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NCSU

NC State 27 at West Virginia 44

WVU
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:34 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:13: Thayer Thomas pass complete to Cary Angeline for 18 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +8.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:34: Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 13 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +14.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:24: Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +13.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:14: Christopher Dunn 41 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:24: Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +16.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6NCSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 11:14NCSU 4th & 15 at WVU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:49NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:06WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:34NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:26WVU 4th & 9 at NCSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:42WVU 4th & 4 at NCSU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−10.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:42NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:42WVU 4th & 10 at NCSU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:27NCSU 4th & 1 at WVU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−4.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:14NCSU 4th & 9 at WVU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:10NCSU 4th & 9 at WVU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−2.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−13.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:24NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 31, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:24NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.8%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:38WVU 4th & 12 at NCSU 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:42NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:04NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:06WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:54WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:11NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:13NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:24WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:24WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:04WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 3:4670% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
30.0%
NC STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
30.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+4
30.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+15
30.0%
McKay, M. pass incomplete to Lesane, K., PENALTY WVU roughing passer (Jones, Reuben) 15 yards to the ST34, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
30.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+17
30.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 17 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
30.0%
Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
30.0%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+8
30.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
30.0%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
30.0%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Zonovan KnightSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-5
30.0%
Matthew McKay sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+51
31.8%
Christopher Dunn 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:0832% → 35%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
31.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+24
31.9%
Sean Ryan run for 24 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
32.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+12
32.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 12 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
35.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 20 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1765% → 67%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
34.7%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
34.8%
McKay, M. pass incomplete to Thomas, T., PENALTY WVU targeting (Norwood, Josh) 15 yards to the ST37, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
34.5%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+10
34.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Devin Carter for 10 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+26
34.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 26 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
33.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
33.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 9 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
33.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+7
33.8%
Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Keith Washington Jr.) to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
33.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
33.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5535% → 40%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+51
34.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 51 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
35.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
40.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 23 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
39.1%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
39.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
39.6%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Tykee SmithSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+7
39.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 61 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 7 yds to the WVirg 25 NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
40.9%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
40.6%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-4
40.2%
Austin Kendall sacked by Deonte Holden for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
39.4%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:1460% → 65%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
40.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
40.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
40.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, offside defense (Dante Stills) to the NCSt 40Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+10
39.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
39.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
39.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
41.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jordan Houston for 3 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
40.2%
Matthew McKay run for 3 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+7
41.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.2%
McKay, M. pass incomplete to Emezie, E., PENALTY WVU substitution infraction 5 yards to the WVU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+3
40.2%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+6
40.2%
Matthew McKay run for 6 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
40.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 10 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.3%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
39.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
40.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
40.0%
McKoy, Kennedy rush for 1 yard to the WVU39 (Hart, C.J.), PENALTY WVU illegal formation 5 yards to the WVU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
39.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+7
39.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 7 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+3
39.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
39.0%
Josh Growden punt for 50 yds, downed at the NCSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
39.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
38.7%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by Keith Washington Jr.Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
39.4%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Cary Angeline, broken up by Kerry Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+1
40.1%
Trenton Gill punt for 43 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:2843% → 41%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
42.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+16
41.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
43.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 3 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
43.3%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
43.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 3 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-5
42.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (Austin Kendall) to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
40.7%
Josh Growden punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 3:0662% → 74%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+39
38.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 39 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
35.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for no gain to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
36.3%
Matthew McKay run for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
35.5%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+12
36.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 12 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
34.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Tabari Hines for 11 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
26.5%
Thayer Thomas pass complete to Cary Angeline for 18 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3930% → 48%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
31.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
30.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 13 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
32.6%
Austin Kendall run for 6 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+5
32.7%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
32.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+22
33.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, substitution infraction (13 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
33.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the NCSt 13Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
48.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 13 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.1%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
39.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 89 yds · 4:1044% → 52%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
43.7%
Sam James run for 7 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
44.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 4 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
44.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Jarius Morehead) to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.2%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
44.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+22
45.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 22 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
47.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 25 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
48.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the NCSt 11Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
48.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sean Ryan, broken up by Stephen GriffinSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+5
47.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 5 yds to the NCSt 6Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
52.2%
Evan Staley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
50.1%
Matthew McKay run for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 18 Matthew McKay fumbled, recovered by NCSt Matthew McKaySimilar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+5
51.7%
McKay, M. pass incomplete to Hines, T., PENALTY WVU offside defense 5 yards to the ST23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
51.6%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Jovanni StewartSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
52.7%
Trenton Gill punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
52.8%
Kendall, Austin pass incomplete to James, Sam, PENALTY ST pass interference (Person, R.) 15 yards to the WVU47, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
55.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 14 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
56.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam James, broken up by Kishawn MillerSimilar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
55.9%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Ali Jennings, broken up by Alim McNeillSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
54.6%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. Simmons, broken up by Tanner IngleSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+18
51.8%
Josh Growden punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 6 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, kick catching interference (Josh Chandler) to the NCSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
51.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
50.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-2
50.4%
Matthew McKay sacked by Reese Donahue for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
53.6%
Trenton Gill punt blocked by Logan Thimons blocked by Logan ThimonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2759% → 73%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
59.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
59.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
73.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:1031% → 32%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
68.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
69.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 8 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
67.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
67.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
66.6%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
67.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+12
75.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 12 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
71.9%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
72.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
73.7%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
67.6%
Christopher Dunn 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
74.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
74.3%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+11
73.4%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted Drake Thomas return for 11 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2135% → 38%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
64.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
65.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+2
67.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
62.0%
Christopher Dunn 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4666% → 88%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
65.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
65.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
65.4%
Kendall, Austin pass incomplete to McKoy, Kennedy, PENALTY ST pass interference (Miller, B.) 10 yards to the WVU42, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
68.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
69.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
69.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
71.1%
Austin Kendall run for 25 yds to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
87.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
84.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Devin Carter, broken up by Jordan JeffersonSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
85.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by Tykee SmithSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
86.1%
Payton Wilson run for 9 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.6%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
84.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+4
84.8%
Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
84.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Jeffery Pooler Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 89%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
90.9%
James, Sam rush for loss of 1 yard to the ST47 (Hart, C.J.), PENALTY WVU holding (Simmons, T.J.) 10 yards to the WVU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+3
90.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+4
90.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+6
89.9%
Austin Kendall run for 6 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-5
89.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
89.0%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
92.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+9
92.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 9 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+1
92.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
91.8%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (Grant Gibson) to the NCSt 12Similar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+5
91.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
91.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
92.0%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
92.3%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4494% → 99%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
94.3%
Leddie Brown run for 15 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
94.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the NCSt 7Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
94.3%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the NCSt 3Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.5%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 11 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Zonovan KnightSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
98.1%
Matthew McKay sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 26Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 20
OWN 26
+17
98.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 17 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
98.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:24
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q2 0:34
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 13 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q3 6:24
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com