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ODU

Old Dominion 14 at UAB 38

UAB
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:14 · Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 38 , Myron Mitchell returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+5.5Home team on offense+31.8Score differential+21.7Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:18: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +4.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:02: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:11: Nick Rice 40 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +3.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:52: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +2.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:32: Lala Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Messiah deWeaver pass to Steven Williams for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:52ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:36ODU 4th & 22 at ODU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:04UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:11ODU 4th & 6 at UAB 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:17ODU 4th & 6 at UAB 6, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 4 at ODU 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:14ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:37UAB 4th & 3 at ODU 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:37ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:14UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 44, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:14ODU 4th & 22 at ODU 9, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:40UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 12:52UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:36UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:18UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:02UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:52UAB Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:32ODU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
87.8%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 7 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-8
87.8%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 31 Messiah deWeaver fumbled, forced by TD Marshall, recovered by UAB Garrett MarinoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:1088% → 88%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
87.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+27
87.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 27 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.5%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
87.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
87.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds, downed at the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
87.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards Myron Mitchell fumbled, forced by Chris Cunningham, recovered by ODU Lawrence GarnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
87.2%
Messiah deWeaver run for 2 yds to the ODU 34 Messiah deWeaver fumbled, forced by Tony Fair, recovered by UAB Tony Fair , return for 30 yds to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:4688% → 88%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
87.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
87.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+17
87.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 17 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.9%
Matt Geiger run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
87.8%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.8%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
87.8%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+18
87.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Darrell Brown for 18 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
87.7%
Messiah deWeaver run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-1
87.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ODU Messiah deWeaverSimilar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 22
OWN 41
0
88.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds, downed at the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
88.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+13
88.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 13 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
88.6%
Jonathan Haden run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
88.6%
Jonathan Haden run for 5 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
88.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
88.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
88.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
88.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:2412% → 12%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
88.0%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 14
OWN 9
-1
88.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Darrell Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+16
88.3%
Messiah deWeaver run for 16 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
87.9%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
87.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-4
88.1%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+9
88.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 49 , Myron Mitchell returns for 9 yds to the UAB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:5089% → 94%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 9
50
+37
89.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 37 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
89.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
93.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
92.9%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
92.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass intercepted Will Boler return for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:0794% → 95%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+32
93.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 32 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
93.9%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
93.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+16
93.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 16 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
93.9%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-5
93.9%
UAB Penalty, false start (Andrew Smith Jr.) to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 16
OPP 26
0
95.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 16
OPP 26
-4
95.3%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 33 Tyler Johnston III fumbled, forced by Keion White, recovered by UAB Tyler Johnston IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
1 play · -9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
93.5%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:1696% → 99%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
95.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
95.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+12
95.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 12 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+22
95.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 22 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
95.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+8
95.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
96.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
96.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
98.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:451% → 5%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+42
99.0%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Darrell Brown for 42 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
98.8%
Messiah deWeaver run for 4 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
95.4%
Nick Rice 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
97.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Keion White return for no gain to the UAB 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:493% → 4%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
96.7%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
96.7%
UAB Penalty, offside defense (Will Boler) to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+11
96.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 11 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-4
96.5%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+19
96.5%
Messiah deWeaver run for 19 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
96.4%
Messiah deWeaver run for 5 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
96.4%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
96.4%
Nick Rice 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2597% → 100%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
97.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
97.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 15 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
97.2%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+22
97.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 22 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
97.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 39 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
97.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:130% → 3%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
99.6%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Garrett Marino) to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.6%
Messiah deWeaver run for 15 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.6%
DEWEAVER, M. pass incomplete to MOORE, Aaron, PENALTY UAB pass interference (BYNUM, Devodric) 15 yards to the UAB28, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
99.5%
Steven Williams pass complete to Messiah deWeaver for 16 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.5%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Nigel Fitzgerald UAB Penalty, roughing passer (Luke Brasher) to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 4
OPP 6
+5
99.5%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Messiah deWeaver pass to Steven Williams for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:3298% → 99%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
97.9%
Jonathan Haden run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
97.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
98.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
98.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
98.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
98.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Darrell Brown for 5 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Kristopher Moll) to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
98.6%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Alex Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23FG
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:2099% → 99%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
98.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+11
98.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 11 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
98.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 33 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+25
99.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 25 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.0%
Larry Wooden run for 5 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
99.0%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Hayden Pittman UAB Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
99.1%
Nick Vogel 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-4
99.1%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Garrett Marino for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, downed at the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-1
99.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
99.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Robert Scott at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
99.3%
Matt Geiger run for 11 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
99.3%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 13 Messiah deWeaver fumbled, recovered by ODU Blake WatsonSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 18
OWN 13
0
99.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 18
OWN 13
-4
99.4%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Adrienne Talan for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 22
OWN 9
-6
99.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 38 , Myron Mitchell returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.5%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
99.5%
Larry Wooden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Da'Quon Godfrey run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+7
99.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 7 yds to the ODU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
99.6%
Stone Smartt run for 10 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.6%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+13
99.6%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 13 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.6%
Stone Smartt sacked by Paul Hammonds for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:18
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+4.6
FG · Q2 0:11
Nick Rice 40 yd FG GOOD
-3.3
TD · Q3 5:52
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com