Try the model
ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Middle Tennessee 38

MTSU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:59 · Matthew Stephenson punt for 43 yds , Darrell Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+14.6Home team on offense+19.5Score differential+9.7Garbage-time factor+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:39: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 57 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:09: Terelle West run for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:53: Hayden Wolff pass intercepted for a TD Kylan Stribling return for 38 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:59: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 63 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +4.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:33: Crews Holt 46 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 11:32ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 26, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 6 at MTSU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:23ODU 4th & 7 at MTSU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:23MTSU 4th & 1 at ODU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−1.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:31ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 26, down 11
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 42, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 3 at MTSU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:04MTSU 4th & 19 at ODU 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:59MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 31, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:42ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54ODU 4th & 7 at MTSU 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:33MTSU 4th & 4 at ODU 29, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:33ODU 4th & 10 at MTSU 14, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:04MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:44ODU 4th & 10 at MTSU 20, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:00MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:54ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 44, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:32MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:05ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:11MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:39MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:09MTSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:53MTSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:59ODU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2883% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 15 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+5
83.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Terelle West for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 9 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+13
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 13 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 19 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.0%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-9
82.9%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 46 OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
83.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+4
83.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Cornell Hendrick Jr. for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
83.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
83.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+1
83.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
82.9%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 8
OWN 26
-13
82.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the MTnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:1618% → 20%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
82.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 5 yds to the MTnSt 8 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
82.3%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
82.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
80.3%
Robert Washington run for 14 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5481% → 83%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
81.1%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
81.0%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
81.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
81.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 10 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
81.4%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to UPTON, Isiah, PENALTY ODU pass interference (BOYKIN, Lance) 15 yards to the ODU34, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
81.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marquel Tinsley for 13 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
81.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
83.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 19 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
16 plays · 24 yds · 4:0518% → 18%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.3%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
82.4%
WOLFF, Hayden pass complete to FITZGERALD, N. for 7 yards to the ODU39 (BROOKS, Khalil), PENALTY MT offside (STARLING, J.) 5 yards to the ODU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
82.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 4 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-12
82.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 3 yds to the ODU 44 OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marcus Joyner) to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
82.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 6 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+4
82.4%
WOLFF, Hayden pass incomplete to FITZGERALD, N. (FULLER, Raheme), PENALTY MT pass interference (FULLER, Raheme) 4 yards to the ODU39, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
82.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Chris Cunningham for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+6
82.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+5
81.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 5 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
81.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
80.9%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-3
80.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Robert Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+3
81.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Cornell Hendrick Jr. for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
81.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:5782% → 87%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
81.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+20
81.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 20 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
82.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
87.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 57 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:1614% → 17%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
85.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 26 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
84.2%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+22
83.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 9 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Tyshun Render) to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
83.6%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
83.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
84.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
83.1%
Nick Rice 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
84.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+19
84.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 19 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
85.0%
Jayy McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+8
84.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
84.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
84.1%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-14
84.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-14 Yards) to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
84.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
84.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 8 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-1
84.4%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
85.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:0885% → 91%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy MarshallSimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
84.5%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+18
83.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
85.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+15
85.5%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to MARSHALL, Jimmy (HEADEN, Joe Joe), PENALTY ODU pass interference (HEADEN, Joe Joe) 15 yards to the ODU30, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
87.1%
Brad Anderson run for 18 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
87.1%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
91.1%
Terelle West run for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12END OF HALF
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:029% → 7%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron Moore, broken up by Malik MancielSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
90.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+11
93.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 11 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
92.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 17 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
91.1%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
90.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 8 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
90.4%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-1
89.7%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
90.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marcus JoynerSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3794% → 94%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
93.8%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+11
93.7%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to PIERCE, Jarrin, PENALTY ODU holding (BOYKIN, Lance) 11 yards to the ODU42, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
93.8%
Terelle West run for 15 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
93.8%
O'HARA, Asher rush for 3 yards to the ODU24 (BOYKIN, Lance), PENALTY MT personal foul (GILCHRIST, Will) 15 yards to the ODU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 25
OPP 42
0
93.8%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 25
OPP 42
+6
93.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 6 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 19
OPP 36
0
93.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Terelle WestSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 19
OPP 36
+38
94.0%
Crews Holt 53 yd FG MISSED , Geronda Hall return for 15 yds to the ODU 21 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jorden Starling) to the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+38
97.4%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted for a TD Kylan Stribling return for 38 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:473% → 7%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.4%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+63
92.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 63 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.8%
Terelle West run for no gain to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
94.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 3 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
94.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Yusuf AliSimilar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+43
94.2%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 43 yds , Darrell Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18MISSED FG
19 plays · 60 yds · 7:486% → 5%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
93.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron Moore, broken up by Kylan StriblingSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
93.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
93.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 1 yd to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marcus JoynerSimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
93.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 10 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
93.1%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
92.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
93.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 6 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
92.5%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
92.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
92.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron Moore, broken up by Chris StampsSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+6
92.9%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
92.3%
WATSON, Blake rush for 9 yards to the MT9, out-of-bounds (STRIBLING, K.), PENALTY ODU illegal formation 5 yards to the MT23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+5
92.7%
Matt Geiger run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
92.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Matt GeigerSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+3
93.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
95.5%
Nick Rice 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:2197% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
Terelle West run for no gain to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
96.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
96.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Isiah Upton for 33 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
96.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 3 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
96.9%
Terelle West run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+3
96.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
98.8%
Crews Holt 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 7 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+17
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 17 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darrell Brown for 11 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
98.6%
Blake Watson run for 20 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
98.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marcus JoynerSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Nigel Fitzgerald, broken up by Gregory Grate Jr.Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 10
OPP 14
0
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marcus Joyner, broken up by Khalil BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:3199% → 100%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
98.9%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
98.9%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+8
98.9%
Chaton Mobley run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.0%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
99.0%
Jayy McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+2
99.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Ty Lee for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 0
0
99.5%
STEPHENSON, M. punt 59 yards to the ODU6, downed, PENALTY MT illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY ODU roughing the kicker off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.3%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
99.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 14 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darrell Brown for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+12
99.3%
WOLFF, Hayden pass incomplete to FITZGERALD, N., PENALTY MT pass interference (STAMPS, Chris) 12 yards to the MT34, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 1 yd to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
99.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marcus JoynerSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+13
99.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.1%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Steven Williams, broken up by Jalen JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-2
99.2%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 7 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
99.7%
Teldrick Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+4
99.7%
Teldrick Ross run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+4
99.8%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 8 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Darrell Brown, broken up by Ty NixSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darrell Brown for 5 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 3 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:39
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 57 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q3 8:59
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 63 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q2 1:09
Terelle West run for 6 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com