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FAU

Florida Atlantic 41 at Old Dominion 3

ODU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:34 · Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlAtl 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Home team on offense−56.6Pregame prior−1.7Score differential−46.2Garbage-time factor−21.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:35: Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 15 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +1.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:11: Malcolm Davidson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +1.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:39: Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +4.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Vladimir Rivas 25 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:05: Deangelo Antoine run for 48 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:14FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:34ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:35ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:27ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:33ODU 4th & 8 at FAU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33FAU 4th & 9 at ODU 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02ODU 4th & 4 at FAU 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00FAU 4th & 2 at ODU 7, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:21ODU 4th & 17 at FAU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:46FAU 4th & 5 at ODU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:34ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:52FAU 4th & 9 at ODU 9, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:52ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:48ODU 4th & 17 at FAU 40, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:14FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 32, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:34ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 15, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:35FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:11FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:39FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:05FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:39FAU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
15.6%
Messiah deWeaver run for 6 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Akileis Leroy) to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
15.6%
Kesean Strong run for 8 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
15.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Blake Watson for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
15.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-6
15.6%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
15.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
16.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 8 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
16.8%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-6
16.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
17.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 45 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 37 OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
17.7%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
17.7%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
17.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
17.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:2282% → 83%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
18.1%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+25
18.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 17 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
18.0%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to BRYANT, Harriso for 3 yards to the ODU8 (FORD-DEMENT, K.), PENALTY FAU RO 5 yards to the ODU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+1
18.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 1 yd to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+15
16.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 15 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
17.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-8
17.4%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+8
17.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Darrell Brown for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
17.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:4782% → 85%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
17.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 12 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
17.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+16
17.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 16 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
17.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to James Brunson for 25 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
17.1%
James Charles run for 8 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
17.0%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+21
15.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4416% → 16%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.5%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
15.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
15.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
15.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 32 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 11 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
15.0%
Chris Robison pass intercepted Kaleb Ford-Dement return for 25 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2716% → 18%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
16.4%
Messiah deWeaver run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-5
16.3%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Damian Horton for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+21
15.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 21 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
16.5%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Steven Williams for 17 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
16.7%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
16.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+1
16.4%
Messiah deWeaver run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
17.6%
Nick Rice 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:5483% → 88%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
17.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
17.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 12 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
16.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 25 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
16.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
16.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
16.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+14
16.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
16.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
16.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
16.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
16.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Mitchell, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
12.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
17 plays · 17 yds · 4:3212% → 16%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
12.0%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
11.6%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+7
11.5%
Messiah deWeaver run for 7 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
12.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Robert Washington for 6 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
11.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+10
11.3%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
50
+9
12.8%
Lala Davis run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-3
11.9%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
11.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+6
13.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
16.0%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
15.6%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-15
15.1%
DEWEAVER, M. pass complete to DAVIS, Lala for 19 yards to the FAU16 (DOTSON, Meiko), PENALTY ODU pass interference (HERSLOW, Jake) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 22
50
-10
15.6%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 32
OWN 40
+30
15.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 30 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:2591% → 93%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
9.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
9.1%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+16
9.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 16 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
8.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 12 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
8.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
8.7%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+5
8.8%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
6.9%
Vladimir Rivas 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
7.3%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
7.4%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 2 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
7.8%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
7.8%
Matthew Hayball punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
8.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
9.0%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+17
9.0%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 17 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
9.8%
Kesean Strong run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
10.0%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
9.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete, broken up by Ray EllisSimilar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
9.7%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-10
9.8%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Akileis Leroy for a loss of 10 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
9.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
5.2%
Nick Tronti run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
5.1%
James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
5.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 2 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
5.1%
Nick Tronti run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
4.9%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
4.9%
Nick Tronti run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+26
4.9%
James Charles run for 26 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
4.8%
Nick Tronti run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+6
4.8%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 6 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-2
4.8%
Tyrek Tisdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 28
0
5.4%
Nick Tronti run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
4.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 7 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+8
4.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 8 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
4.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
4.8%
Kesean Strong run for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-1
5.0%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
4.9%
Messiah deWeaver run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
1.8%
Deangelo Antoine run for 48 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 3:012% → 1%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
1.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Andrew Lawson) to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
1.5%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-1
1.5%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 9Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+9
1.4%
Lala Davis run for 9 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
1.6%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+1
1.5%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
1.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Da'Von BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
1.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
0.6%
James Charles run for 8 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+16
0.5%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 16 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
0.6%
Nick Tronti sacked by Derek Wilder for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+13
0.6%
Nick Tronti run for 13 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.6%
Chauncey Mason run for no gain to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to John Raine for no gain to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
0.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.6%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
0.6%
Vladimir Rivas 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.3%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Messiah deWeaver run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Brad Davis punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
50
0
0.3%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
50
+24
0.3%
Chauncey Mason run for 24 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
0.3%
Chauncey Mason run for 4 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
0.2%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 22 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass intercepted Caliph Brice return for 7 yds to the ODU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
0.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+18
0.2%
Nick Tronti pass intercepted Will Brocchini return for 18 yds to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+17
0.2%
Kesean Strong run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Eric Kumah for 4 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-15
0.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Isaac Weaver) to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 16
OPP 39
-1
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
0.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Lala DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-16
0.2%
Team run for a loss of 16 yards to the FlAtl 24 Team fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Caliph BriceSimilar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 26
OWN 24
-3
0.2%
Trent Wessel run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 21 Trent Wessel fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Caliph BriceSimilar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 29
OWN 21
+5
0.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 24
OWN 26
+6
0.2%
Trent Wessel pass complete to Willie Wright for 6 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
0.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.1%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-7
0.1%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Collin Dell for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+5
0.1%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
0.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.1%
Trent Wessel run for no gain to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
0.1%
Tyrek Tisdale run for 13 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:39
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-4.2
TD · Q3 3:05
Deangelo Antoine run for 48 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q1 3:11
Malcolm Davidson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com