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FLA

Florida 23 at Missouri 6

MIZ
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—MIZ 33.5%Evan McPherson 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 3 · Q2 7:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:34 · Evan McPherson 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior−15.9Home team on offense−2.5Score differential−1.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:36: Tucker McCann 37 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +4.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:56: Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 34 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +11.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:49: Tucker McCann 28 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +5.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:49: Trask,K. pass complete to Pitts,K. for 24 yards to the UF49 (Bolton, Nick), PENALTY UF pass interference (Grimes,T.) 12 yards to the UF13, NO PLAY. — FLA win probability +3.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:58: Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 15 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +12.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 10 of 11FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:11FLA 4th & 3 at MIZ 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:11MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:51FLA 4th & 8 at MIZ 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:53MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:33FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:28MIZ 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:36MIZ 4th & 7 at FLA 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:34FLA 4th & 15 at MIZ 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:34MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:10FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:16MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:42FLA 4th & 14 at FLA 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:54MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:56MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:06FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:49MIZ 4th & 9 at FLA 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−7.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:37FLA 4th & 5 at MIZ 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−5.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:37MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:24FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:03MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 30, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:12FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 11:56FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:58FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:4974% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
26.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+18
26.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 18 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
26.3%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-8
26.3%
Kyle Trask sacked by Kobie Whiteside for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+12
26.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 12 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
27.4%
Evan McPherson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
27.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
27.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
27.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
27.2%
Tucker McCann punt for 50 yds , Freddie Swain returns for no gain to the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+25
27.9%
Kadarius Toney run for 25 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
27.6%
Kyle Trask sacked by Kobie Whiteside for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+10
27.9%
Kyle Trask run for 10 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
27.7%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
28.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
28.5%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 12Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+9
28.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+4
28.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
29.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 7 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
29.0%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-3
28.8%
Kelly Bryant sacked by N/A for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+7
28.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 7 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
28.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
30.4%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
30.3%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+14
30.5%
Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
30.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+1
30.7%
Tommy Townsend punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 11 , Richaud Floyd returns for 1 yd to the Misso 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
30.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
30.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
30.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
31.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 8 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+2
32.0%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
50
0
32.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
50
+5
31.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-5
31.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 10
50
0
31.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 10
50
0
30.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0468% → 69%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
31.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 10 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
31.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 9 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
30.4%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
30.5%
Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
30.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 7 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
30.3%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
30.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
31.2%
Tommy Townsend punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8FG
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:3333% → 38%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
32.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 24 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+44
33.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 44 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-7
35.4%
Dawson Downing run for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+3
34.3%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+7
33.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
37.5%
Tucker McCann 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:0265% → 67%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
35.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 17 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+41
33.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 41 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
32.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by Khalil OliverSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
32.5%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-5
33.5%
Kyle Trask sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
33.5%
Evan McPherson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
33.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
32.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Larry Rountree IIISimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
31.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
32.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
32.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
31.8%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
33.4%
Tommy Townsend punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
34.0%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 15Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
34.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-3
33.6%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
32.7%
Tucker McCann punt for 46 yds, downed at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
8 plays · -5 yds · 0:3167% → 65%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
33.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 4 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
32.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 6
OPP 0
-15
29.7%
Trask,K. pass incomplete to Pitts,K. (Oliver, Khalil), PENALTY MU holding (Oliver, Khalil) 10 yards to the UF48, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY, PENALTY UF personal foul (Grimes,T.) 15 yards to the UF33.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
31.8%
Kadarius Toney run for no gain to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-8
32.2%
Kyle Trask sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 18
OWN 25
+4
34.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
34.8%
Tommy Townsend punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
36.0%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Nance, Jonathan (Miller,V.), PENALTY UF offside (Dean,T.) 5 yards to the MU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 5
OWN 36
-5
38.1%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
35.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 2 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 0
0
34.2%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Misso 33 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
33.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:0668% → 78%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
32.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+28
33.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 13 yds to the MISSOURI 49 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Tre Williams) to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
21.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 34 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
23.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
22.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
21.6%
Tucker McCann punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
23.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
23.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-5
23.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Stone Forsythe) to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
24.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland, broken up by Nick BoltonSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
25.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 28 yds, downed at the Fla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2225% → 30%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
24.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 14 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
26.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+12
26.1%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Zachary Carter) to the Fla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-9
26.1%
Kelly Bryant sacked by N/A for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 20 MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Kelly Bryant) to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 19
OPP 20
+5
25.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+5
23.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
29.5%
Tucker McCann 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5175% → 90%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
25.5%
Trask,K. pass complete to Pitts,K. for 24 yards to the UF49 (Bolton, Nick), PENALTY UF pass interference (Grimes,T.) 12 yards to the UF13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+11
26.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 11 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
26.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 7 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
25.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 12 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
23.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+25
23.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 25 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
22.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+9
22.7%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
10.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 15 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 1 yds · 2:5813% → 12%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
13.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
13.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
15.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
15.2%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Tedarrell Slaton for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+5
13.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 38
OWN 20
+6
11.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 32
OWN 26
0
11.7%
Tucker McCann punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:0391% → 94%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
8.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
8.4%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
8.4%
Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+48
8.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 48 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
7.6%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Misso 5Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
7.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
7.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
5.7%
Evan McPherson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
5.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 11 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
5.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 3 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
5.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 2 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-3
5.8%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
5.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
4.8%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
4.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-4
4.9%
Trevon Grimes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+7
4.7%
Tommy Townsend punt for 59 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 7 yds to the Misso 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
4.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Barrett Banister, broken up by Shawn DavisSimilar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
4.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 7 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
4.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
4.2%
Tucker McCann punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
3.5%
Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-3
3.3%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
3.4%
Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
3.4%
Tommy Townsend punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26INT
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:083% → 2%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
2.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 13 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
2.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Dawson Downing for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
2.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Dawson Downing for 7 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
2.8%
Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
2.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 8 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
3.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
3.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Dawson DowningSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
2.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Dawson Downing for 4 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
2.4%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted Marco Wilson return for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
1.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:58
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 15 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q3 11:56
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 34 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-11.7
FG · Q3 6:49
Tucker McCann 28 yd FG GOOD
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com