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SJSU

San José State 40 at Hawai'i 42

HAW
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.6HAW 70.1%Matt Mercurio 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 9:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:06 · Matt Mercurio 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+19.6Home team on offense−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:26: DeJon Packer run for 20 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:13: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +15.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:53: Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +23.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 4:23: Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +18.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:51: Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 19 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +32.8 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 9:06SJSU 4th & 4 at HAW 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:27HAW 4th & 3 at SJSU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−3.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:59SJSU 4th & 15 at HAW 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:44SJSU 4th & 7 at HAW 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 1:21SJSU 4th & 5 at HAW 8, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−14.9
    average punt
  6. Q4 4:23SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 28, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:27HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:15SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:08HAW Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:26SJSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:37HAW Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:30HAW Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:13HAW Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:53SJSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:23HAW Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:51SJSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.6 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:5428% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.6%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 12 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
71.6%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+12
71.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 12 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
71.6%
Isaiah Holiness run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+12
71.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 12 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
71.6%
Isaiah Hamilton run for 1 yd to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+1
71.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+9
71.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
71.6%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+5
71.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 5 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-3
71.6%
DeJon Packer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
70.1%
Matt Mercurio 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:3970% → 71%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 8 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
70.5%
HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Solo Vaipulu) to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
70.2%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
70.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 6 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
70.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 12 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
70.6%
Cedric Byrd II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 8
50
+12
70.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
70.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Taaga Tuulima) to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
70.4%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+3
70.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+15
70.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bobby Brown II) to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.9%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+10
70.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 10 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
70.9%
Miles Reed run for 8 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
70.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-1
70.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 5Similar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
70.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 66 yds · 4:0630% → 37%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
70.2%
DeJon Packer run for 10 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.3%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
69.6%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
50
+10
69.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding (Eugene Ford) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
68.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Quinn Oseland) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+9
69.4%
Isaiah Holiness run for 9 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
68.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to DeJon PackerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+13
69.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 13 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
68.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Snap (Kyle Hoppe) to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+5
68.7%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 5 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
68.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton, broken up by Ikem OkekeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+11
69.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 11 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
68.4%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
62.8%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
65.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, forced by Cade Hall, recovered by SJSt Kyle Harmon , return for 7 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5937% → 39%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
62.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-5
63.6%
Josh Love sacked by Kaimana Padello for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
60.9%
Matt Mercurio 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5161% → 69%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.4%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
69.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 71 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4231% → 45%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
68.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 13 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.7%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+22
67.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 22 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
66.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 15 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
65.8%
DeJon Packer run for 5 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
65.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
54.6%
DeJon Packer run for 20 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4959% → 72%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.5%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
58.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 6 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
59.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Gene Pryor) to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+46
58.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 46 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
62.0%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+9
62.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 9 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
62.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 6 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
61.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.2%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 1:5332% → 41%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
68.3%
DeJon Packer run for 12 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
67.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 5 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+10
66.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 10 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
65.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 19 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
64.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
62.9%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-1
64.0%
N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
58.9%
Matt Mercurio 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10END OF HALF
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:4059% → 61%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 8 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
60.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
61.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 13 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
62.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
60.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:2361% → 76%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
61.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 9 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+16
61.6%
Miles Reed run for 16 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
62.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 6 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-5
64.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Ilm Manning) to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
62.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+19
62.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 19 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
64.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 13 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
65.8%
Jason-Matthew Sharsh run for 7 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+16
65.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 16 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 8:0929% → 37%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.9%
DeJon Packer run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
70.0%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 5 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
70.1%
DeJon Packer run for 9 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
67.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
68.0%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
67.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+11
70.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 11 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
67.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 4 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
67.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
65.8%
Isaiah Holiness run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
67.1%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
66.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 17 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
65.8%
DeJon Packer run for 5 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
65.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-5
67.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Tre Walker) to the Hawa 13Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+5
67.6%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 5 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
63.1%
Matt Mercurio 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0867% → 88%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
67.1%
Miles Reed run for 31 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
70.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
72.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 17 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
72.2%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
72.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
70.6%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
72.2%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 2:1313% → 40%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+41
86.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 41 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.2%
DeJon Packer run for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
83.2%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
83.2%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
59.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 5:2068% → 92%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
67.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (JoJo Ward) to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+7
67.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+28
67.5%
Miles Reed run for 28 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.0%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
71.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+8
69.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
72.3%
Fred Holly III run for 14 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
73.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
73.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Demanuel Talauati) to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+8
73.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
73.4%
Miles Reed run for 14 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.4%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the SJSt 2Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:329% → 45%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
91.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Solomon MatautiaSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+11
92.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 11 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
89.7%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 26 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
88.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Quinn Oseland) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+9
89.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
88.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+17
89.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 17 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
87.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
54.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 19 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF GAME
11 plays · 6 yds · 0:2083% → 82%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
83.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+1
83.4%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
83.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
84.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
86.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
85.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-2
82.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:51
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 19 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-32.8
TD · Q4 9:53
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-23.4
TD · Q4 4:23
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com