Try the model
CLEM

Clemson 55 at NC State 10

NCSU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Carter-Finley Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:44 · Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, downed at the NCSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior−20.3Home team on offense−53.3Score differential−33.6Garbage-time factor−14.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:00: Tee Higgins 33 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:31: Travis Etienne 4 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:31: Travis Etienne 19 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:30: John Simpson 1 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:45: Justyn Ross 33 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:10NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:30NCSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:06CLEM 4th & 6 at NCSU 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:27NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:07NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:52CLEM 4th & 5 at midfield, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:25CLEM 4th & 3 at NCSU 38, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:31NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:31CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:44CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 24, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:50NCSU 4th & 8 at CLEM 42, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:36NCSU 4th & 9 at CLEM 9, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:49CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 27, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:23CLEM 4th & 1 at NCSU 14, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:56CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:00CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:31CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:31CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:30CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:45CLEM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:04NCSU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:21CLEM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:11CLEM Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:4999% → 98%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
1.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
1.5%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+14
1.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 14 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
1.6%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+20
1.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 20 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
1.7%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+12
1.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
1.9%
Trevor Lawrence run for 6 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
1.8%
Trevor Lawrence 7 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.9%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
2.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
2.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
2.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 56 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 29 CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (Andrew Booth Jr.) to the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 4:0198% → 98%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+28
2.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for 28 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
2.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
2.2%
Travis Etienne run for 13 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
2.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
2.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Joe Ngata for 9 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
2.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
2.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 31Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+8
2.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-10
2.4%
Lawrence, Trevor rush for 3 yards to the NCSTATE20, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Pollard, Sean) 10 yards to the NCSTATE33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+33
2.2%
Tee Higgins 33 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
2.3%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
2.4%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 12 yards to the NCSt 3 Jordan Houston fumbled, recovered by Clem Chad Smith , return for 9 yds to the NCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2998% → 98%
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
2.2%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 4Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.8%
Travis Etienne 4 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
1.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 8 yds to the NCSt 32 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cary Angeline) to the NCSt 22Similar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 12
OWN 39
+7
2.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 17 yds to the NCSt 39 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keyon Lesane) to the NCSt 29Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 5
OWN 29
-8
2.0%
Devin Leary run for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 21 Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by Clem Tyler DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:4298% → 98%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
1.7%
Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
1.8%
Travis Etienne 19 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
1.3%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
1.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete, broken up by Justin FosterSimilar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
1.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Zonovan Knight, broken up by James SkalskiSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
1.3%
Devin Leary run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 36Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+22
1.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 22 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.4%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
1.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
1.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
1.3%
Trenton Gill punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:1798% → 98%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Joe Ngata, broken up by Malik DunlapSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+5
2.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for 5 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+5
2.2%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jakeen Harris) to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
2.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 12 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
1.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+16
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 16 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
1.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
1.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for no gain to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+20
2.2%
Will Spiers punt for 35 yds, downed at the NCSt 13 CLEMSON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Derion Kendrick) to the NCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
1.2%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+3
1.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 3 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+8
1.2%
Trenton Gill punt for 53 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 8 yds to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:4998% → 99%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
2.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Joe Ngata for 9 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
1.9%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
2.0%
Travis Etienne run for 26 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Luke PriceSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+27
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 27 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
2.0%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the NCSt 1Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.9%
John Simpson 1 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jasiah ProvillonSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+1
0.7%
Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the NCSt 22Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
0.7%
Trenton Gill punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
1.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 15 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Stephen Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete, broken up by Larrell MurchisonSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+10
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Lyn-J Dixon for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 5
50
+17
0.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Lyn-J Dixon for 17 yds Lyn-J Dixon fumbled, recovered by Clem Lyn-J Dixon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
0.6%
Justyn Ross 33 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:231% → 0%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
0.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 41 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
0.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 19 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
0.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-15
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Clem 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem Xavier ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.6%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 15 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
0.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
0.5%
Devin Leary run for 9 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+53
0.7%
Zonovan Knight 53 Yd Run (Christopher Dunn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:3399% → 100%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
0.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jackson Carman) to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
0.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
0.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 9 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
0.6%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+13
0.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 13 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
0.6%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
0.6%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-5
0.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Tremayne Anchrum) to the NCSt 44Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-5
0.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+11
0.5%
Travis Etienne run for 11 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+32
0.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 32 yds to the NCSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
0.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 8Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.4%
Travis Etienne 8 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by Nolan TurnerSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Trenton Gill punt for 75 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
0.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 9 yds to the Clem 29 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Luke Price) to the Clem 19Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 11
OWN 19
+11
0.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Will Swinney for 11 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Joe NgataSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-4
0.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Joe Ngata, broken up by Jaylon ScottSimilar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Will Spiers punt for 59 yds, downed at the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 4:400% → 0%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.2%
Keyon Lesane run for 5 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
0.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
0.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Williams) to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
0.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+5
0.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaiah Simmons) to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
0.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Trent Pennix for 16 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
0.2%
Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+38
0.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 38 yds to the Clem 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
0.3%
Houston, Jordan rush for 1 yard to the CLEMSON6, PENALTY NCSTATE illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
0.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-15
0.2%
Houston, Jordan rush for no gain to the CLEMSON12, PENALTY NCSTATE personal foul (Fedd-Jackson, Joshua) 15 yards to the CLEMSON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 27
-2
0.2%
Devin Leary sacked by Logan Rudolph for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 0
OPP 29
+46
0.2%
Christopher Dunn 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem Chase BriceSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+1
0.3%
Darien Rencher run for 1 yd to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
0.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Darien Rencher for 8 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
0.3%
Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, downed at the NCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22DOWNS
15 plays · 56 yds · 6:020% → 0%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.2%
Devin Leary run for 6 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-4
0.1%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+19
0.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 19 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.2%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-14
0.1%
Devin Leary sacked by Elijah Turner for a loss of 14 yards to the NCSTATE 45 NC STATE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Devin Leary) to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+13
0.1%
Devin Leary run for 13 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+15
0.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 15 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
0.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+15
0.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 15 yds to the Clem 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jasiah ProvillonSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
0.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Clem 9Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for no gain to the Clem 9Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
0.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+4
0.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Cornell Powell for 4 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
0.1%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
0.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Will Swinney for 2 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.1%
Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
0.2%
Will Spiers punt for 50 yds , Tabari Hines returns for no gain to the NCSt 23 Tabari Hines fumbled, recovered by Clem John BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Joe NgataSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
0.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Diondre Overton for 2 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+7
0.2%
Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+10
0.2%
Chase Brice run for 10 yds to the NCSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.1%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 1Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.1%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Will SwinneySimilar
Q4 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Michel Dukes 1 Yd Run (James Skalski PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25Uncategorized
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.0%
Trent Pennix run for 5 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:30
John Simpson 1 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)
-1.2
TD · Q1 3:31
Travis Etienne 4 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)
-0.5
TD · Q1 5:00
Tee Higgins 33 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com