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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Virginia Tech 31

VT
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 13 yds to the VTech 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:17: Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:40: Ryan Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:24: Stone Smartt run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +5.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:15: Stone Smartt run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +9.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:56: Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 13 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 4:47ODU 4th & 2 at VT 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:12VT 4th & 7 at ODU 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 21 at ODU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:04VT 4th & 11 at VT 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:26ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:38ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05VT 4th & 11 at ODU 36, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:22ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:49VT 4th & 8 at VT 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:13ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:24ODU 4th & 4 at VT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−1.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:53ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:31ODU 4th & 3 at VT 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:41ODU 4th & 18 at VT 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:44VT 4th & 4 at VT 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:37ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:30VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:17VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:40VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:24ODU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:15ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:56VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:3097% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
96.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
96.9%
Keshawn King run for 8 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
96.9%
Keshawn King run for 7 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+4
96.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 4 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+32
96.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 32 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete, broken up by Lawrence GarnerSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+20
96.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to James Mitchell for 20 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.5%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 6:434% → 5%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.5%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
96.3%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
96.4%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
96.3%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
96.0%
Stone Smartt run for 4 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+8
96.0%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.8%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
95.8%
Lala Davis run for 11 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.8%
Lala Davis run for 4 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-4
95.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+8
95.8%
Chris Cunningham run for 8 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
95.4%
Nick Rice 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:3095% → 95%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.4%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+15
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre Turner, PENALTY ODU pass interference (Kaleb Ford-Dement) 15 yards to the VT41, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
95.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Christian Darrisaw) to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+20
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 20 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.3%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+36
95.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 36 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Phil PattersonSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
95.0%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 7Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q1 1:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
95.2%
Brian Johnson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:045% → 5%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
95.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 12 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
95.0%
Stone Smartt sacked by Chamarri Conner for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+5
95.0%
Stone Smartt run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-12
95.0%
Stone Smartt sacked by Jermaine Waller for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Bailey Cate punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3095% → 94%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
94.9%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
94.8%
Ryan Willis run for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
94.4%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
94.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:305% → 6%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
94.6%
Lala Davis run for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+7
94.6%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
94.6%
Isaiah Spencer rush left for 7 yards to the ODU29 (Dax Hollifield), PENALTY ODU tripping (Khadere Kounta) 11 yards to the ODU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+6
94.6%
Isaiah Spencer run for 6 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-1
94.6%
Stone Smartt sacked by Jaylen Griffin for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+2
94.2%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 18 OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 14
OWN 18
+1
94.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds , DaShawn Crawford returns for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:4894% → 96%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
94.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 11 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
94.4%
Tayvion Robinson run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-1
94.4%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+20
94.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 20 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
94.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+3
94.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
94.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+9
94.0%
Ryan Willis run for 9 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:335% → 5%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.3%
Lala Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.3%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Lala DavisSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.4%
Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds, downed at the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:2196% → 96%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-3
95.5%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+17
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 17 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+13
95.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 13 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
95.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
95.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
95.7%
Ryan Willis sacked by Keion White and Juwan Ross for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 15
OPP 40
-10
95.7%
Ryan Willis flare pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 12 yards to the ODU28, out-of-bounds (Harrell Blackmon), PENALTY VT holding (Lecitus Smith) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 25
50
0
95.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah Grimsley, broken up by Kaleb Ford-DementSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 25
50
+14
95.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 14 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+54
95.7%
Brian Johnson 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
94.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:385% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-6
94.7%
Chris Cunningham run for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 24 Chris Cunningham fumbled, recovered by ODU Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
95.1%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Steven Williams, PENALTY VT pass interference (Caleb Farley) 15 yards to the ODU39, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.5%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.6%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Eric Kumah for 7 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-2
94.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
94.7%
Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds, downed at the VTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 5:2195% → 99%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+32
95.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 32 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
95.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-1
95.4%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+9
95.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 9 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
95.4%
Ryan Willis run for 7 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
95.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.4%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+21
95.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 21 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
95.4%
Ryan Willis run for 7 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+6
95.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.4%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Ryan Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:162% → 7%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Lala Davis run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
98.2%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 10 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.1%
Stone Smartt run for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
98.4%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+11
98.4%
Stone Smartt run for 11 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
98.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 8 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Chris Cunningham run for no gain to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+25
98.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 25 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
98.1%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+15
98.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, PENALTY VT pass interference (Caleb Farley) 15 yards to the VT3, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY, clock 01:31.Similar
Q3 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.0%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3596% → 96%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.3%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+19
96.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 19 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.6%
Ryan Willis run for 2 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
96.4%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+34
96.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 49 yds VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chamarri Conner) to the ODU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:225% → 16%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
94.9%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+26
94.9%
Stone Smartt run for 26 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.3%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 4 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+33
94.2%
Kesean Strong run for 33 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
84.3%
Stone Smartt run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:0893% → 97%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
92.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
92.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 8 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-5
91.9%
Deshawn McClease rush up middle for 6 yards to the ODU2 (Geronda Hall), PENALTY VT substitution infraction (Nick Gallo) 5 yards to the ODU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
96.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 13 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:265% → 6%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.8%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
94.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
94.3%
Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
94.8%
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Steven WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
94.5%
Lala Davis run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
50
0
94.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
50
+8
94.1%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-2
93.9%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-1
94.5%
Stone Smartt sacked by Rob Porcher and Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
96.9%
Ryan Willis run for 13 yds to the ODU 42 Ryan Willis fumbled, forced by Marcus Haynes, recovered by ODU Marcus HaynesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:076% → 5%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.4%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+2
94.6%
Lala Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
94.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hezekiah Grimsley at the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
96.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
96.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+1
97.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 42 Deshawn McClease fumbled, forced by Harrell Blackmon, recovered by ODU Keion White OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lawrence Garner) to the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:013% → 2%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.7%
Stone Smartt run for 2 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
96.7%
Messiah deWeaver run for 3 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+2
96.8%
Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+5
96.8%
Messiah deWeaver run for 5 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
96.3%
Kesean Strong run for 14 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
96.2%
Kesean Strong rush over right guard for 4 yards to the VT12 (Chamarri Conner), PENALTY ODU holding (Tony Barnett) 10 yards to the VT26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+2
96.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Jake Herslow for 2 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 18
OPP 24
0
97.2%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete, broken up by DaShawn CrawfordSimilar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 18
OPP 24
0
97.5%
Stone Smartt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 18
OPP 24
0
97.7%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete, broken up by Caleb FarleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Tyler Matheny run for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.8%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 15 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.7%
Kesean Strong run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean StrongSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
98.8%
Lala Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+26
98.8%
Lala Davis run for 26 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-9
98.3%
Stone Smartt sacked by Emmanuel Belmar and Mario Kendricks for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 19
OPP 41
+13
98.7%
Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 13 yds to the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:15
Stone Smartt run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q3 1:24
Stone Smartt run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q4 11:56
Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 13 yds for a TD, (Brian Johnson KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com