Try the model
NCSU

NC State 10 at Wake Forest 44

WAKE
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:42 · Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 10 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cecil Powell) to the NCSt 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+33.1Score differential+23.6Pregame prior+8.2Garbage-time factor+11.1Blowout margin+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:41: Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:32: Jamie Newman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +3.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:19: Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 3 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:27: Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:38: Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 9NCSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:19NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:27NCSU 4th & 19 at NCSU 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00WAKE 4th & 1 at NCSU 46, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−1.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:41NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 1, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:26WAKE 4th & 4 at NCSU 7, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:16NCSU 4th & 5 at WAKE 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:23WAKE 4th & 5 at NCSU 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:59WAKE 4th & 8 at NCSU 8, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:20NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 24, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:42WAKE 4th & 16 at NCSU 47, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:20NCSU 4th & 11 at WAKE 41, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:21WAKE 4th & 1 at midfield, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:43NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 6, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:41WAKE 4th & 7 at NCSU 48, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:55NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 12, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:23WAKE 4th & 6 at midfield, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:01NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 19, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:34WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 20, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:07NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:34WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:41WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:32WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:19NCSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:27WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:38WAKE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:3126% → 26%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
74.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
74.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
74.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 5 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+7
74.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 7 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
74.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
73.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-3
73.9%
Devin Leary sacked by Traveon Redd for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
74.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
74.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kendall Hinton at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 3:2674% → 76%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
73.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
73.8%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+9
73.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 9 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
73.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Cade Carney for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
73.6%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+15
73.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 15 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
73.8%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
73.6%
Cade Carney run for 11 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
73.9%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
73.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+10
73.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 10 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
73.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 15 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
75.5%
Jamie Newman run for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3476% → 78%
Q1 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
75.7%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 5Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3823% → 23%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
77.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Trent Pennix for 7 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.5%
Devin Leary pass intercepted Amari Henderson return for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 1:5879% → 83%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
78.6%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
79.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
79.3%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+10
79.1%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
79.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 16 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
79.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 22 yds to the NCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
79.8%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the NCSt 2Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.3%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:0517% → 15%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.1%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Joe Sculthorpe) to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-4
83.3%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 16Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
83.8%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 16Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
84.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+1
84.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 51 yds , Kendall Hinton returns for 1 yd to the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:2084% → 85%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
84.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 11 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.0%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
85.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 4 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
85.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+44
85.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds, downed at the NCSt 4 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (2 Yards) to the NCSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1914% → 14%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
86.0%
Trent Pennix run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 1Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
86.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
86.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+15
86.4%
Trenton Gill punt for 43 yds , Kendall Hinton returns for 15 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0487% → 89%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
86.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 16 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
87.4%
Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds to the NCSt 8Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-4
87.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 12Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
87.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
88.8%
Nick Sciba 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:5112% → 17%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 10 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
88.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 4 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+16
88.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 16 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
88.2%
Jordan Houston run for 9 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
88.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+6
88.2%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
88.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
88.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+14
88.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Roughing Passer (14 Yards) to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
88.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 10 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 3 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3886% → 92%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 3 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+7
86.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 7 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
86.5%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+20
86.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 5 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
86.8%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 27 yds to the NCSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
87.0%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 2Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 1:449% → 9%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
90.8%
Jordan Houston run for 22 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
90.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 4
50
+3
90.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+19
90.5%
Trent Pennix run for 19 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
90.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
90.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
90.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
90.8%
Christopher Dunn 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 3:4793% → 95%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Brandon ChapmanSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Matthew Alderfer) to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
93.4%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
93.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 7 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for no gain to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
94.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+14
94.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 14 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
95.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 12 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.1%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
95.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
94.9%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Brandon ChapmanSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+34
94.8%
Nick Sciba 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:147% → 8%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.9%
Trent Pennix run for 12 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
92.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 24 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:0794% → 99%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
94.4%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+10
94.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 10 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+9
94.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 9 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+59
94.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 59 yds to the NCSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Devin Leary pass intercepted Amari Henderson return for no gain to the NCSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:2199% → 99%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
98.8%
Jamie Newman run for 6 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
98.9%
Cade Carney run for 9 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.0%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
99.0%
Jamie Newman run for 6 yds to the NCSt 6Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
98.9%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the NCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
99.0%
Jamie Newman sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 13Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
99.2%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the NCSt 8Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
99.3%
Nick Sciba 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
99.2%
Trenton Gill punt for 53 yds , Kendall Hinton returns for 14 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 4:1899% → 100%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.3%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-4
99.4%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+13
99.4%
Kenneth Walker III run for 13 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.5%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
50
+6
99.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Steven Claude for 6 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-6
99.6%
Jamie Newman sacked by Tanner Ingle and Drake Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 47Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 16
OPP 47
+42
99.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 10 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cecil Powell) to the NCSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:190% → 0%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
99.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
99.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+15
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 15 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tabari Hines for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+12
99.7%
Devin Leary run for 12 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+27
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 27 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.7%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+3
99.7%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-5
99.8%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Emanuel McGirt Jr.) to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+8
99.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Waydale Jones for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 1
50
0
99.8%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.8%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 12 Jordan Houston fumbled, recovered by NCStSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 6
OWN 12
-6
99.9%
Devin Leary sacked by Ryan Smenda Jr. and Ja'Cquez Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 6Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 45 yds, downed at the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Michael Kern pass incomplete to Waydale JonesSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Michael Kern pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the NCSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sage Surratt at the WFrst 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
DeAndre' Delaney run for no gain to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 5 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-1
99.9%
DeAndre' Delaney run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 6
50
0
99.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+11
99.9%
Trent Pennix run for 11 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jasiah ProvillonSimilar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 4
OWN 19
-2
99.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 61 yds , Sage Surratt returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Michael Kern run for 1 yd to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Michael Kern run for 1 yd to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
99.9%
DeAndre' Delaney run for no gain to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 11 yds to the NCSt 31 NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the NCSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for no gain to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Will Dabbs run for 2 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+9
100.0%
Devin Leary run for 9 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Devin Leary run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 8
OPP 46
-5
100.0%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 36 yds, downed at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:27
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 9:19
Devin Leary pass complete to Cary Angeline for 3 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q3 13:38
Jamie Newman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com