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WCU

Western Carolina 0 at NC State 41

NCSU
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Brandon Dickerson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+44.3Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:24: Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:56: Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:30: Timeout WESTRN CAROLINA, clock 02:30 — NCSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:16: Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 11:35: Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00WCU 4th & 8 at NCSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:26WCU 4th & 23 at WCU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:06NCSU 4th & 7 at WCU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:06WCU 4th & 9 at WCU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:21NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 30, up 3
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00WCU 4th & 7 at WCU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:16NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:08WCU 4th & 9 at WCU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:24WCU 4th & 5 at WCU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:20WCU 4th & 6 at WCU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:35NCSU 4th & 8 at WCU 8, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:35WCU 4th & 5 at WCU 40, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:18WCU 4th & 10 at WCU 35, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:53NCSU 4th & 1 at WCU 30, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:50WCU 4th & 3 at WCU 32, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:49NCSU 4th & 5 at WCU 24, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 8:24NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:56NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:16NCSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:18NCSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:50NCSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.0%
Will Jones pass complete to Kasimir Absolu for 17 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.0%
Will Jones pass complete to Mahari Stribling for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
0
99.0%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Connell YoungSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
+12
99.0%
Connell Young run for 12 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.0%
Will Jones pass complete to Connell Young for 2 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Will Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Mahari Stribling, broken up by Tyler Baker-WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
98.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 3
OWN 20
-2
98.8%
Trenton Gill punt for 52 yds , Nate Mullen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.8%
Will Jones pass complete to Mahari Stribling for 8 yds to the WCaro 34Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+8
98.7%
Will Jones pass complete to Kasimir Absolu for 8 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
98.7%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 37Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-7
98.8%
Will Jones sacked by Alim McNeill for a loss of 7 yards to the WCaro 30Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 22
OWN 30
+3
98.8%
D.J. Atkins run for 3 yds to the WCaro 33Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 19
OWN 33
-4
98.8%
Will Jones sacked by Xavier Lyas for a loss of 4 yards to the WCaro 29Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 23
OWN 29
+16
98.8%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 16 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:3698% → 98%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
98.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 16 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
98.4%
Keyon Lesane run for 22 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the WCaro 16Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
98.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCaro 15Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
98.4%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
98.2%
Christopher Dunn 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 25Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.2%
Connell Young run for 10 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Mahari StriblingSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.2%
Donnavan Spencer run for 1 yd to the WCaro 36Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
98.2%
Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 36Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
98.2%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 21Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
97.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+3
97.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Trenton Gill punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the WCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:223% → 3%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
97.4%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive holding (Chris Ingram) to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.4%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Mahari StriblingSimilar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.4%
Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 3 yds to the WCaro 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for no gain to the WCaro 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
97.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 17 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
97.3%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 32Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
97.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 7 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
97.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Devin Carter for 3 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
97.3%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Trevor ChildersSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Trenton Gill punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
96.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Kasimir Absolu for 1 yd to the WCaro 21Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Will Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
97.0%
Will Jones run for no gain to the WCaro 21Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+43
97.1%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:2197% → 97%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
96.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cecil Powell for 8 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael Murphy) to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
96.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the WCaro 33Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
96.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
96.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
96.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
96.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCaro 6Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.3%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 20Similar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
97.3%
Connell Young run for 2 yds to the WCaro 22Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
97.3%
Will Jones pass complete to Nate Mullen for 6 yds to the WCaro 28Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.3%
Will Jones pass complete to Nate Mullen for 2 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.4%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:2397% → 99%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
97.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 17 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
97.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the WCaro 43Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
97.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the WCaro 36Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+21
97.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 21 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
97.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 13 yds to the WCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:302% → 1%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
98.0%
Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 12Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+10
98.0%
Will Jones pass complete to Nate Mullen for 10 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Daquan Patten, broken up by Stephen GriffinSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.7%
Donnavan Spencer run for 4 yds to the WCaro 26Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
98.5%
Will Jones pass incomplete WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 1:5298% → 99%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
98.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 28 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.4%
Trent Pennix run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 41Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+16
98.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 16 yds to the WCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
98.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Trent Pennix for 6 yds to the WCaro 19Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
98.7%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+18
98.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Devin Carter for 18 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.5%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the WCaro 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.2%
Connell Young run for 2 yds to the WCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:2599% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
99.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 7 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
99.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 20 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
99.1%
Jordan Houston run for 13 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.1%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the WCaro 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+13
99.1%
Tabari Hines run for 13 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.1%
Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the WCaro 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.1%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.0%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 11:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.8%
Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Jacob Combs) to the WCaro 30Similar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-6
99.8%
Will Jones sacked by Joseph Boletepeli and Ibrahim Kante for a loss of 6 yards to the WCaro 24Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 21
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Will Jones pass complete to Connell Young for 5 yds to the WCaro 29Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+11
99.8%
Will Jones pass complete to D.J. Thorpe for 11 yds to the WCaro 40Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 59 yds, downed at the NCSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
19 plays · 98 yds · 7:57100% → 100%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
99.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+10
99.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 10 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
99.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Dylan ParhamSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-14
99.8%
NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Joe Sculthorpe) to the NCSt 13Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+19
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Tabari Hines for 19 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.8%
Jordan Houston run for 15 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 15 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the WCaro 9Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+7
99.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the WCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Will Jones pass incomplete to D.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Will Jones pass incomplete to D.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Will Jones pass incomplete to Daquan Patten, broken up by Tyler Baker-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:07100% → 100%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Bailey Hockman run for 1 yd to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Tabari Hines for 9 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 12 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
99.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 13 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Max FisherSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Trent Pennix run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 40Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Trent Pennix for 10 yds to the WCaro 30Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the WCaro 19Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 10 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the WCaro 3Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
D.J. Atkins run for no gain to the WCaro 25Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Isaiah Helms) to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Austin Phillips for 5 yds to the WCaro 25Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 20Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
Will Jones pass complete to Mahari Stribling for 12 yds to the WCaro 32Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 9 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 6:04100% → 100%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 6 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 3 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 6 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 4 yds to the WCaro 47Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 3 yds to the WCaro 44Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 4 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 11 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 30Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Will Dabbs run for 7 yds to the WCaro 23Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-1
99.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Eric Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 24Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 5
OPP 24
-11
100.0%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Roman Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the WCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Caleb Ferguson run for 2 yds to the WCaro 37Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Caleb Ferguson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 38Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-9
100.0%
Bubba Williamson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WCaro 24 Bubba Williamson fumbled, forced by Xavier Lyas, recovered by NCSt C.J. HartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:56
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 0:16
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 8:24
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com