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SDSU

San Diego State 11 at Hawai'i 14

HAW
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:31 · Ben Scruton punt for 38 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+3.8Pregame prior+2.5Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:15: Fred Holly III run for 11 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +11.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:58: Ryan Agnew run for 5 yds for a TD (R. Agnew Run For Two-point Conversion) — SDSU win probability +18.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:31: Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 01:31 — HAW win probability +15.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:23: Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 10 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down — SDSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02: Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 14 — HAW win probability +24.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 8 at HAW 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00SDSU 4th & 7 at HAW 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:31HAW 4th & 7 at SDSU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:01SDSU 4th & 5 at HAW 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−0.9
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:18SDSU 4th & 3 at HAW 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.7
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−6.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:35SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:58SDSU 4th & 5 at HAW 5, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:58HAW 4th & 17 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−4.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:55SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:31HAW 4th & 2 at SDSU 49, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:23SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.6%−9.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:43HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:15HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:58SDSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.4%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
53.4%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
53.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
53.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
53.4%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
53.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
53.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Makai ManuwaiSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
53.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd II at the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 8:3054% → 60%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
53.8%
Cole McDonald sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 14
OWN 4
0
53.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+16
53.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 16 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
53.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 11 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
53.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-1
54.1%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+21
54.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 21 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
54.2%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+12
54.3%
Miles Reed run for 12 yds to the SDSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
54.3%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the SDSt 14Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
54.3%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the SDSt 13Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
54.2%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-9
54.3%
Cole McDonald sacked by Caden McDonald for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 19
OPP 20
+12
54.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 12 yds to the SDSt 8Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
59.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 3:4341% → 40%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.7%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
58.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 1 yd to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
59.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 8 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
58.4%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+12
58.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
57.8%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
57.6%
Jordon Brookshire run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
57.6%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+8
59.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+5
58.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
58.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker Houston, broken up by Ikem OkekeSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
59.6%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 36 yds, downed at the Hawa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 60 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
60.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
61.1%
Miles Reed run for 10 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
61.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Jason-Matthew Sharsh) to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+14
61.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 14 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+10
61.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 10 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
62.3%
Miles Reed run for 14 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
62.5%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
62.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
62.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II, broken up by Troy CassidySimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
61.1%
Ben Scruton punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
62.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 13 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
62.2%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+5
62.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 5 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+4
62.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
61.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 13 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
60.6%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
61.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for no gain to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+7
62.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
61.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6INT
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0066% → 68%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
66.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 7 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+7
66.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
66.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+8
67.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 8 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
67.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Myles Cheatum) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+6
68.2%
Fred Holly III run for 6 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.1%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for no gain to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 1:1136% → 39%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
63.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 20 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
61.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
62.9%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to BJ Busbee, broken up by Paul ScottSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+7
63.5%
Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
61.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
64.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+12
65.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 12 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
64.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Chase JasminSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
61.0%
Matt Araiza 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
62.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0062% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
61.5%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Michael Eletise) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
61.2%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
61.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
59.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
59.1%
Ben Scruton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0041% → 37%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-11
59.1%
Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 45 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (William Dunkle) to the SDSt 30Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 21
OWN 30
0
61.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kaegun WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+9
62.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 9 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
62.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 58 yds, downed at the Hawa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
15 plays · 96 yds · 7:1261% → 81%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
61.4%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 1Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+9
61.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 9 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+10
60.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 10 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
61.6%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+22
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Kyahva Tezino) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
67.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 9 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
68.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+14
67.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 14 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
68.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 13 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
69.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 14 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
69.1%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the SDSt 11Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
69.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
80.6%
Fred Holly III run for 11 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:1722% → 40%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 9 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
76.7%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
77.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 9 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
75.4%
Ryan Agnew run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
50
+9
75.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 9 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-5
74.7%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+10
75.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 10 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
75.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+6
73.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
73.4%
Jordon Brookshire run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
77.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+13
79.1%
Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding (DJuan Matthews) to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
77.5%
Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.8%
Jordon Brookshire run for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.4%
Ryan Agnew run for 5 yds for a TD (R. Agnew Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
68.6%
Miles Reed run for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
69.6%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
70.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
71.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
72.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
73.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
72.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
73.4%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 17
50
0
70.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Luq BarcooSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 17
50
0
69.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 17
50
0
67.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
64.7%
Chase Jasmin run for 11 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
63.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+10
63.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 10 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
60.2%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
59.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker Houston, broken up by Paul ScottSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
62.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker Houston, broken up by Jeremiah PritchardSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
65.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd II at the Hawa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:5773% → 88%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
73.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+7
72.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
73.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+15
73.2%
Fred Holly III run for 15 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
76.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Caden McDonald for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-5
74.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Gene Pryor) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+4
73.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+11
72.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 11 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+30
88.0%
Ben Scruton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 14 HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 1:2124% → 30%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
76.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 10 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
74.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
69.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Elijah KotheSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
70.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe, broken up by Derek ThomasSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+2
73.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Chase JasminSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+25
72.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 25 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
63.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
62.3%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+63
70.2%
Matt Araiza 48 yd FG MISSED HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeremiah Pritchard) to the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
94.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 14
+24.2
TD · Q4 12:58
Ryan Agnew run for 5 yds for a TD (R. Agnew Run For Two-point Conversion)
-18.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:31
Timeout SAN DIEGO ST, clock 01:31
+15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com