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CLT

Charlotte 38 at Old Dominion 22

ODU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:12 · Nick Rice 38 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense−12.3Pregame prior−17.7Score differential−7.1Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:07: Blake Watson run for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +3.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:00: Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +4.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:15: Lala Davis run for 8 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +9.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:45: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +11.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:29: Benny LeMay run for 10 yds for a TD (Jackson Vansickle KICK) — CLT win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 35, tied
    Close callWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:19ODU 4th & 7 at CLT 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:55ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:37CLT 4th & 5 at ODU 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:38ODU 4th & 4 at CLT 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−1.0
    23% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:12ODU 4th & 10 at CLT 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:32CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22ODU 4th & 2 at CLT 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−5.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:29ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 7 at ODU 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:06ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:35CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:26ODU 4th & 13 at CLT 45, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:18CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:07ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:19CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:00CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:15ODU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:45CLT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:29CLT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:29ODU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
20.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Aaron Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+5
20.8%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
20.8%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+12
20.8%
Bailey Cate run for 12 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
20.8%
Stone Smartt run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+3
20.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Aaron Moore for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
20.8%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
20.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, downed at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:1578% → 78%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
22.5%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 11Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+16
22.5%
Chris Reynolds run for 16 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
22.5%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
22.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 9 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
21.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 58 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:0322% → 26%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
22.2%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+14
22.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darius Savedge for 14 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
22.5%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-5
22.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 16
OWN 39
0
22.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+16
22.1%
Stone Smartt run for 16 yds to the OLDDOMNION 45 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
22.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 21 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
22.8%
Stone Smartt run for 15 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
26.2%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4875% → 78%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.0%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+46
25.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 46 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
24.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
22.1%
Benny LeMay run for 16 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
23.1%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
23.1%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
22.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darrell Brown for 15 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
23.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Marquavis Gibbs) to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
24.1%
Stone Smartt sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+12
23.3%
Stone Smartt run for 12 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+1
23.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 1 yd to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
23.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, downed at the Charl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 3:1376% → 82%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
23.6%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+7
23.6%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
23.7%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+14
23.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
23.1%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
22.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 7 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+15
22.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
22.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 21 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
18.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
19.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
19.8%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+10
19.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
20.4%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
20.1%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
20.4%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
20.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:3882% → 85%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
18.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+29
18.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 29 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
17.6%
Benny LeMay run for 14 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
17.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
17.5%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
17.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 1 yd to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
17.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+5
18.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (Lance Boykin) to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
15.2%
Jonathan Cruz 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9MISSED FG
21 plays · 54 yds · 5:1917% → 18%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
16.8%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
16.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
17.3%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
17.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Darius SavedgeSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
17.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+6
17.4%
Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
16.3%
PENALTY ODU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY CLT personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
17.9%
Jonah Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
17.7%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
17.8%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+13
17.6%
Stone Smartt run for 13 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
18.5%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
18.5%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+10
17.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darius Savedge for 10 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
18.6%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-1
19.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
18.0%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jordan YoungSimilar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
17.5%
Nick Rice 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:4083% → 87%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
17.5%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
17.6%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
13.3%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+48
13.5%
Connor Bowler punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 28 , Darrell Brown returns for 48 yds to the OLDDOMNION 30 OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Charl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
17.9%
Stone Smartt run for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
17.9%
Kesean Strong run for 6 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
17.9%
Stone Smartt sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 19 Stone Smartt fumbled, recovered by Charl Timmy Horne , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
14.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-10 Yards) to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 20
OWN 9
-1
14.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0087% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.4%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
13.3%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
13.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
13.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Haynes) to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
12.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+2
12.5%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Geronda Hall return for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 5:0714% → 24%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
14.4%
Stone Smartt run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+16
14.3%
Blake Watson run for 16 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
14.9%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+7
14.4%
Kesean Strong run for 7 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+12
14.8%
Blake Watson run for 12 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
15.1%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
15.0%
Robert Washington run for 7 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
14.9%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the Charl 10Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+2
14.7%
Stone Smartt run for 2 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
23.9%
Lala Davis run for 8 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3079% → 92%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
20.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Charl Chris ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+13
21.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 13 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
20.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 2 yds Tyler Ringwood fumbled, forced by Will Brocchini, recovered by CharlSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
19.4%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
19.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+37
19.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 22 yds to the OLDDOMNION 33 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
18.9%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+4
19.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
7.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
10.6%
Stone Smartt sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 18 Stone Smartt fumbled, recovered by Charl Jeff Gemmell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:1093% → 98%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
6.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
6.6%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
2.2%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds for a TD (Jackson Vansickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete, broken up by Alex HighsmithSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
3.2%
Kesean Strong run for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
3.3%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
3.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Darius SavedgeSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
3.3%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+2
3.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 2 yds to the Charl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:2098% → 98%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
2.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+12
2.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
2.1%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
2.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
2.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
2.0%
Ishod Finger run for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
2.0%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-2
2.0%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
+1
2.3%
Connor Bowler punt for 42 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 1 yd to the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:012% → 1%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
1.8%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+1
1.8%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+8
1.8%
Stone Smartt run for 8 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
1.9%
Stone Smartt sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+20
1.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Aaron Moore for 20 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
1.9%
Stone Smartt sacked by Markees Watts and Demond Stewart for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+7
1.8%
Robert Washington run for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
1.2%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
1.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:1899% → 99%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
0.8%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
0.9%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 15
OWN 13
-2
0.9%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 17
OWN 11
0
0.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:581% → 4%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
1.1%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+14
1.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Aaron Moore for 14 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
4.2%
Kesean Strong run for 22 yds for a TD (Stone Smartt pass to Darius Savedge for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23FUMBLE
10 plays · 9 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
1.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
1.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+8
1.3%
Evan Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
1.2%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-3
1.2%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 15
OPP 42
-3
1.2%
Evan Shirreffs run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 43 Evan Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by ODU Derek WilderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24INT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
1.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 5 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+10
1.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darius Savedge for 10 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
1.3%
Stone Smartt sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
1.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Marcus JoynerSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 13
OPP 45
+22
1.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 22 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-6
1.5%
Stone Smartt sacked by Alex Highsmith and Markees Watts for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+16
1.6%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Cornell Hendrick Jr. for 16 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
1.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
1.7%
Stone Smartt pass intercepted Marquill Osborne return for 12 yds to the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:45
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-11.3
TD · Q3 7:15
Lala Davis run for 8 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q3 1:29
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds for a TD (Jackson Vansickle KICK)
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com