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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Marshall 31

MRSH
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:49 · Bailey Cate punt for 55 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 10 yds to the Marsh 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+30.4Home team on offense+2.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:17: Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Aaron Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +4.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +6.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 8:21: Willie Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:01: Kesean Strong run for 24 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +10.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:55: Brenden Knox run for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 15 at MRSH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:03MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:02ODU 4th & 1 at MRSH 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:29ODU 4th & 26 at ODU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:17MRSH 4th & 4 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:15ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11MRSH 4th & 15 at ODU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:13ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:01MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:06ODU 4th & 9 at MRSH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:55ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:29MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:40MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:17ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:21MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:01ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:55MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
88.1%
Kesean Strong run for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+23
88.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darius Savedge for 23 yds to the MARSHALL 44 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
88.1%
Stone Smartt sacked by Marquis Couch and Channing Hames for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-3
88.1%
Stone Smartt sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
88.1%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Darius Savedge, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
88.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
87.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 3 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+4
87.3%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 3
OWN 19
-9
87.2%
Isaiah Green sacked by Keion White for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
87.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 45 yds, downed at the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
86.4%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
86.4%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
86.5%
Messiah deWeaver run for 6 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
86.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 4:5486% → 87%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
86.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 14 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
86.1%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
86.2%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
86.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 15 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Broc ThompsonSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
86.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 9 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
86.4%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
50
0
86.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
50
+9
86.4%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+7
86.4%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
86.6%
Xavier Gaines pass complete to Broc Thompson for 33 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
86.5%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-7
86.4%
Stone Smartt sacked by Brandon Drayton and Jamare Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-12
86.9%
Stone Smartt sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 26
OWN 15
+11
87.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 50 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 11 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1687% → 86%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
86.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
86.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 6
50
-5
86.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
86.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Devin Miller, broken up by Tobias MossSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+4
85.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
85.8%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+1
85.5%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+1
85.8%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+10
86.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 55 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 10 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:1486% → 90%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
85.8%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+28
85.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 28 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.5%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
86.5%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
86.5%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
86.6%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
86.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 8 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
90.1%
Isaiah Green run for 17 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2311% → 15%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Cornell Hendrick Jr.Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
88.8%
Messiah deWeaver run for 20 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
88.4%
Messiah deWeaver run for 9 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
87.9%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
88.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
88.5%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Darius Savedge, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+2
88.5%
Messiah deWeaver run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+44
84.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Aaron Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
85.9%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
85.1%
Isaiah Green run for 13 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
86.2%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
86.1%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+4
85.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 4
50
0
85.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:3316% → 15%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
84.2%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Darius Savedge for 4 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
84.3%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-6
84.5%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
84.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 54 yds, downed at the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12FG
13 plays · 35 yds · 1:5485% → 87%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
84.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
84.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.4%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
85.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+10
84.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 10 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
85.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 10 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-9
85.7%
Isaiah Green sacked by Lawrence Garner for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 19
OPP 32
+4
86.2%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
85.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Sheldon EvansSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
86.8%
Justin Rohrwasser 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+39
81.0%
Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.4%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
84.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
84.0%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
83.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 48 yds , Darrell Brown returns for no gain to the ODU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
83.4%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 20 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
82.4%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-2
82.5%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Tavante Beckett and Darius Hodge for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
83.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Nigel FitzgeraldSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
84.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 3:0584% → 92%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
83.9%
Brenden Knox run for 18 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
84.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
85.4%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
50
+7
85.5%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+16
85.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 16 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
92.3%
Willie Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:2011% → 22%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
88.9%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
88.5%
Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for 5 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
78.3%
Kesean Strong run for 24 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
85.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 11 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
85.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
85.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
84.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Broc ThompsonSimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+13
83.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 42 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 13 yds to the ODU 42 OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Haynes) to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0018% → 21%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
81.9%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
81.6%
Messiah deWeaver run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+4
82.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Robert Washington for 4 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
81.4%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
80.2%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
80.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Steven Williams for 5 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
79.6%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-3
79.4%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:3685% → 87%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
85.1%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+10
85.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 10 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
85.4%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
87.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani Levias, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+14
86.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 14 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
87.9%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Willie (FORD-DEMENT, K.), PENALTY ODU holding (FORD-DEMENT, K.) 10 yards to the MAR40, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.9%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Broc ThompsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds , Darrell Brown returns for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
84.1%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Blake Watson for 11 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
83.2%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+13
84.7%
Messiah deWeaver run for 3 yds to the ODU 39 MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive holding (Tavante Beckett) to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
81.2%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
82.0%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
50
+7
81.5%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Jake Herslow for 7 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-6
81.1%
Messiah deWeaver sacked by Tyler Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Aaron Moore, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
84.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 5:4888% → 97%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
88.3%
Isaiah Green run for 15 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
89.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 7 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
89.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
89.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the MARSHALL 48 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Lawrence Garner) to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
90.3%
Isaiah Green run for 9 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+1
90.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
90.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 13 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
90.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
90.3%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the ODU 6Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.4%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Messiah deWeaver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.8%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.9%
Messiah deWeaver pass complete to Will Brocchini for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.6%
Messiah deWeaver pass incomplete to Robert WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:4998% → 99%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.7%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+15
98.3%
Brenden Knox run for 15 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
98.6%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 7
-2
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:01
Kesean Strong run for 24 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q4 3:55
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q3 8:21
Willie Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com