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SYR

Syracuse 10 at NC State 16

NCSU
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2019 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:57 · Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Cameron Jordan
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+19.2Pregame prior+1.7Score differential+9.3Garbage-time factor+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Time remaining+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:16: Trent Pennix 32 Yd pass from Thayer Thomas (Christopher Dunn Kick) — NCSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 4:18: Christopher Dunn 23 Yd Field Goal — NCSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:00: Trishton Jackson 2 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +21.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:00: Sterling Hofrichter kickoff for 60 yds — NCSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:54: Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the NCSt 42 — NCSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:10SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08NCSU 4th & 9 at SYR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:44SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:17NCSU 4th & 11 at SYR 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:57SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:35NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 28, down 6
    Close callPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:58NCSU 4th & 17 at NCSU 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:57SYR 4th & 25 at SYR 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:23NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:50SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:18NCSU 4th & 6 at SYR 6, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:54SYR 4th & 7 at NCSU 14, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:47NCSU 4th & 16 at NCSU 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57SYR 4th & 6 at NCSU 20, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:50NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:45SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:48NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SYR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 1:16NCSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 3:00SYR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2039% → 39%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
60.6%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
60.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
60.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
60.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:4161% → 61%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
60.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 27 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
61.0%
Jordan Houston run for 15 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
61.1%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
61.2%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
61.0%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
61.1%
Christopher Dunn 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0639% → 38%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
61.0%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Larrell Murchison for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 21 SYRACUSE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tommy DeVito) to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
61.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 4 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
61.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:1362% → 63%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
61.5%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 12 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
61.7%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
61.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
61.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
62.0%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
62.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 10 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
62.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
62.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 24
-3
62.2%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Tyrell Richards for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+43
63.2%
Christopher Dunn 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0837% → 36%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Abdul Adams run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.2%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
63.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
63.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0364% → 64%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
64.0%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 5 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
64.2%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+13
63.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 13 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
64.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Tabari Hines for 3 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+1
65.0%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
64.6%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+65
63.7%
Trenton Gill punt for 55 yds for a touchback SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2537% → 36%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
63.5%
Abdul Adams run for 5 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
63.6%
Abdul Adams run for 7 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
63.6%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
63.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+3
64.2%
Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
64.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3865% → 65%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
64.7%
Keyon Lesane run for 8 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
65.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
65.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 23 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
66.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
66.7%
Knight, Zonovan rush for 11 yards to the SYRACUSE34, PENALTY NCSTATE holding (Fedd-Jackson, Joshua) 10 yards to the NCSTATE45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+3
66.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 17
OWN 48
0
65.5%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
64.7%
Trenton Gill punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:5536% → 34%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
64.5%
Sean Riley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+12
65.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 12 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
64.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 13 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
62.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 10 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-12
62.5%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Louis Acceus for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 22
OWN 30
-15
64.6%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Louis Acceus for a loss of 15 yards to the Syrac 30 SYRACUSE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tommy DeVito) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 37
OWN 30
+12
65.4%
Moe Neal run for 12 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 25
OWN 42
0
65.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:1167% → 67%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+23
66.7%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 23 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
67.9%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-7
69.2%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
67.2%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Tabari Hines for no gain to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
66.6%
Trenton Gill punt for 52 yds, downed at the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 4:1634% → 31%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
66.1%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+13
66.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 13 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
65.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
66.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 7 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+5
64.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 5 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
64.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Ryan Alexander) to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 15
OWN 40
-2
66.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Brock Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 17
OWN 38
-5
66.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 22
OWN 33
0
67.0%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 22
OWN 33
-9
68.0%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Alim McNeill for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 31
OWN 24
0
68.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 0:2471% → 81%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
70.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
50
+18
71.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 18 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
80.6%
Trent Pennix 32 Yd pass from Thayer Thomas (Christopher Dunn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:5522% → 25%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
77.6%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+2
77.9%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
73.5%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+44
75.1%
Andre Szmyt 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14INT
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:0581% → 84%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
80.7%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+8
81.3%
Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+5
81.4%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
82.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
83.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 30 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
83.9%
Bailey Hockman run for no gain to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
84.1%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1018% → 16%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
82.0%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
81.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-2
83.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Xavier Lyas for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
83.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:3285% → 91%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
84.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-12 Yards) to the NCSt 13Similar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
84.5%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
84.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
84.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
85.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 12 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
86.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
86.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
50
+37
87.1%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 37 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
87.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
88.1%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+5
87.9%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Antwan Cordy) to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
88.7%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 6Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.9%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.5%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
91.2%
Christopher Dunn 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:1112% → 15%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
87.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 36 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
85.5%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
85.8%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
86.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
86.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
86.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 6 yds to the NCSt 11Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-3
87.8%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Louis Acceus for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
85.2%
Andre Szmyt 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4690% → 92%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
89.6%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 32Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+1
91.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 1 yd to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-8
92.7%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Brandon Berry for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Trenton Gill punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:4013% → 6%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
87.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
87.2%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+17
89.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 17 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
87.7%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+14
90.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 14 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
88.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Cameron Jordan for 9 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+9
86.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Cameron Jordan for 9 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.3%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
88.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
89.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
93.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Cameron JordanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5795% → 96%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.0%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
95.3%
Jordan Houston run for 12 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.6%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
96.2%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
96.1%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+55
95.8%
Trenton Gill punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the NCSTATE 10 SYRACUSE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (4 Yards) to the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
18 plays · 94 yds · 4:385% → 25%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
95.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 7 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+22
95.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 22 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
94.9%
Tommy DeVito run for 10 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.3%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
95.3%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-5
95.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Ryan Alexander) to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-5
95.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Kevon Darton) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+9
96.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 9 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+7
95.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 7 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
95.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 8 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
95.5%
DeVito, Tommy pass incomplete to Jackson, Trishton, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Miller, Kishawn) 15 yards to the NCSTATE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+6
95.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 6 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
96.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 3 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+1
96.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 1 yd to the NCSt 12Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+10
96.3%
DeVito, Tommy pass incomplete to Jackson, Trishton, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference 10 yards to the NCSTATE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.6%
Trishton Jackson 2 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:0692% → 95%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
92.0%
Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
93.4%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
94.2%
Bailey Hockman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
94.5%
Trenton Gill punt for 36 yds, downed at the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3010% → 9%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
90.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 7 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
88.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 8 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
89.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 14 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
88.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 8 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-5
85.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 44Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
87.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-5
88.6%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Larrell Murchison for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 49
-5
91.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:00
Trishton Jackson 2 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick)
-21.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:54
Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the NCSt 42
+9.8
TD · Q2 1:16
Trent Pennix 32 Yd pass from Thayer Thomas (Christopher Dunn Kick)
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com