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HAW

Hawai'i 37 at Boise State 59

BOIS
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-1BOIS 98.7%Cole McDonald pass complete toMelquise Stovall for 3 yds for a TD,(C. McDonald Run For Two-pointConversion)AWAY 29 - HOME 52 · Q4 10:37
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:37 · Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 3 yds for a TD, (C. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense+28.9Pregame prior+5.3Score differential+21.9Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.6Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:52: Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 33 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:26: Robert Mahone 13 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick) — BOIS win probability +5.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +6.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:25: Chase Cord pass complete to John Hightower for 42 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:24: Jaylon Henderson pass complete to George Holani for 25 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:23BOIS 4th & 15 at HAW 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:46BOIS 4th & 7 at HAW 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:40HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:58HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50BOIS 4th & 5 at HAW 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:40BOIS 4th & 1 at HAW 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−1.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:25HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:37HAW 4th & 2 at BOIS 3, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:37BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 46, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:39HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:46BOIS 4th & 1 at HAW 20, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:59BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:20BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:23HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:52BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:26BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:41HAW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:25BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:24BOIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:31HAW Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:00BOIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:37HAW Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:44HAW Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 1:49BOIS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.3%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
78.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Gene Pryor) to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
78.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
78.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:4078% → 79%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
78.1%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+42
78.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 30 yds to the BOISEST 24 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
78.1%
Chase Cord pass complete to Matt Pistone for 7 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
78.6%
Khalil Shakir 5 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
78.2%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
78.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 6 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
78.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for no gain Cedric Byrd II fumbled, forced by Kekaula Kaniho, recovered by BoiSt Kekaula KanihoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:4479% → 81%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
78.8%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
78.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+5
78.7%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (Blessman Ta'ala) to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
78.7%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
78.8%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
78.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+26
80.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 26 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:5120% → 23%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Melquise Stovall, broken up by Kekaula KanihoSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+46
80.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 46 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
77.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
78.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 2 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+12
78.5%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass incomplete to HIGHTOWER, John, PENALTY UH pass interference (FARRIS II, R.) 12 yards to the BSU44, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
78.9%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, targeting (Jeremiah Pritchard) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
78.9%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass complete to SHAKIR, Khalil for 19 yards to the UH20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY BSU holding 10 yards to the UH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
78.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to George Holani, broken up by Kendall HuneSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+5
78.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
78.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT Thomas, broken up by Kai KaneshiroSimilar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
78.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds, downed at the Hawa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
78.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 16 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
78.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
78.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (JoJo Ward) to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 18
-9
78.4%
MCDONALD, Cole pass complete to STOVALL, M. for 9 yards to the UH27, out-of-bounds (PIERCE, DeAndre;WILLIAMS, Avery), PENALTY UH holding (HENSLEY, J.R.) 9 yards to the UH9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 24
OPP 0
0
77.3%
PENALTY UH unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY BSU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 24
OWN 9
0
78.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 24
OWN 9
+10
78.7%
Fred Holly III run for 10 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
78.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:0879% → 79%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
79.0%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
79.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+6
78.8%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
79.2%
Hank Bachmeier run for 15 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
79.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Robert MahoneSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
79.3%
John Hightower run for 8 yds to the Hawa 16 BOISE ST Penalty, illegal forward pass (John Hightower) to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
79.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
79.0%
Eric Sachse 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
79.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
79.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 6 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
78.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-6
79.4%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
80.1%
Robert Mahone run for 6 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
80.1%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
79.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the Hawa 14 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, forced by Kana'i Picanco, recovered by Hawa Manly WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
79.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
79.6%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
80.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+4
80.3%
Ben Scruton punt for 49 yds , Avery Williams returns for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
80.2%
Chase Cord pass complete to George Holani for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
80.3%
George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+5
79.7%
Chase Cord run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
50
+5
80.3%
Chase Cord pass complete to Robert Mahone for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
80.4%
John Hightower run for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
79.9%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
79.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Melquise Stovall at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
80.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
80.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-5
80.9%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+15
81.0%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to WARD, JoJo, PENALTY BSU pass interference (WASHINGTON, D.) 15 yards to the UH20, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
80.1%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 23 Cole McDonald fumbled, forced by Curtis Weaver, recovered by BoiSt Kekoa NawahineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:3581% → 89%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
81.4%
HOLANI, George rush over left tackle for 6 yards to the UH17 (DAVIS, Cortez), PENALTY BSU holding (PISTONE, Matt) 10 yards to the UH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 20
OPP 33
0
81.3%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to John BatesSimilar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+33
88.7%
Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 33 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds Jared Smart fumbled, forced by Benton Wickersham, recovered by BoiSt Riley WhimpeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:1489% → 95%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
88.9%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-2
88.9%
Robert Mahone run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
88.6%
Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 7 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
88.3%
Chase Cord run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
89.0%
Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
94.6%
Robert Mahone 13 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:457% → 15%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
92.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, offside defense (Curtis Weaver) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
92.4%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+22
92.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 22 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
91.5%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to VICTOR, Lincoln, PENALTY BSU holding (JONES, Tyreque) 10 yards to the BSU21, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
85.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:1691% → 89%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
91.1%
Chase Cord pass complete to John Hightower for 12 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.1%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
89.0%
Chase Cord sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3589% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.0%
Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
88.6%
Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
89.2%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+19
89.4%
Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 19 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
95.7%
Chase Cord pass complete to John Hightower for 42 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete, broken up by David MoaSimilar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
95.0%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:1296% → 100%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
95.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+9
96.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
96.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 17 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
96.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+13
96.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 13 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
96.0%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.5%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to George Holani for 25 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:481% → 3%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.3%
Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
99.3%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 4 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
99.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+15
99.3%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to STOVALL, M., PENALTY BSU pass interference (KANIHO, Kekaula) 15 yards to the BSU34, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 16 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 1 yd to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
97.0%
Cole McDonald run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3198% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.0%
Chase Cord run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
98.0%
Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 16 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
98.1%
Robert Mahone run for 11 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
98.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eperone Moananu) to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
98.1%
Chase Cord pass complete to John Bates for 12 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
98.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
98.1%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Akilian Butler, broken up by Ikem OkekeSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Chase Cord pass complete to George Holani for 8 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:160% → 1%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 12 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 5 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Tyreque JonesSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+15
99.8%
Cole McDonald run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 16 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 14 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 8 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
99.7%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 3 yds for a TD, (C. McDonald Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Robert Mahone run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
98.9%
Robert Mahone run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 11 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.0%
HOLANI, George rush over left tackle for 5 yards to the UH44 (BETHLEY, Khoury), PENALTY BSU holding (OJUKWU, John) 10 yards to the BSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+5
98.9%
Jaylon Henderson run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to George HolaniSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
98.8%
Joel Velazquez punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II, broken up by Markel ReedSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.1%
Fred Holly III run for 9 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete, broken up by Benton WickershamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Garrett Collingham BOISE ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
99.2%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 7 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
99.1%
Jaylon Henderson run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:201% → 3%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 20 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete, broken up by Matt LocherSimilar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.3%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
50
0
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
50
+50
96.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 50 yds for a TD, (M. Stovall Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:5398% → 100%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.8%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+40
99.6%
George Holani run for 40 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 30INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.5%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+9
99.5%
Kana'i Picanco run for 9 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Lincoln Victor, broken up by Khafari BuffaloSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Brandon HawkinsSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+19
99.5%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted, touchback. Khafari Buffalo return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:52
Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 33 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q3 12:25
Chase Cord pass complete to John Hightower for 42 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 0:41
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com