.9%
McCLOUD, Jordan pass incomplete to CLERVEAUX, Stan (ROBINSON,Scott), PENALTY USF holding (NORMAN, Marcus) 10 yards to the SCSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+35
92.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 35 yds to the SCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Eddie McDoomSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.6%
Jordan McCloud 9 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the SCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 17INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.7%
Tyrece Nick run for 10 yds to the SCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
96.6%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 10 yds to the SCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
96.5%
Tyrece Nick run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Tyrece Nick pass incomplete to - Davis.ShaqaunSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+35
96.8%
Tyrece Nick pass complete to - Davis.Shaqaun for 35 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
96.1%
Labron Morris run for 3 yds to the SFla 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
96.1%
Tyrece Nick run for 3 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+62
96.4%
Tyrece Nick pass intercepted Nick Roberts return for 62 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.5%
Johnny Ford 32 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:451% → 3%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Datron James run for 6 yds to the SCSt 31Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Corey Fields pass incomplete to - Davis.Shaqaun, broken up by KJ SailsSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.4%
Corey Fields pass complete to Datron James for 8 yds to the SCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.4%
Datron James run for 2 yds to the SCSt 41Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Corey Fields pass incomplete to - Davis.ShaqaunSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+22
99.4%
Corey Fields pass complete to Demetrius Dubose for 22 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.4%
Datron James run for 3 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Corey Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+17
99.4%
Corey Fields pass complete to Tra'Quan Dubose for 17 yds to the SFla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
99.3%
Corey Fields pass complete to Yancy Washington for 9 yds to the SFla 8Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
97.2%
Datron James 8 Yd Run (Dillon Bredsen PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
97.8%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-3
97.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+10
97.8%
Jordan McCloud run for 10 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Terrence Horne for 5 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
97.9%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-2
97.9%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+2
97.7%
Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds , De'Montrez Burroughs returns for 2 yds to the SCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.0%
Corey Fields pass incomplete to - Davis.ShaqaunSimilar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
98.0%
Corey Fields pass incomplete to Datron JamesSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
98.1%
Corey Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+34
98.1%
Cliff Benjamin Jr. punt for 39 yds , KJ Sails returns for 34 yds to the SCSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
98.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for 9 yds to the SCSt 15Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 1
OPP 15
-2
98.5%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 17Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
98.4%
Jordan McCloud run for no gain to the SCSt 17Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
99.4%
Spencer Shrader 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.0%
Omar Cummings run for 3 yds to the SCSt 14 Omar Cummings fumbled, forced by Greg Reaves, recovered by SFla KJ Sails , return for 2 yds to the SCSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3899% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.4%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SCSt 10Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Mitchell Wilcox 10 Yd pass from Jordan McCloud (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 25INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Trayvon Thomas run for no gain to the SCSt 25Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.8%
Corey Fields pass complete to De'Montrez Burroughs for 21 yds to the SCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.8%
Trayvon Thomas run for 2 yds to the SCSt 48Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Corey Fields pass incomplete to Demetrius DuboseSimilar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
Corey Fields pass intercepted Vincent Davis return for 1 yd to the SFla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+52
99.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 52 yds to the SCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jordan McCloud 3 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Trayvon Thomas run for 1 yd to the SCSt 26Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Trayvon Thomas run for 5 yds to the SCSt 31Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Corey Fields sacked by Demaurez Bellamy for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 30Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Cliff Benjamin Jr. punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
99.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 20 yds to the SCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 48Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jernard PhillipsSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 11
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Spencer Shrader punt blocked by blocked by Donte Anthony return for 5 yds to the SFla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 29TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Jacory Benson run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Jacory Benson run for 4 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
De'Montrez Burroughs 34 Yd pass from Corey Fields (Dillon Bredesen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 36Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jernard PhillipsSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jernard PhillipsSimilar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Trent Schneider punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 31FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Jacory Benson run for 1 yd to the SCSt 34Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Jacory Benson run for 1 yd to the SCSt 35Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+20
99.9%
Corey Fields sacked by Brian Norris for a loss of 12 yards to the SCSt 3 Corey Fields fumbled, recovered by SFla Tyrik Jones , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds to the SCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 32TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for no gain to the SCSt 3Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCSt 4Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Terrence Horne 4 Yd pass from Blake Barnett (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 33INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Corey Fields pass complete to Trayvon Thomas for 7 yds to the SCSt 32Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Trayvon Thomas run for 1 yd to the SCSt 33Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Corey Fields run for 2 yds to the SCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Corey Fields pass complete to Devontre Hamilton for 5 yds to the SCSt 40Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+37
99.9%
Corey Fields pass complete to Will Vereen for 22 yds to the SOUFLA 38 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, roughing passer (Trey Laing) to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Corey Fields pass intercepted Brock Nichols return for no gain to the SFla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 34END OF GAME
8 plays · 89 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
100.0%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 7 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 3
OWN 11
-5
100.0%
Jah'Quez Evans run for 1 yd to the SFla 12 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (-6 Yards) to the SFla 6Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+10
100.0%
Kyle Trina run for 10 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+51
100.0%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 51 yds to the SCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Kyle Trina run for 3 yds to the SCSt 30Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCSt 26Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+21
100.0%
McArthur Burnett run for 21 yds to the SCSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:32
Jordan McCloud 9 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)
+4.9
TD · Q3 12:03
Johnny Ford 32 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)
+3.1
TD · Q2 9:22
Mitchell Wilcox 20 Yd pass from Jordan McCloud (Coby Weiss Kick)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com