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ARIZ

Arizona 38 at Hawai'i 45

HAW
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 24, 2019 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+13.3HAW 65.8%Ryan Meskell 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 35 - HOME 38 · Q4 10:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:39 · Ryan Meskell 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior−5.3Home team on offense+8.8Garbage-time factor+3.1Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:02: Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +13.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:23: J.J. Taylor run for 24 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +18.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:51: Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 21 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +22.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:39: Ryan Meskell 34 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +13.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:02: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +18.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:07HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:06ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:26ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:44ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:06ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:46ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:33HAW 4th & 10 at ARIZ 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:39HAW 4th & 2 at ARIZ 17, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%−3.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−23.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:53ARIZ 4th & 27 at HAW 35, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    8.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:51HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:22HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:54HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:23ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:50HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:00ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:47ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:28HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:02HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:23ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:51ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:02HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2423% → 24%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
23.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
23.6%
Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
23.8%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
24.3%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Jace Whittaker return for no gain to the Ariz 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0976% → 76%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
24.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
24.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
24.4%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Kai Kaneshiro return for no gain to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4625% → 28%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
24.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
24.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
24.9%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
25.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+7
25.7%
Dayton Furuta run for 7 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
26.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+8
26.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian Young) to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
28.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1373% → 71%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Bryce WolmaSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
28.2%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
28.8%
Matt Aragon punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 3:0329% → 36%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
28.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 6 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-9
29.4%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gene Pryor) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+3
29.1%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
29.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 8 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+15
30.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 15 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
36.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 39 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5565% → 63%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
34.9%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
35.5%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
36.7%
Matt Aragon punt for 41 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:5737% → 40%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
36.9%
Fred Holly III run for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
38.0%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
39.9%
Cedric Byrd II run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+14
40.4%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Lorenzo Burns return for 14 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:4763% → 67%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
37.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
37.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+13
38.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 13 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
37.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Michael WileySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+16
38.3%
Khalil Tate run for 16 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
38.1%
Tayvian Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
33.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 14 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2436% → 50%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
36.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
36.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 5 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
37.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
39.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
50
0
40.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
50
+10
39.9%
Cole McDonald run for 10 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
40.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 12 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
41.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 3 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
50.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 25 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:3353% → 62%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
47.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
47.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
47.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 16 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
46.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 13 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
46.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Michael Wiley for 33 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.3%
Nathan Tilford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11INT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:4245% → 50%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
45.3%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
45.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 9 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
47.4%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+18
47.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to James Phillips for 18 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
48.7%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
49.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+10
49.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 10 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
51.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (Taaga Tuulima) to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
51.1%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+14
50.1%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Tony Fields II return for 14 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:5853% → 70%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
47.3%
Khalil Tate run for 11 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
46.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Michael Wiley for 7 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+31
45.2%
Khalil Tate run for 31 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
29.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 27 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1038% → 54%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
37.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 14 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
39.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
41.0%
McDonald, Cole pass incomplete to Byrd II, Cedric, PENALTY ARIZONA false start 5 yards to the ARIZONA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
41.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
53.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 35 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1650% → 49%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
48.5%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-9
48.9%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
51.5%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:0149% → 45%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
51.2%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
51.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+16
53.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 16 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
50.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Drew Dixon for 1 yd to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
51.1%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
53.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tre AdamsSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
-5
54.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
55.2%
Matt Aragon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Melquise Stovall at the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:2854% → 73%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+41
54.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 41 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
58.4%
McDonald, Cole pass incomplete to Smart, Jared, PENALTY ARIZONA pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZONA22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
58.9%
Dayton Furuta run for 15 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
59.3%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5230% → 27%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
70.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.7%
Khalil Tate sacked by Kana'i Picanco for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+8
72.7%
Matt Aragon punt for 39 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for 8 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0775% → 75%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+17
74.9%
Dayton Furuta run for 17 yds to the Ariz 37 Dayton Furuta fumbled, forced by Christian Young, recovered by Ariz Christian YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0029% → 26%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Gary BrightwellSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
71.0%
Brightwell, Gary rush for 7 yards to the ARIZONA44, PENALTY ARIZONA holding (Congel, Robert) 10 yards to the ARIZONA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+12
73.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Drew Dixon for 12 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
72.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tre AdamsSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
73.9%
Matt Aragon punt for 16 yds, downed at the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:3877% → 80%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
77.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 21 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
77.8%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Jason-Matthew Sharsh) to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+8
79.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 8 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+9
80.2%
Fred Holly III run for 9 yds to the Ariz 32 Fred Holly III fumbled, recovered by Ariz Colin Schooler , return for 10 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:0725% → 45%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
74.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
74.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 10 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
75.1%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 48Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+14
76.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 14 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
75.5%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
73.7%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
73.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 5 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
55.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 24 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:4267% → 69%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
66.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 21 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
70.1%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
69.3%
McDonald, Cole pass incomplete, PENALTY ARIZONA roughing holder (Harris, Jalen) 15 yards to the ARIZONA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
70.6%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Gene Pryor) to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
69.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+5
68.2%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+17
68.9%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Jace Whittaker return for 17 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:3439% → 58%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
60.6%
Tate, Khalil pass incomplete, PENALTY HAWAII pass interference (Hicks, Kalen) 15 yards to the HAWAII37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA.Similar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
60.3%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+15
61.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 15 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
60.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
37.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 21 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-15
42.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Stanley Berryhill III) to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:2149% → 66%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
48.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
52.5%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+18
51.2%
Miles Reed run for 18 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
54.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 4 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
56.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 10 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
57.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd IISimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
57.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
55.5%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Ariz 17Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
65.8%
Ryan Meskell 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25INT
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:4340% → 48%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.8%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
58.5%
Khalil Tate run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
50
+21
53.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 21 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
50.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+5
51.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 5 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
51.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+49
51.8%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Ikem Okeke return for 49 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:2471% → 91%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
71.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 22 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
72.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-3
74.7%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-5
73.3%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (JoJo Ward) to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+30
91.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:5710% → 12%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
90.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 57 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
86.4%
Khalil Tate sacked by Eugene Ford for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
87.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
88.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 12
OPP 20
-5
89.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 17
OPP 25
-5
91.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Morgan) to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 22
OPP 30
-5
91.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Morgan) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 27
OPP 35
+53
87.7%
Lucas Havrisik 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 2:5392% → 96%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
92.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
92.9%
Miles Reed run for 9 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
94.8%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
95.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 2
50
-5
96.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Colin Schooler and Jalen Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brian Casteel at the Ariz 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 83 yds · 0:457% → 14%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.2%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
93.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 11 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.2%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+26
92.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 26 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
90.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 13 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+30
86.5%
Khalil Tate run for 30 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:51
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 21 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q3 4:23
J.J. Taylor run for 24 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q4 5:02
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com