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HAW

Hawai'i 54 at Nevada 3

NEV
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:11 · Quinton Conaway punt blocked by Andrew Choi blocked by Andrew Choi Justice Augafa return for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense−15.6Score differential−8.2Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Pregame prior+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:17: Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) NEVADA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — HAW win probability +2.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:40: Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +10.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:36: Brandon Talton 36 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +2.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:02: Ryan Meskell 44 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +3.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:02: Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 7 at NEV 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:51NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:13NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18HAW 4th & 2 at NEV 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:09NEV 4th & 26 at HAW 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:11NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:11NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:36NEV 4th & 15 at HAW 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 6 at NEV 48, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:35HAW 4th & 2 at NEV 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:38NEV 4th & 10 at HAW 25, down 51
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:17HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:40HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:33HAW Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:02HAW Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:57HAW Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:42HAW Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
54.0%
Fred Holly III run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+14
54.0%
Fred Holly III run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
54.0%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-7
54.0%
Cole McDonald sacked by Lawson Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+8
54.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 8 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
54.0%
Ben Scruton punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
54.5%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
54.3%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
54.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for no gain to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-2
54.1%
Quinton Conaway punt for 40 yds , Cedric Byrd II returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:1946% → 49%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
54.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+9
54.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
54.0%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+8
54.1%
Fred Holly III run for 8 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
53.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+36
51.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) NEVADA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
52.0%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
52.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Henry IkahihifoSimilar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
51.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
51.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd II at the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
50.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 11 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
50.7%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+1
50.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 1 yd to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+13
50.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 13 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
50.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Berdale RobinsSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+8
50.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 8 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 2
OPP 20
0
51.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
50.7%
Toa Taua run for 18 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
51.2%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 37Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+13
50.9%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
50
+21
52.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 21 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
52.6%
TAUA, Toa rush for 2 yards to the UH27 (TA'ALA, B.), PENALTY NEV personal foul (EDWARDS, Nathan) 15 yards to the UH44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 25
OPP 44
+4
51.5%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 21
OPP 40
+5
51.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 16
OPP 35
-5
51.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kelton Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 21
OPP 40
-5
50.4%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 26
OPP 45
0
50.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:2251% → 63%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
48.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
48.0%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+9
48.4%
Fred Holly III run for 9 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
47.7%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+42
47.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 42 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
47.1%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+16
47.1%
Fred Holly III run for 16 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
47.1%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 2Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2939% → 28%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
39.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Kalen HicksSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
28.0%
Quinton Conaway punt blocked by Andrew Choi blocked by Andrew Choi Justice Augafa return for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0028% → 30%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
28.2%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 24Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
28.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 16 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
29.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
28.7%
Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
29.7%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
29.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Kalen HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:2277% → 78%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
23.3%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+30
23.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 30 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
22.9%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to SMART, Jared, PENALTY NEV pass interference (TAUA, Toa) 10 yards to the NEV9, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
22.0%
Miles Reed run for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11FG
19 plays · 61 yds · 4:5321% → 6%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
20.9%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
20.5%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
21.2%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Dominic Christian for 5 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
20.6%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 36Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
20.7%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Crishaun Lappin for 5 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
22.0%
Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+18
21.5%
Cristian Solano pass complete to John Humphrey for 18 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
23.2%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
22.9%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+5
22.5%
Cristian Solano run for 5 yds to the Hawa 29 Cristian Solano fumbled, forced by Kendall Hune, recovered by Nevad Nathan Edwards for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
11.9%
SOLANO, C. pass incomplete to DOUBS, Romeo (FARRIS II, R.), PENALTY UH pass interference (FARRIS II, R.) 15 yards to the UH14, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
11.8%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Dominic Christian for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-4
8.7%
Cristian Solano sacked by Mason Vega for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
8.8%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+36
6.3%
Brandon Talton 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:2892% → 90%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
8.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+29
8.4%
Cedric Byrd II run for 29 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
8.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+7
7.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+44
9.6%
Ryan Meskell 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
10.5%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
9.9%
Cristian Solano run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
10.1%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Kelton Moore for 2 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
9.7%
Quinton Conaway punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd II at the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:2691% → 96%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
9.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 18 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
8.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
7.8%
Fred Holly III run for 8 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
8.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 16 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
3.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16INT
13 plays · 44 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
3.7%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+2
3.8%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 17Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+4
3.9%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.8%
Cristian Solano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
3.7%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 16Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+2
3.7%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Kacee Williams for 2 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 13
OWN 18
-9
3.6%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Aaron Frost) to the Nevad 9Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 22
OWN 9
+15
3.6%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Mason Vega) to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
3.8%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
3.8%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+17
3.7%
Cristian Solano run for 17 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
4.2%
Cristian Solano pass intercepted, touchback. Kalen Hicks return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5298% → 99%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
2.3%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
2.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 8 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
2.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
2.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Miles Reed for 6 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+7
2.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
2.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 19 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
2.1%
Miles Reed run for 15 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
1.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 20 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.8%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
0.8%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
0.9%
Cristian Solano run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 48 Cristian Solano fumbled, forced by Jonah Laulu, recovered by Hawa Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
1.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for no gain to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
1.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 3 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+1
1.0%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
0.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nevad 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
0.6%
Roger Neal run for no gain to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
0.5%
Roger Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+11
0.5%
Carson Strong pass intercepted Ikem Okeke return for 11 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
0.6%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 1 yd to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
0.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to John Johnson for 6 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+1
0.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Robert Funkhouser for 1 yd to the Nevad 15Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 2
OPP 15
-2
0.7%
Hekili Keliiliki run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22SF
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
0.3%
Roger Neal run for 2 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-2
0.3%
Roger Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+1
0.3%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 1 yd to the Nevad 18Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Robert Funkhouser for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
0.3%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Kameron Toomer for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+23
0.4%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 23 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Mekel Ealy for 19 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
0.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Robert Funkhouser for 12 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
0.3%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 2 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
0.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Nevad 14Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
0.2%
Robert Funkhouser 14 Yd pass from Justin Uahinui (Ryan Meskell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
0.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Nevad 46Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+1
0.1%
Roger Neal run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
0.1%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Ben Putman for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 1
50
+9
0.1%
Cristian Solano run for 9 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
0.1%
Roger Neal run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
0.1%
Cristian Solano sacked by Justus Tavai for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+15
0.1%
SOLANO, C. pass incomplete to COOKS, Elijah, PENALTY UH pass interference (GREEN, James) 15 yards to the UH25, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
0.1%
Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the Hawa 23 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Gray Davis) to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 18
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Roger NealSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+8
0.1%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Roger Neal for 8 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
0.1%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to John HumphreySimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 10
OPP 25
-10
0.1%
Cristian Solano sacked by Andrew Choi and Jonah Laulu for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 35 NEVADA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:40
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-10
TD · Q3 11:02
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-5
FG · Q2 0:02
Ryan Meskell 44 yd FG GOOD
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com