Try the model
NCSU

NC State 26 at Georgia Tech 28

GT
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2019 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:39 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds, downed at the NCSt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+15.5Pregame prior−1.1Garbage-time factor+9.6Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:32: Ahmarean Brown 11 Yd pass from James Graham (Brenton King Kick) — GT win probability +8.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:15: Zonovan Knight 7 Yd Run (Christopher Dunn Kick) — NCSU win probability +11.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:08: James Graham 26 Yd Run (Brenton King Kick) — GT win probability +14.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:53: Cary Angeline 4 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Christopher Dunn Kick) — NCSU win probability +15.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:17: Ricky Person Jr. 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — NCSU win probability +31.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:37NCSU 4th & 1 at GT 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34NCSU 4th & 2 at GT 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30GT 4th & 2 at GT 19, up 7
    Close callPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:31NCSU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:18NCSU 4th & 14 at NCSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05GT 4th & 1 at NCSU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:48NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:27GT 4th & 8 at GT 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:02NCSU 4th & 3 at GT 3, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:50GT 4th & 1 at NCSU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−2.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:18NCSU 4th & 1 at GT 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−2.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:15NCSU 4th & 8 at GT 12, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:39GT 4th & 9 at GT 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 13:44GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:48GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32GT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:15NCSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:08GT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:53NCSU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:17NCSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:4644% → 44%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+54
43.5%
James Graham pass complete to Malachi Carter for 54 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
43.9%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 17Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
44.3%
Ahmarean Brown 17 Yd pass from James Graham (Brenton King Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:5456% → 53%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 11 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
44.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 16 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
44.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 6 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
44.8%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
45.3%
Devin Leary run for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
45.9%
Devin Leary run for 3 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
45.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 18 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
45.8%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
46.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+3
46.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 2
OPP 10
-1
47.1%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4448% → 48%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
47.9%
James Graham run for 6 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
48.0%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+2
47.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
47.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5352% → 51%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
48.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
48.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+4
48.4%
Devin Leary run for 4 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
48.5%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
48.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 3
50
0
48.5%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 3
50
0
49.1%
Trenton Gill punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ahmarean Brown at the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4050% → 53%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
49.9%
James Graham run for 5 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-5
49.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
50.4%
James Graham run for 2 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+10
50.2%
Jordan Mason run for 10 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+48
51.4%
Jordan Mason run for 48 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
52.6%
James Graham pass complete to Malachi Carter for 20 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
53.2%
James Graham run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 15 James Graham fumbled, forced by Ibrahim Kante, recovered by NCSt Larrell MurchisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4249% → 47%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
51.4%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 15Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
51.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 10Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+1
52.8%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 11Similar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
53.5%
Trenton Gill punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ahmarean Brown at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:1754% → 62%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
50
+25
54.2%
Jordan Mason run for 25 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
54.5%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
54.7%
Jamious Griffin run for 4 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
54.3%
Jamious Griffin run for 3 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
53.8%
James Graham run for 3 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
62.4%
Tobias Oliver 13 Yd pass from James Graham (Brenton King Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4540% → 39%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
60.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
60.8%
Trenton Gill punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ahmarean Brown at the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1563% → 64%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.5%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
62.8%
Jamious Griffin run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
62.9%
James Graham run for 9 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
64.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
65.3%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
64.7%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
64.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds, downed at the NCSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FG
19 plays · 93 yds · 8:0536% → 32%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
63.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 11 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
63.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
64.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
64.3%
Devin Leary run for 3 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
64.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+19
65.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
50
+7
64.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
64.3%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
65.1%
Devin Leary run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
64.2%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+15
65.5%
Jordan Houston run for 15 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
65.0%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+3
65.3%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
66.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
66.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for no gain to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-12
66.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 12 yards to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+14
68.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 14 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
68.4%
Christopher Dunn 20 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3471% → 71%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.1%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
71.5%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-1
71.0%
Jamious Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:1274% → 84%
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+5
74.1%
James Graham pass complete to Nathan Cottrell for 5 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+11
72.0%
NC STATE Penalty, Roughing Passer (11 Yards) to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
83.5%
Ahmarean Brown 11 Yd pass from James Graham (Brenton King Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.8%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:3020% → 31%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
79.6%
Tabari Hines run for 6 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
79.6%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
79.6%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
79.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
80.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 11 yds Devin Carter fumbled, recovered by NCStSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
79.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Zonovan Knight for 11 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
78.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 15 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
78.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-1
79.2%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+7
81.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 7 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
80.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
68.7%
Zonovan Knight 7 Yd Run (Christopher Dunn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:5175% → 94%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
74.7%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
74.6%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+9
75.6%
James Graham pass complete to Tyler Davis for 9 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
77.3%
James Graham run for 14 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
77.8%
Jamious Griffin run for 5 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
78.3%
James Graham run for 4 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
77.9%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
76.7%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
79.0%
Jamious Griffin run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
79.2%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+26
93.9%
James Graham 26 Yd Run (Brenton King Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 3:3511% → 12%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
89.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 21 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
88.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+20
88.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jasiah Provillon for 20 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
86.9%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+7
88.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 7 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
88.4%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
89.0%
Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
88.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
89.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
87.9%
Christopher Dunn 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:3093% → 96%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.2%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
93.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+19
93.6%
James Graham run for 19 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.3%
James Graham run for 4 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+23
95.0%
James Graham run for 23 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
95.5%
James Graham run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 36 James Graham fumbled, recovered by NCSt Larrell MurchisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:2110% → 26%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.3%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 36Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+29
91.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 29 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
89.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 31 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.2%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.0%
Cary Angeline 4 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Christopher Dunn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0784% → 84%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.5%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
84.4%
James Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
83.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds, downed at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0518% → 50%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
82.1%
Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+18
82.3%
Jordan Houston run for 18 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
81.1%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
80.5%
Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
80.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-10
80.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 17
50
0
84.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 17
50
+22
85.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 22 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
79.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+16
80.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 16 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
80.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.9%
Devin Leary run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.5%
Ricky Person Jr. 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:5969% → 94%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.8%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
71.6%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
73.3%
James Graham run for 7 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
76.6%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
78.6%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
80.8%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
86.0%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
88.3%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-1
94.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:17
Ricky Person Jr. 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-31.3
TD · Q4 11:53
Cary Angeline 4 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Christopher Dunn Kick)
-15.3
TD · Q3 5:08
James Graham 26 Yd Run (Brenton King Kick)
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com