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UTSA

UTSA 24 at Old Dominion 23

ODU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:31 · Lucas Dean punt for 36 yds , Cornell Hendrick Jr. returns for 6 yds to the ODU 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+19.0+9.50−9.5−19.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense+8.4Pregame prior+3.5Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:11: Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 42 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — ODU win probability +5.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:28: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 58 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +6.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:58: Nick Rice 36 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +10.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:54: Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +21.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 75%).
  5. TD · Q4 2:41: Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +48.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:04ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:22ODU 4th & 12 at UTSA 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:12UTSA 4th & 5 at ODU 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:05UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:34ODU 4th & 12 at UTSA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:31UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 29, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:34ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−3.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:58ODU 4th & 11 at UTSA 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−7.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:50UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 43, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:54ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 48, up 6
    Close callPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:55ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.0%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:04UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:11ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:28ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:54UTSA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:41UTSA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:5643% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
56.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
56.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
56.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
56.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
55.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 46 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
56.0%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
56.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
56.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
55.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-10
55.7%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Keion White for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSA 6Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 20
OWN 6
+8
55.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+6
55.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 6 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
55.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:3956% → 56%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
50
-2
55.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jaylon Haynes for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+26
55.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 26 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
55.8%
Lala Davis run for 23 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
55.8%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 4Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
55.8%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the TexSA 1Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
55.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ODU Hayden WolffSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
55.6%
Nick Rice 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:1044% → 47%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
55.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 65 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
54.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the ODU 10Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
54.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
54.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 1 yd to the ODU 5Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
52.6%
Hunter Duplessis 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5653% → 60%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
53.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Lala Davis for 10 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
53.4%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
53.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+15
53.8%
WOLFF, Hayden pass incomplete to MOORE, Aaron (MAYFIELD, Corey), PENALTY UTSA pass interference (MAYFIELD, Corey) 15 yards to the UTSA47, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
54.5%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+42
59.6%
Steven Williams pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 42 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
56.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 1 yd to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+6
56.8%
Lowell Narcisse run for 6 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
56.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
57.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:3958% → 65%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
58.4%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+13
58.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for 13 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
64.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 58 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FUMBLE
16 plays · 79 yds · 0:0037% → 39%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
63.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
63.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+5
63.5%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+18
63.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 18 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
62.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
62.5%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+12
62.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
61.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Geronda HallSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+23
61.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 23 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
60.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
61.0%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+5
61.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 5 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
60.9%
Brenden Brady run for 11 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.9%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.9%
Brenden Brady run for no gain Brenden Brady fumbled, forced by Geronda Hall, recovered by ODU Harrell BlackmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5866% → 70%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.3%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
66.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 11 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
66.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 31 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
68.0%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
68.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+14
67.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 14 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
68.3%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 21Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 13
OPP 21
0
68.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+1
66.9%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+37
70.4%
Nick Rice 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5729% → 25%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
70.8%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+14
71.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 14 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
70.6%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+6
74.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 36 yds , Cornell Hendrick Jr. returns for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
74.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 11 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
75.1%
Kesean Strong run for 9 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
75.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
74.7%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
75.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Cornell Hendrick Jr. for 7 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 3
OWN 0
0
73.5%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+9
75.8%
Kesean Strong run for 9 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
75.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
75.5%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Cassius Grady return for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:1325% → 26%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
74.7%
1C sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UTSA8 (WHITE, Keion), PENALTY ODU face mask (WHITE, Keion) 15 yards to the UTSA31, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
74.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
72.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+12
71.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 12 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
71.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-15
72.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 25
OWN 37
-1
74.5%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Marcus Haynes and Mufu Taiwo for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:2173% → 71%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
73.1%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 10 Lala Davis fumbled, forced by Carl Austin III, recovered by ODU Lala DavisSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+4
73.0%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+10
71.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 10 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
72.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
72.5%
Hayden Wolff run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 12
OWN 22
-1
71.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+4
70.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
71.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
71.8%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-6
72.1%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Derek Wilder for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
75.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 45 yds , Cornell Hendrick Jr. returns for no gain to the ODU 6 Cornell Hendrick Jr. fumbled, recovered by ODU Cornell Hendrick Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:3575% → 88%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
74.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Steven Williams for 6 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 12
-5
75.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Nick Saldiveri) to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+7
74.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Steven Williams for 7 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+8
74.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 8 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
75.6%
Lala Davis run for 10 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
75.9%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-3
76.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jarrod Carter-McLin for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+25
74.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 10 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
77.9%
Kesean Strong run for 8 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+15
78.1%
WOLFF, Hayden pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, S., QB hurry by HICKS, Clarence, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (JOHNSON, C.) 15 yards to the UTSA18, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
78.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
78.1%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 19Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
77.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
88.0%
Nick Rice 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:5615% → 39%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
84.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 19 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
83.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 2 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
83.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+7
83.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+8
83.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for 8 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
81.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
81.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+2
80.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
82.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 21 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
82.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.2%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
78.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for 14 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
80.7%
Lala Davis run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 2
50
0
81.3%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 2
50
-2
80.0%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+4
78.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 4 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 6:5027% → 72%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
73.4%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+19
73.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 19 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
70.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
71.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 1
50
+3
68.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
67.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 15 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Will BrocchiniSimilar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
66.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+7
68.4%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
64.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
64.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+6
67.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.9%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
28.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20FUMBLE
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:4650% → 47%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.3%
Hayden Wolff run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
51.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr., broken up by Andrew MartelSimilar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
47.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
40.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 12 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
47.1%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Clarence Hicks for 0 yards to the ODU 41 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by TexSA Jarrod Carter-McLin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0576% → 75%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
23.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-8
20.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 16
OPP 47
-5
25.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:41
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-48
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.5
TD · Q4 12:54
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-21.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com