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HAW

Hawai'i 45 at New Mexico 31

UNM
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:39 · Ahmari Davis run for 8 yds to the Hawa 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−8.8Score differential−5.2Pregame prior−20.0Garbage-time factor−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:40: Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted for a TD Solomon Matautia return for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +2.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:56: Cole McDonald pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 54 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +7.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:50: Cole McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +8.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:02: Ahmari Davis run for 67 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) — HAW win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 59 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43UNM 4th & 14 at HAW 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:39HAW 4th & 8 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:17UNM 4th & 10 at HAW 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:39UNM 4th & 11 at HAW 36, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:14HAW 4th & 1 at UNM 11, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−1.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:42UNM 4th & 3 at HAW 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05HAW 4th & 3 at UNM 4, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:02HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 38, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:38UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 36, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:09HAW 4th & 4 at UNM 6, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 5 at HAW 47, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:16HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 37, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:41HAW 4th & 18 at HAW 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:14HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:14HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:40HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:56HAW Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:50HAW Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:33HAW Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:02UNM Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:16HAW Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:16UNM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:41UNM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:03UNM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.3%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
24.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
24.3%
Bryson Carroll run for 3 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+10
24.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 56 yds , Cedric Byrd II returns for 10 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:1875% → 75%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
25.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+76
24.7%
Cole McDonald run for 76 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:2625% → 26%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
24.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 7 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
24.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 7 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
24.8%
Ahmari Davis run for 7 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
24.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 6 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
24.9%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Jeremiah Pritchard for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+39
24.8%
Ahmari Davis run for 39 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
25.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 1 yd to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-5
25.0%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Blessman Ta'ala for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
24.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+39
26.3%
Andrew Shelley 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
26.5%
Miles Reed run for 9 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+11
26.3%
Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
26.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
26.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
26.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by De'John RogersSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
26.1%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 3
OPP 45
-5
26.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (JoJo Ward) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 8
50
0
26.5%
Ben Scruton punt for 46 yds, downed at the NMex 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3727% → 25%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
27.4%
Ahmari Davis run for 4 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
27.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anu SomoyeSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+14
25.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted for a TD Solomon Matautia return for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:1626% → 25%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
26.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 10 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
26.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
26.7%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
26.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
24.9%
Andrew Shelley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:2175% → 82%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
24.9%
Hekili Keliiliki run for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
25.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
25.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 15 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
18.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 54 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:1720% → 19%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.9%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
19.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 14 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
20.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 7 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
20.6%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+17
19.8%
Ahmari Davis run for 17 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
20.1%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
19.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+8
19.2%
Ahmari Davis run for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:3983% → 93%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
16.9%
Miles Reed run for 20 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
16.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 15 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
16.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+17
16.0%
Miles Reed run for 17 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.7%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
16.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+12
16.0%
Miles Reed run for 12 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
15.9%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+7
16.3%
Lincoln Victor run for 7 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
15.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 3 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.8%
Cole McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
7.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 9 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
8.0%
Ahmari Davis run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
7.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
8.1%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-10
8.0%
CARROLL, Bryson rush for loss of 1 yard to the UH31 (PADELLO, Ka.), PENALTY NM holding (JANKOVIAK, Jaco) 10 yards to the UH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 21
OPP 40
+17
7.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 17 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
7.7%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 3
OPP 22
0
8.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:1292% → 97%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
7.9%
Miles Reed run for 10 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
7.4%
Cole McDonald run for 18 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
7.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 38 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
7.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for no gain to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
7.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 5 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+2
6.1%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+3
5.0%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.3%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:285% → 3%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.6%
Ahmari Davis run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
4.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 10 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+24
3.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 24 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13INT
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
3.5%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
3.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 6 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+31
3.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 31 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
3.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
3.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+11
3.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 11 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
3.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
3.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II, broken up by Jerrick Reed IISimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+9
3.4%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Erin Austin return for 9 yds to the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:485% → 3%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
4.6%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+67
2.5%
Ahmari Davis run for 67 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
3.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 16 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
2.7%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to MARDNER, Nick (ROGERS, De'John), PENALTY UH FOR off-setting, PENALTY NM pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
2.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by De'John RogersSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
3.0%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-4
3.0%
Cole McDonald sacked by Jacobi Hearn for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
3.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 55 yds, downed at the NMex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
1.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-GreeneSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+12
1.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
1.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
1.8%
Ahmari Davis run for 10 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
1.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
1.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+3
1.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 3 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+2
1.9%
Tyson Dyer punt for 53 yds , Cedric Byrd II returns for 2 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17FG
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:5698% → 98%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
1.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+57
1.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 57 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
1.4%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 3 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+10
1.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 10 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
1.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 6 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
1.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
2.5%
Ryan Meskell 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:092% → 2%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
1.8%
TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to PATTERSON III, (FARRIS II, R.), PENALTY UH offside defense (PADELLO, Ka.) 5 yards to the NM36, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
1.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 2 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
1.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
1.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
2.1%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
2.0%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+6
1.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for 6 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Tyson Dyer punt for 29 yds, downed at the Hawa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:4699% → 100%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
0.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Michael Eletise) to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+5
0.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Miles Reed for 5 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
0.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Nick Mardner for 7 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+11
0.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by De'John RogersSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
0.7%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+33
0.6%
Cole McDonald run for 33 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to John JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
0.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 14 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.6%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
0.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Joey Noble) to the NMex 13Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
0.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Thomas Vieira for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
0.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 14 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+40
0.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 40 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.3%
Ahmari Davis run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
0.3%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-1
0.2%
Hekili Keliiliki run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:230% → 2%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
0.2%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Nick Mardner) to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
0.2%
Ahmari Davis run for 1 yd to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-5
0.2%
TUIOTI, Tevaka pass complete to PATTERSON III, for 20 yards to the UH0, clock 05:28, PENALTY NM ineligible downfield on pass (ESTRELLA, Chris) 5 yards to the UH25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 14
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+15
0.2%
TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to SOMOYE, Anu, PENALTY UH pass interference (SMART, Jared) 15 yards to the UH10, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
0.2%
Ahmari Davis run for 1 yd to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anu Somoye for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Justin Uahinui pass incomplete to Kumoku NoaSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Justin Uahinui pass incomplete to Lincoln Victor, broken up by Alex HartSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
0.6%
Justin Uahinui sacked by Joey Noble and Alex Hart for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 17 HAWAII Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+8
0.6%
Ben Scruton punt for 50 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 8 yds to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
3.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 59 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:4997% → 98%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.2%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
3.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II, broken up by Letayveon BeatonSimilar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
1.8%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 32 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Solo Vaipulu) to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
1.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+19
1.8%
Stan Gaudion punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 46 , De'John Rogers returns for 19 yds to the NMex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
3.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.6%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV, broken up by Ikem OkekeSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
3.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 9 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
4.0%
Kentrail Moran run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
4.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
4.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted Ikem Okeke return for 2 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1099% → 99%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
1.5%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
1.4%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-5
1.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Nick Mardner) to the Hawa 8Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 7
OWN 8
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:50
Cole McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q1 1:56
Cole McDonald pass complete to Kumoku Noa for 54 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-7
TD · Q4 4:03
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 59 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com