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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Virginia 28

UVA
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:32: Stone Smartt pass complete to Matt Geiger for 47 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +2.6 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:00: Stone Smartt pass intercepted for a TD Zane Zandier return for 22 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +8.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. MISSED FG · Q4 12:27: Brian Delaney 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Keion White N/A return for no gain to the ODU 20 — ODU win probability +7.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:16: Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +20.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:33: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 25 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +10.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 7:22ODU 4th & 4 at UVA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22UVA 4th & 17 at UVA 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:37UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:57UVA 4th & 2 at ODU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:57ODU 4th & 19 at ODU 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:35UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:08ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 26, up 10
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:01UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.0%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03ODU 4th & 6 at UVA 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−1.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:23ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:07UVA 4th & 11 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:14ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 28, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:27UVA 4th & 2 at ODU 19, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%−1.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−13.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:27ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.3%−5.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:16ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−2.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:33ODU 4th & 1 at UVA 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−1.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:33ODU 4th & 13 at UVA 48, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:19UVA 4th & 23 at ODU 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:12ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:37ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:32ODU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:57UVA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:00UVA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:16UVA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:33UVA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 7:384% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.3%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+6
96.3%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.3%
Smartt, Stone pass incomplete to Herslow, Jake (Hall, B), PENALTY VA personal foul (Faumui, A) 15 yards to the ODU48, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Lala Davis for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.3%
Stone Smartt run for 7 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+22
95.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 22 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
95.7%
Matt Geiger run for 7 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+6
95.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 6 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
95.1%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the Virg 9Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
95.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 5 yds to the Virg 4Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
94.7%
Nick Rice 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
94.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
94.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 3 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-10
94.9%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Juwan Ross for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 20Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
94.8%
Nash Griffin punt for 28 yds, downed at the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:006% → 8%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
94.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 28 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.0%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the Virg 20Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
94.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 10 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
94.0%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.4%
Stone Smartt run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) VIRGINIA Penalty, OF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
92.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+10
92.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
92.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
92.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 8 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
92.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 3 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
92.9%
Tavares Kelly Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 48Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
92.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
92.7%
Nash Griffin punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:509% → 12%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
90.9%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+26
90.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 26 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
90.4%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
90.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
90.3%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
90.5%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-1
90.2%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+4
90.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+47
87.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Matt Geiger for 47 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:3586% → 84%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
85.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 7 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+10
85.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
85.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
85.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 8 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
85.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+8
84.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.2%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-7
83.4%
Stone Smartt sacked by Jordan Mack for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
83.8%
Lala Davis run for no gain to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
84.1%
Bailey Cate punt for 45 yds, downed at the Virg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
81.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
82.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
81.8%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 41Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
81.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Calvin BrewtonSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
81.0%
Nash Griffin punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0321% → 22%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
79.3%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
79.2%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+3
78.3%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
78.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
78.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 39Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
78.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
77.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
77.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:5127% → 29%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.7%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
73.2%
Stone Smartt sacked by Noah Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 48Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+6
74.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 6 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+25
71.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 25 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
73.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+8
73.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 8 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
73.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
73.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
74.1%
PK Kier run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
73.2%
Nash Griffin punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13INT TD
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:0132% → 24%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
68.2%
Smartt, Stone rush for loss of 1 yard to the ODU21 (Mack, J), PENALTY VA OF (Snowden, C) 5 yards to the ODU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+4
67.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
67.3%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+22
75.7%
Stone Smartt pass intercepted for a TD Zane Zandier return for 22 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 25 yds · 2:3724% → 26%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-9
76.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Lala Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 19
OWN 1
+15
76.6%
Smartt, Stone pass incomplete to Kumah, Eric, PENALTY VA pass interference (Grant, N) 15 yards to the ODU16, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
75.9%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
76.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr., broken up by Bryce HallSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+14
77.2%
Kesean Strong run for 14 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jordan YoungSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
76.0%
Kesean Strong run for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+3
70.6%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
69.6%
Stone Smartt sacked by Richard Burney for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+4
72.3%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
73.4%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Marcus JoynerSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
74.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
70.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+16
72.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 16 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
74.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
73.7%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 11
50
0
70.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares Kelly Jr., broken up by Jordan YoungSimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 11
50
+30
68.8%
Nash Griffin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the VIRGINIA 15 VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.6%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 20Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
66.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 8 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
65.1%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+3
67.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 25 , Billy Kemp IV returns for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:2764% → 60%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
64.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 4 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
63.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
61.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
64.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Chatman, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+34
64.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Lamont Atkins for 34 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
70.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
70.0%
PK Kier run for 6 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
67.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
60.2%
Brian Delaney 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Keion White N/A return for no gain to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
54.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
53.4%
Kesean Strong run for 5 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
53.5%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
55.7%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the ODU 29 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:3863% → 84%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
62.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 22 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
77.0%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
77.8%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
78.9%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
79.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:2682% → 96%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
81.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+16
81.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 16 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
84.7%
Perkins, B pass incomplete to Reed, J, PENALTY ODU pass interference (Hall, Geronda) 15 yards to the ODU25, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
95.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 25 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
92.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 20 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
91.4%
Kesean Strong run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
91.0%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson, broken up by Nick GrantSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
91.2%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
91.6%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
90.8%
Stone Smartt sacked by Charles Snowden and Eli Hanback for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
91.3%
Stone Smartt run for no gain to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
92.5%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 13
OPP 48
-8
93.1%
Stone Smartt sacked by Charles Snowden for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 1:1896% → 97%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
96.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 15 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
96.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the ODU 24 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Terrell Chatman) to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+5
96.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
96.1%
Lindell Stone run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 15
OPP 34
-8
96.7%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Keion White for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Nash Griffin punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.1%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jake Herslow, broken up by Brenton NelsonSimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-6
97.3%
Stone Smartt sacked by Aaron Faumui and Charles Snowden for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+7
97.5%
Bailey Cate punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 7 yds to the Virg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
97.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
97.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
97.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:16
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)
+20.8
TD · Q4 7:33
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 25 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q3 10:00
Stone Smartt pass intercepted for a TD Zane Zandier return for 22 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com