Try the model
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · John Haggerty punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−13.7Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:44: Lucky Jackson pass incomplete to Ty Storey — WKU win probability +5.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:50: Gaej Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +7.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Cory Munson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — WKU win probability +3.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. MISSED FG · Q3 5:31: Nick Rice 51 yd FG MISSED — WKU win probability +3.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:58: Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +15.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 3 at ODU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:45ODU 4th & 10 at WKU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56ODU 4th & 5 at WKU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:42WKU 4th & 9 at ODU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:50ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:14WKU 4th & 23 at ODU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:07WKU 4th & 2 at ODU 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−11.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:00ODU 4th & 1 at WKU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−2.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−8.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:31ODU 4th & 19 at WKU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:31WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:34ODU 4th & 3 at WKU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−2.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 17 at WKU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:58ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:07WKU 4th & 1 at ODU 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:17WKU 4th & 4 at ODU 18, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:17ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:50WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:58WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
36.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for no gain to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
36.3%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+21
36.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 21 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
36.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 7 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
36.3%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
36.3%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
36.3%
John Haggerty punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
37.2%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
37.2%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+7
37.1%
Stone Smartt run for 7 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
37.2%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+14
37.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Robert Washington for 14 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
37.4%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
37.5%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
37.4%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
37.5%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
37.5%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-4
37.5%
Stone Smartt run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
37.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, downed at the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
39.4%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+22
39.5%
Ty Storey pass intercepted Harrell Blackmon return for 22 yds to the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -21 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
41.1%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-10
41.1%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the WKent 15 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+1
40.7%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 20
OPP 24
-11
40.2%
Stone Smartt sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 31
OPP 35
0
39.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 28 yds, downed at the WKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
40.6%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+5
40.5%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
40.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Jordan YoungSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-1
40.6%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 12 Gaej Walker fumbled, forced by Lawrence Garner, recovered by ODU Geronda HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5243% → 44%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
43.1%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+1
43.1%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the WKent 10Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+3
42.6%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
43.6%
Nick Rice 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:1057% → 58%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
43.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
44.1%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
43.7%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+29
43.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 29 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
42.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 3 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
42.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Tyler Smith for 10 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
42.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
42.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for no gain to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
42.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Calvin BrewtonSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
42.3%
Cory Munson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
45.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 14 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
45.6%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
46.4%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
45.2%
Stone Smartt pass intercepted Ta'Corian Darden return for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:5460% → 68%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
39.7%
Lucky Jackson pass incomplete to Ty StoreySimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
39.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+5
40.5%
STOREY, T. pass intercepted by BREWTON, Calvin at the ODU5, BREWTON, Calvin return to the ODU5, PENALTY ODU offside defense 5 yards to the ODU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+13
40.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
39.6%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+5
39.6%
Jacquez Sloan run for 5 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
39.6%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.8%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.9%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
35.3%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
34.0%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
34.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds, downed at the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:5967% → 68%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
33.0%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
32.3%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+18
33.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
50
+15
31.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, roughing passer (Marcus Haynes) to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
30.8%
STOREY, T. pass incomplete to SLOAN, J., PENALTY ODU offside defense (ROSS, Juwan) 0 yards to the ODU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+10
30.7%
Gaej Walker run for 10 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
30.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 1 yd to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-14
28.5%
Ty Storey sacked by Juwan Ross for a loss of 14 yards to the ODU 33 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by WKent Lucky Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 23
OPP 33
+51
31.9%
Cory Munson 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
34.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
32.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
34.7%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
33.8%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
32.9%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+35
31.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:5769% → 72%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
31.1%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
29.9%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
29.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 18 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
28.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 10 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+25
28.5%
Gaej Walker run for 25 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
28.4%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.4%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the ODU 2Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
27.6%
Cory Munson 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15MISSED FG
15 plays · 41 yds · 4:3627% → 22%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.2%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
27.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 29 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
29.8%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean Strong, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
29.6%
SMARTT, Stone pass incomplete to HENDRICK, C., PENALTY WKU pass interference (RUFFIN, D.) 11 yards to the WKU35, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
31.5%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
31.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
30.0%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
26.6%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
29.1%
SMARTT, Stone pass incomplete to BROWN, Darrell, QB hurry by JONES, J., PENALTY ODU personal foul (JOYNER, Marcus) 15 yards to the WKU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 25
OPP 40
+2
26.9%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 23
OPP 38
0
26.8%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 23
OPP 38
+4
26.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 4 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 19
OPP 34
+51
22.4%
Nick Rice 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
23.4%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
22.7%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-5
23.0%
Ty Storey run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 35 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by WKent Ty StoreySimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
25.5%
John Haggerty punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:3423% → 20%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
22.8%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Cornell Hendrick Jr., broken up by Dionté RuffinSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
22.5%
SMARTT, Stone pass complete to SPENCER, Isaiah for no gain to the ODU36 (LOWE, D.), PENALTY WKU personal foul (LOWE, D.) 18 yards to the WKU46, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
24.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Robert Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
24.3%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+8
23.4%
Stone Smartt run for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+4
23.5%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 4 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
26.4%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-10
26.3%
Stone Smartt sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 45 OLDDOMINION Penalty, intentional grounding (Stone Smartt) to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+13
22.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Aaron Moore for 13 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-10
21.2%
SMARTT, Stone pass complete to FITZGERALD, N. for 9 yards to the WKU23 (RUFFIN, D.), PENALTY ODU holding (CERVANTES, D.) 10 yards to the WKU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 42
+7
20.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds , Dayton Wade returns for 7 yds to the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 6:3578% → 97%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
22.4%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-3
22.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 9 yds to the WKent 23 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Quin Jernighan) to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+3
22.8%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+11
23.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
22.1%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
21.9%
STOREY, T. pass complete to WALKER, G. for loss of 1 yard to the WKU26 (YOUNG, Jordan), PENALTY WKU illegal shift (ALEXANDER, O.) 5 yards to the WKU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
22.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (Keion White) to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
21.9%
Ty Storey run for 15 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
20.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for no gain to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+25
20.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 25 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
19.0%
Gaej Walker run for 19 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
18.8%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
3.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.2%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
5.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Steven Williams, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
5.2%
Stone Smartt run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
5.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Steven Williams, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 16 yds · 3:4597% → 99%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
3.1%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
3.1%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
2.5%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
2.7%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
2.5%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
2.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+1
2.5%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
1.2%
Cory Munson 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
1.2%
Stone Smartt sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+15
1.2%
Kesean Strong run for 15 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
1.2%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
1.2%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
1.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Darrell Brown for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
1.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Lala Davis for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 12
OPP 39
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:58
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q2 4:50
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)
-7.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 7:44
Lucky Jackson pass incomplete to Ty Storey
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com