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ECU

East Carolina 24 at Old Dominion 21

ODU
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:24 · Jake Verity punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense−6.4Score differential−2.7Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4One-score game−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:21: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +7.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:17: Stone Smartt run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +13.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:36: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Watley for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +16.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:13: Kesean Strong 1 Yd Run (Chris Cunningham Pass to Stone Smartt for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +34.1 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:08: Jonathan Coleman II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 49 — ECU win probability +15.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:59ECU 4th & 10 at ODU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:58ODU 4th & 9 at ECU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:58ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:06ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:19ODU 4th & 7 at ECU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:08ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:36ODU 4th & 28 at ODU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:18ECU 4th & 12 at ODU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:30ODU 4th & 15 at ECU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−10.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:24ECU 4th & 12 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:17ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:03ECU 4th & 10 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 31, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−2.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:26ECU 4th & 7 at ODU 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−5.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:06ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:01ECU 4th & 17 at ECU 43, up 3
    Numbers favored punt by 4.6 ptsWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%−4.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:21ECU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:17ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:36ECU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:13ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.5%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:0149% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
51.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) to the ECaro 1Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+53
51.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 53 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
51.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 8 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
51.2%
Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+8
51.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
51.2%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
51.2%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
51.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Geronda HallSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
51.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
51.3%
Jake Verity 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 6:0151% → 53%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
51.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
51.5%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
51.7%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+14
51.6%
Stone Smartt run for 14 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
51.8%
Matt Geiger run for no gain to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
51.8%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+37
51.5%
Stone Smartt run for 37 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
51.9%
Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 9Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
51.9%
Stone Smartt run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 11Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
51.7%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
52.9%
Nick Rice 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
52.2%
Trace Christian run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
52.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+7
52.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trace Christian for 7 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
52.8%
Jonn Young punt for 47 yds, downed at the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT TD
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3253% → 47%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
52.6%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Matt Geiger for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-2
52.4%
Matt Geiger run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
52.0%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+4
47.4%
Bailey Cate punt blocked by Warren Saba blocked by Warren Saba Warren Saba return for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:0648% → 46%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.2%
Matt Geiger run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
48.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
48.7%
Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
48.6%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+10
48.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 10 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
48.3%
Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
47.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+2
46.6%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
46.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds, downed at the ECaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:0854% → 62%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+21
46.5%
Demetrius Mauney run for 21 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.2%
Demetrius Mauney run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
38.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:0239% → 36%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.3%
Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
39.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Matt Geiger for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
39.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 4 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
39.9%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
39.6%
Stone Smartt run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Stone Smartt fumbled, forced by Ja'Quan McMillian, , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
50
+1
36.8%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
36.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 1 yd to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+1
36.5%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
36.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
33.5%
Demetrius Mauney run for 9 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-10
33.1%
MAUNEY, Dmtrius rush for no gain to the ECU29 (HALL, Geronda;BREWTON, Calvin), PENALTY ECU holding (HOWE, Hussein) 10 yards to the ECU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
33.8%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+30
33.9%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Geronda Hall return for 30 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
34.9%
Messiah deWeaver run for 4 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
34.9%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ECaro 3Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
34.4%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (Jalen Price) to the ECaro 2Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+10
34.4%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 11 Stone Smartt fumbled, forced by Jalen Price, recovered by ECaro Bruce Bivens , return for 10 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
31.4%
Tyler Snead run for 4 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
31.4%
Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
31.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Tobias MossSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
32.4%
Jake Verity punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:2031% → 28%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
30.6%
Stone Smartt run for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 24 Stone Smartt fumbled, recovered by ODU Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 20
OWN 24
-5
30.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Hasaan Patterson) to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 25
OWN 19
+4
30.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 21
OWN 23
-7
29.8%
Stone Smartt sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 28
OWN 16
+3
28.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 3 yds to the ODU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0873% → 74%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+5
27.1%
Trace Christian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
27.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+3
27.4%
Demetrius Mauney run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
26.5%
AHLERS, Holton pass incomplete to PROEHL, Blake, PENALTY ECU holding (SMITH, D'Ante) 10 yards to the ECU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
26.2%
Jake Verity punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
27.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.3%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
28.2%
Matt Geiger run for no gain to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
27.7%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
27.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds , Tyler Snead returns for no gain to the ECaro 36 Tyler Snead fumbled, recovered by ODU Demetrius StitmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:0330% → 44%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
29.8%
Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+15
30.5%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Colby Gore) to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
30.5%
Robert Washington run for 10 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
43.7%
Stone Smartt run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
36.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
34.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 1 yd to the ECaro 39Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
35.6%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Jordan Young return for 7 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:4042% → 44%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
42.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 13 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
43.5%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 16 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
43.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
42.1%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the ECaro 17Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-5
40.2%
Stone Smartt sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 22Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
43.8%
Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
43.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
43.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
44.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Harrell BlackmonSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+15
45.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Keion White) to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
40.3%
Tay Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 1
50
+2
39.2%
Tay Williams run for 2 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
39.6%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 43 Holton Ahlers fumbled, recovered by ECaro D'Ante Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+7
42.7%
Tay Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 12
50
0
41.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 12
50
0
44.7%
Jake Verity punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
42.6%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+6
42.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 6 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+5
40.9%
Stone Smartt run for 5 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
40.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0066% → 62%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
34.1%
Trace Christian run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
50
0
33.1%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
50
0
33.4%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 10
50
0
34.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Tobias MossSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 10
50
0
37.7%
Jake Verity punt for 28 yds, downed at the ODU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1639% → 38%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
39.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 2 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
39.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-5
38.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Cameron Muller) to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+6
37.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
37.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3966% → 88%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
34.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 21 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
31.2%
Tyler Snead run for 20 yds to the OLDDOMNION 34 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (C.J. Johnson) to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
30.6%
Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
30.1%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+28
31.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 28 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
28.6%
Demetrius Mauney run for 4 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
28.6%
Demetrius Mauney run for 2 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
12.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Watley for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
13.9%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
13.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Hasaan PattersonSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+10
13.0%
Stone Smartt pass intercepted Gerard Stringer return for 10 yds to the ODU 31 Gerard Stringer fumbled, forced by Darrell Brown, recovered by ECaro Myles BerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1588% → 88%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
11.6%
Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+2
11.9%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
12.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
12.2%
Jake Verity 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeremy Meiser TEAM return for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25INT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
13.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 8 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
15.4%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-5
14.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Donta Anthony Jr.) to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+7
13.5%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 7 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
15.0%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+8
14.3%
Stone Smartt run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 4
50
+17
15.5%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 17 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
17.5%
Stone Smartt sacked by Chance Purvis for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 38Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
15.2%
Stone Smartt pass intercepted Ja'Quan McMillian return for no gain to the ECaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0591% → 91%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
9.0%
Demetrius Mauney run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
9.1%
Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+1
9.3%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+20
9.0%
Jake Verity punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 42 , Darrell Brown returns for 20 yds to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:539% → 40%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
8.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Keion White) to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 25
OWN 27
-15
7.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Lance Boykin) to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
7.4%
Stone Smartt sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 15
OWN 7
+8
7.1%
Stone Smartt run for 8 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+13
7.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
7.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
5.4%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+18
5.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 18 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+45
5.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 45 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.0%
Kesean Strong 1 Yd Run (Chris Cunningham Pass to Stone Smartt for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · -9 yds · 2:0785% → 93%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
50
-1
14.8%
Jonathan Coleman II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-4
11.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-2
13.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 17
OWN 43
-2
7.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:13
Kesean Strong 1 Yd Run (Chris Cunningham Pass to Stone Smartt for Two-Point Conversion)
+34.1
TD · Q4 10:36
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Watley for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
-16.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:08
Jonathan Coleman II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 49
-15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com