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2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:47 · Jose Borregales 32 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+20.7Home team on offense+3.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:04: Robert Washington run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +1.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:54: Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +11.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:24: Nick Rice 22 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +9.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:17: James Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD (Tony Gaiter IV pass for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +9.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:54: Lala Davis run for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +14.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 11:54ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50FIU 4th & 4 at ODU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48FIU 4th & 11 at ODU 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19FIU 4th & 12 at ODU 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:27ODU 4th & 6 at FIU 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:32ODU 4th & 3 at FIU 17, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:25FIU 4th & 11 at ODU 33, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:25ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 31, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:13FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 28, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:24ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 34, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:47FIU 4th & 6 at ODU 15, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−6.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:47ODU 4th & 9 at FIU 41, down 2
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:54ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:37FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 9, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:10ODU 4th & 23 at FIU 37, down 9
    Close callPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 8, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:24ODU 4th & 5 at FIU 5, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%−1.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−10.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:17ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:43FIU 4th & 4 at ODU 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.5
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:03FIU 4th & 6 at ODU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:04ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:54FIU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:17FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:54ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:0610% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.3%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
90.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
90.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 7 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.3%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
90.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
89.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+3
89.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2KICKOFF
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
89.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 11 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
89.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
89.5%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
89.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
89.6%
James Morgan sacked by Tobias Moss for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
89.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Geronda HallSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 15
OWN 37
-5
89.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.5%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:1488% → 87%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
87.8%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+25
87.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing passer (Isaiah Spencer) to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+46
88.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 46 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
88.2%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
88.2%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
87.2%
Jose Borregales 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
86.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isaiah SpencerSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
86.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isaiah Spencer, broken up by Olin Cushion IIISimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
87.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:0487% → 85%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
86.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 8 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-3
87.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+22
86.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 22 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
87.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 15 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
87.3%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-1
87.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+12
87.1%
MORGAN,J pass intercepted by RICHARDSON, J. at the ODU20, RICHARDSON, J. return to the FIU43 (GAITER,T), PENALTY ODU face mask (SCOTT, Robert) 12 yards to the ODU13, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+6
87.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 6 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
85.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
85.3%
Jose Borregales 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
84.5%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-7
84.5%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Teair Tart for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 23 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Noah Curtis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3586% → 85%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
86.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
86.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-5
85.6%
James Morgan sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
85.4%
Jose Borregales 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:4715% → 17%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.2%
SMARTT, Stone pass incomplete to BROWN, Darrell, PENALTY FIU roughing passer (OLIVER,K) 15 yards to the ODU40, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
84.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
84.2%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-10
84.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Sage Lewis for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+14
85.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for 14 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+19
84.1%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal use of hands (Richard Dames) to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
82.8%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-3
82.8%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+10
83.9%
Matt Geiger run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
83.5%
Nick Rice 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Daniel Jackson N/A return for 1 yd to the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:0785% → 84%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
84.7%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+46
84.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 46 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
86.3%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
85.6%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+50
83.8%
Jose Borregales 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
83.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darrell Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+5
83.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-1
83.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darrell Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 12
OWN 31
+3
84.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 48 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.4%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
83.2%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
83.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony JonesSimilar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
82.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4818% → 18%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
82.0%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
81.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-4
80.7%
Matt Geiger run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 59 yds, downed at the FlaIn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
81.1%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+6
81.0%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
81.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+5
81.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
81.3%
James Morgan sacked by Cory Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:1381% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
81.2%
Anthony Jones run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
82.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+12
82.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
82.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+10
83.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 10 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
83.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
83.2%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
82.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
79.5%
Jose Borregales 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
78.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+30
78.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 30 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
75.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+3
76.4%
Matt Geiger run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+3
76.3%
Matt Geiger run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
76.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Darrell BrownSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
78.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4077% → 89%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+67
77.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 54 yds to the FLAINTL 26 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
89.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Steven Williams for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
86.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
87.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Steven Williams for 13 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
86.4%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
86.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
86.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
87.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
86.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Shacquille Williams) to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+1
86.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 13
OWN 6
0
86.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 13
OWN 6
+3
85.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 3 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
85.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:1516% → 13%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
83.8%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (Donta Anthony Jr.) to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 18
OPP 32
0
84.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Darrell BrownSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 18
OPP 32
0
85.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 18
OPP 32
-5
86.5%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Chris Whittaker for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 23
OPP 37
0
87.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 31 yds, downed at the FlaIn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0087% → 86%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
87.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+1
86.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+4
86.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Kamareon Williams for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 8
0
85.5%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:3016% → 25%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
50
-1
84.4%
Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+9
85.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 9 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
84.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Cornell Hendrick Jr. for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
84.3%
Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
82.9%
Lala Davis run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
82.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Chris Whittaker) to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
82.9%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
74.6%
Nick Rice 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:0787% → 98%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+18
87.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 18 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Keion WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
88.3%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 5 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+8
87.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 8 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
88.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 17 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
88.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (4 Yards) to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
88.7%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 1 yd to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
James Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD (Tony Gaiter IV pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darrell Brown for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+14
94.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 14 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 19
OWN 29
0
94.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kesean Strong, broken up by Jamal GatesSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
94.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron Moore, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 4:43
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
98.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 24Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
98.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-2
98.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 0:454% → 20%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+31
95.6%
Lala Davis run for 31 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
94.8%
WOLFF, Hayden pass incomplete to FITZGERALD, N., PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN,I) 15 yards to the FIU30, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
94.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 20 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
80.3%
Lala Davis run for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5194% → 94%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
94.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-2
94.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+4
94.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
93.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
90.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Aaron MooreSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
90.7%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Olin Cushion III return for no gain to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-3
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:54
Lala Davis run for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q3 6:54
Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+11.9
FG · Q4 10:24
Nick Rice 22 yd FG GOOD
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com