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NORF

Norfolk State 21 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:59 · Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds, downed at the NflkS 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+35.5Home team on offense+7.0Garbage-time factor+2.7Score differential+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:22: Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 57 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone PAT MISSED) — NORF win probability +2.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:03: Shawn McFarland 1 Yd pass from Juwan Carter (Juwan Carter Pass to Da'Kendall James for Two-Point Conversion) — NORF win probability +18.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 5:56: Juwan Carter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK) — NORF win probability +45.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:21: Lala Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +37.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:22: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 37 — ODU win probability +15.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NORF made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 3 at NORF 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42NORF 4th & 13 at NORF 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42NORF 4th & 4 at NORF 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00ODU 4th & 11 at NORF 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NORF 4th & 8 at NORF 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:59ODU 4th & 19 at ODU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:17ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 48, up 8
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02NORF 4th & 5 at midfield, down 8
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NORF 4th & 11 at NORF 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:26ODU 4th & 9 at NORF 9, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:41ODU 4th & 8 at NORF 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00NORF 4th & 8 at NORF 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:16NORF 4th & 2 at NORF 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.8%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NORF made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 8:42ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:22NORF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:03NORF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    19.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:56NORF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:21ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 6:1894% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.2%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
94.2%
Stone Smartt run for 7 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
94.2%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
94.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 12 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
94.2%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the NflkS 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
94.2%
Stone Smartt run for 7 yds to the NflkS 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-1
94.2%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+5
94.2%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the NflkS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
94.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 3 yds to the NflkS 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+15
94.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 15 yds to the NflkS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.5%
Kesean Strong run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.3%
Aaron Savage run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 23Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
93.3%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
93.4%
Aaron Savage run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 22Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
93.4%
Josh Nardone punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NflkS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:3393% → 94%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
93.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 6 yds to the NflkS 34Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-3
93.3%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 37Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
93.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the NflkS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
93.3%
Kesean Strong run for 12 yds to the NflkS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
93.3%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the NflkS 15Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
93.3%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the NflkS 12Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
94.0%
Stone Smartt run for 12 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 4INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
93.8%
Gerald Hulett run for 2 yds to the NflkS 9 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the NflkS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
93.7%
Juwan Carter run for 3 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
93.7%
Gerald Hulett run for 3 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+17
93.8%
Juwan Carter pass intercepted Kaleb Ford-Dement return for 17 yds to the NflkS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:0394% → 94%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
94.0%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the NflkS 23Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+4
94.0%
Stone Smartt run for 4 yds to the NflkS 19Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-1
93.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 20Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
93.7%
Nick Rice 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.3%
Aaron Savage run for 1 yd to the NflkS 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-2
93.3%
Aaron Savage run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+15
93.4%
CARTER,Juwan pass intercepted by YOUNG, Jordan at the NSU23, YOUNG, Jordan return to the NSU23, PENALTY ODU roughing passer (WHITE, Keion) 15 yards to the NSU34, 1ST DOWN NSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
93.2%
Aaron Savage run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+3
93.3%
Aaron Savage run for 3 yds to the NflkS 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
93.3%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 36
-3
93.4%
Ryan Richter punt for 55 yds , Jake Herslow returns for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
93.5%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+6
93.5%
Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
93.6%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 16 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.6%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
93.6%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-5
93.5%
Stone Smartt sacked by Chris Myers for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 14
OWN 28
-5
93.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 19
OWN 23
0
93.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds, downed at the NflkS 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 8TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
90.8%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 57 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
90.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
90.8%
Lala Davis run for 10 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.1%
Stone Smartt run for 2 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
91.2%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
91.0%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
90.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bobby Price at the NflkS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
90.8%
Juwan Carter run for 4 yds to the NflkS 17Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
90.8%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Gerald Hulett for 5 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+23
90.9%
Juwan Carter run for 23 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.1%
Aaron Savage run for no gain to the NflkS 45Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
90.3%
Aaron Savage run for 2 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+3
90.3%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 5
50
0
90.6%
Ryan Richter punt for 47 yds, downed at the ODU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
90.1%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+5
90.0%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.8%
Aaron Savage run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
89.7%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Aaron Savage for a loss of 5 yards to the NflkS 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+25
90.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 25 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
88.8%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Justin Redd) to the NflkS 32Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
89.5%
Juwan Carter sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 8 yards to the NflkS 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+7
90.0%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 7 yds to the NflkS 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+1
90.5%
Ryan Richter punt for 43 yds , Jake Herslow returns for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:2690% → 92%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
89.9%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+18
89.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 18 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
90.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 13 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
90.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 12 yds to the NflkS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
91.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 9 yds to the NflkS 20Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+2
91.0%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the NflkS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
91.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 2 yds to the NflkS 16Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+8
91.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the NflkS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
91.0%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jordan YoungSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
91.0%
Lala Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 9Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
91.9%
Nick Rice 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
91.8%
Gerald Hulett run for 2 yds to the NflkS 21Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+9
91.8%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 9 yds to the NflkS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
91.6%
Juwan Carter run for no gain to the NflkS 30 NORFOLK ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NflkS 20Similar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+13
91.8%
Juwan Carter run for 13 yds to the NflkS 33Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
91.5%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 5 yds to the NflkS 38Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
91.1%
Aaron Savage run for 3 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
91.2%
Juwan Carter run for 5 yds to the NflkS 46 Juwan Carter fumbled, forced by Justinn Richardson, recovered by ODU Geronda HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
92.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Aaron Moore for 6 yds to the NflkS 40Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-1
92.8%
Stone Smartt run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 41Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-10
92.4%
SMARTT, Stone pass complete to HERSLOW, Jake for 29 yards to the NSU12, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ODU holding (WEAVER, Isaac) 10 yards to the ODU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+7
92.0%
Lala Davis run for 7 yds to the NflkS 44Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 8
OWN 0
0
91.6%
CATE, Bailey punt 44 yards to the NSU0, touchback, PENALTY ODU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY NSU offside defense off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
91.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 43 yds, downed at the NflkS 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:147% → 7%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
92.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (Keion White) to the NflkS 6Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 5
OWN 6
0
92.9%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+1
93.0%
Aaron Savage run for 1 yd to the NflkS 7Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+8
93.3%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Shawn McFarland for 8 yds to the NflkS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
92.5%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 7 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-5
91.8%
Juwan Carter sacked by Juwan Ross for a loss of 5 yards to the NflkS 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
92.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Aaron SavageSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
93.1%
Ryan Richter punt for 47 yds, downed at the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
93.2%
Steven Williams pass intercepted Devyn Coles return for 24 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:2510% → 29%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
90.5%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
89.6%
Juwan Carter run for 4 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
89.9%
CARTER,Juwan pass incomplete to JAMES,D., PENALTY ODU pass interference (HALL, Geronda) 15 yards to the ODU15, 1ST DOWN NSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
89.6%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque Ellington, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+14
89.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Tylan McElhenie for 14 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.6%
Juwan Carter run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.4%
Shawn McFarland 1 Yd pass from Juwan Carter (Juwan Carter Pass to Da'Kendall James for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.4%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
80.8%
Stone Smartt pass intercepted Nhyre' Quinerly return for 8 yds to the NflkS 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 20TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:4226% → 73%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
74.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Aaron Savage for 1 yd to the NflkS 44Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
74.5%
Aaron Savage run for 2 yds to the NflkS 46Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+17
75.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Aaron Savage for 17 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.6%
Aaron Savage run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+19
72.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 19 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
71.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 9 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
71.1%
Juwan Carter run for no gain to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
27.2%
Juwan Carter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 2:3045% → 89%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
45.2%
Stone Smartt run for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
47.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+15
47.1%
Lala Davis run for 15 yds to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
50.8%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the NflkS 47Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
50.7%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Lala DavisSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+31
48.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 31 yds to the NflkS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
54.5%
Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the NflkS 10Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
54.5%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the NflkS 7Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
51.2%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the NflkS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.9%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 22INT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
77.6%
Aaron Savage run for 3 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Aaron Savage for 5 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
76.4%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque Ellington, broken up by Lance BoykinSimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+3
78.4%
Juwan Carter run for 3 yds to the NflkS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
76.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 28Similar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+3
77.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Gerald Hulett for 3 yds to the NflkS 31Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+11
77.7%
Juwan Carter pass intercepted Lance Boykin return for 11 yds to the NflkS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0293% → 94%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
93.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 37Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
91.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 39Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-2
94.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:56
Juwan Carter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Nardone KICK)
-45.8
TD · Q4 3:21
Lala Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
+37.7
TD · Q4 11:03
Shawn McFarland 1 Yd pass from Juwan Carter (Juwan Carter Pass to Da'Kendall James for Two-Point Conversion)
-18.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com