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ARMY

Army 31 at Hawai'i 52

HAW
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Ben Scruton punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense+13.2Pregame prior+1.7Score differential+2.7Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:08: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 25 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +10.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:31: Miles Reed run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +10.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:49: Connor Slomka run for 30 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +14.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:30: Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +13.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:26: Malik Hancock run for 10 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +13.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:45HAW 4th & 9 at ARMY 24, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45ARMY 4th & 1 at HAW 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:31ARMY 4th & 7 at HAW 15, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:36HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:44ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:47ARMY 4th & 16 at HAW 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 8 at ARMY 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:33ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−3.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:13HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−3.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:44ARMY 4th & 5 at HAW 30, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:04ARMY 4th & 16 at ARMY 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:40ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:08HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:40HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:31HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:49ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:30HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:26ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:51HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:34HAW Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4443% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+69
57.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 69 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
57.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
57.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.0%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK) Landon Salyers kickoff for 61 yds Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 1 yd to the Hawa 26 Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 20 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 6 yds to the Army 48 Miles Reed run for 23 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Army 24 (Zach Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:3157% → 57%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
57.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 20 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
57.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 6 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+23
57.4%
Miles Reed run for 23 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+1
57.3%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
57.2%
Ryan Meskell 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:1443% → 44%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.0%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
57.0%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
56.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 35 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
56.4%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
56.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+4
56.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
56.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
56.4%
Kell Walker sacked by Ikem Okeke for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+6
56.5%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+2
56.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
56.2%
David Cooper 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:5058% → 59%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
57.6%
Miles Reed run for 30 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
59.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 26 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5343% → 51%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.9%
Kell Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
56.2%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
56.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 9 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
55.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
55.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+40
55.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 40 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
54.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
48.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 7 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
50.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+8
51.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 8 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
51.4%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
52.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
51.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
50.6%
Ben Scruton punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
49.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
48.5%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
49.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 28Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-2
49.6%
Sandon McCoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 26Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+14
50.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass intercepted Solomon Matautia return for 14 yds to the Army 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
61.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 25 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2445% → 44%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
55.2%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
55.7%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Army 33Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
56.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Camden HarrisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0963% → 71%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
62.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Bubba Wa'a) to the Army 43Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
60.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+23
60.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 23 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
62.6%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Army 19Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
62.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+12
60.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
61.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds to the Army 4Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 1:5332% → 28%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.4%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+32
66.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 32 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
64.4%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+4
64.5%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
67.3%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-15
67.9%
ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
71.9%
Zach Potter punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:3971% → 72%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.5%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
70.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Jared Smart) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+26
70.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 26 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
72.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
71.2%
Cole McDonald run for 11 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
72.5%
Cole McDonald sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+6
72.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down to Fred Holly III for 10 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2570% → 83%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+27
69.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 27 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
71.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
72.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Javhari BourdeauSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+16
72.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 16 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
72.2%
Miles Reed run for 18 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.9%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4219% → 35%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
81.1%
Christian Anderson run for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
80.2%
Christian Anderson run for 10 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
79.5%
Christian Anderson run for 24 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
65.5%
Connor Slomka run for 30 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:1971% → 88%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
71.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+3
72.5%
Jason-Matthew Sharsh run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
72.2%
Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
73.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 8
50
+8
72.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 8 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
74.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+10
74.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 10 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
74.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
74.3%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
88.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0415% → 31%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
84.8%
Christian Anderson run for 40 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
81.7%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
81.2%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
82.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
81.2%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
81.2%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
82.3%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
69.3%
Malik Hancock run for 10 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:2679% → 82%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
78.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
80.3%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+9
81.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
84.5%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
84.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Javhari BourdeauSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
83.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
81.9%
Ben Scruton punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2521% → 16%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
79.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 6
OWN 5
-3
79.6%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 2Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
83.1%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Camden HarrisonSimilar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 9
OWN 2
0
83.8%
Zach Harding punt for 67 yds , Cedric Byrd II returns for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
85.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
85.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
84.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+12
84.1%
Ben Scruton punt for 52 yds , Akyah Miranda returns for 12 yds to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
81.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 8 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
79.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.1%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
79.2%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
79.2%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
78.1%
Kell Walker run for 12 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
76.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
76.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
78.1%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
80.3%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Camden Harrison, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:4390% → 98%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
89.7%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
89.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+45
89.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 45 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
91.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 20Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
91.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+20
97.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22INT TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 2:063% → 1%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
97.3%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+15
97.2%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Camden Harrison for 15 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
97.1%
ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (Dean Powell) to the Army 17Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
97.2%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Michael RobertsSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+4
97.2%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+21
97.3%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (DJuan Matthews) to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
97.0%
Jemel Jones run for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
96.9%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Michael Roberts for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+32
96.7%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Malik Hancock for 32 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+100
99.3%
Jemel Jones pass intercepted for a TD Rojesterman Farris II return for 100 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:161% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.5%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 41Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-8
99.5%
Jemel Jones sacked by Andrew Choi for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 33Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+1
99.5%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 34Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 16
OWN 34
-5
99.6%
Jemel Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:49
Connor Slomka run for 30 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 5:30
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 1:26
Malik Hancock run for 10 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com