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HAW

Hawai'i 20 at Washington 52

WASH
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:31 · Stan Gaudion punt for 40 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 1 yd to the Wash 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+40.5Home team on offense+1.2Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:02: Jacob Eason pass complete to Puka Nacua for 28 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:32: Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 37 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:16: Miles Reed run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +1.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:56: Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — HAW win probability +1.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:02: Richard Newton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:31HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:54HAW 4th & 1 at WASH 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:16HAW 4th & 10 at WASH 37, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:16WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:43HAW 4th & 10 at WASH 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:27WASH 4th & 6 at HAW 6, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:09WASH 4th & 20 at WASH 12, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:17HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 47, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:42HAW 4th & 1 at WASH 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:13HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:13WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 40, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:44WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:36WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:02WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:32WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:45WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:39HAW Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:16HAW Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:56HAW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:02WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:13WASH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:1692% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
92.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 6 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+8
92.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 8 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
92.1%
HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Khoury Bethley) to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
91.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
91.9%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Myles Bryant return for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:2792% → 92%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
91.9%
Andre Baccellia run for 8 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
91.9%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
91.9%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
91.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 6 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+22
92.0%
Sean McGrew run for 22 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
92.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 1 yd to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+13
92.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.0%
Melquise Stovall run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
92.0%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
92.0%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+1
92.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 40 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4492% → 94%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
92.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 14 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+14
92.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 14 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
92.0%
Jacob Eason sacked by Kaimana Padello for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
92.0%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (Derek Thomas) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+8
92.0%
Jacob Eason run for 8 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
93.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Puka Nacua for 28 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 25 yds · 3:387% → 6%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
93.2%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
93.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 10 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
93.1%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
93.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
93.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
92.7%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Kyler GordonSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
93.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+55
94.2%
Ryan Meskell 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
94.3%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Fuller, Aaron, PENALTY WASH holding (Kirkland,Jaxson) 10 yards to the WASH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
94.1%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+9
94.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 9 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
94.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+9
94.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for 9 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:126% → 5%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 2 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
94.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-6
94.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Myles Bryant for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
94.7%
Ben Scruton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:2195% → 97%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
94.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
94.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
94.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
94.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
97.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 37 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:493% → 3%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
97.1%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.2%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+11
97.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
97.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.0%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
97.1%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
97.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
97.2%
Ryan Meskell 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:5898% → 99%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
97.8%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+14
97.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 14 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+42
97.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 42 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
98.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.5%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Myles Bryant return for 4 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5899% → 99%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
98.6%
Sean McGrew run for 12 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.6%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+12
98.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 12 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
98.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
98.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
98.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 7 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.6%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.1%
Peyton Henry 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:431% → 1%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 8 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-5
99.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+15
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 15 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.3%
Miles Reed run for 12 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 5 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+12
99.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 12 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 0
OWN 9
0
99.1%
Miles Reed 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Meskell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
99.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 5:431% → 3%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
99.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
99.1%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
99.1%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.1%
Cole McDonald run for 9 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+6
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.0%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
99.0%
Cole McDonald run for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+19
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 19 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+22
98.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 22 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Melquise Stovall, broken up by Elijah MoldenSimilar
Q3 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.1%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
97.7%
Ahmed, Salvon rush for 3 yards to the WASH25 (Hicks, Kalen), PENALTY WASH holding (Otton, Cade) 10 yards to the WASH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
97.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 20
OWN 12
0
97.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter Bryant, broken up by Donovan DaltonSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 20
OWN 12
0
97.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 20
OWN 12
0
97.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Melquise Stovall at the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
15 plays · 53 yds · 6:212% → 4%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+14
97.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 14 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.5%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
97.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
97.4%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+4
97.8%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
97.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 5 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
97.6%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+7
97.8%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.6%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
97.6%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
95.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5497% → 100%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.1%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
97.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+30
97.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 30 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
97.3%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
97.3%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+7
97.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
97.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 17 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
97.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 11 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Jacob Eason run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Cameron Williams return for 19 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.7%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
99.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 5 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.7%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for no gain to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
99.7%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Richard Newton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chico McClatcher at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-2
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Austin Osborne for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 8 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 3 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
100.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to James Phillips for 9 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
100.0%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 11 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Hekili Keliiliki run for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+15
100.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to James Phillips for 15 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:32
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 37 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q3 9:16
Miles Reed run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q3 1:56
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com