Try the model
UGA

Georgia 24 at Florida 17

FLA
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · EverBank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:35 · D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:43: Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +6.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:45: Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +5.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:51: Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 23 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +21.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 10:01: Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 52 yds for a TD, (Jake Fromm pass to Lawrence Cager for Two-Point Conversion) — UGA win probability +16.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:11: Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +23.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:01FLA 4th & 1 at UGA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:58UGA 4th & 11 at FLA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:29FLA 4th & 25 at FLA 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:33UGA 4th & 8 at FLA 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:02FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 16, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:40FLA 4th & 8 at UGA 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:14UGA 4th & 6 at FLA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−1.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:45UGA 4th & 7 at FLA 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:49UGA 4th & 14 at FLA 41, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:35FLA 4th & 1 at UGA 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−1.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−5.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:25FLA 4th & 2 at UGA 6, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−1.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:43UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:51FLA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:01UGA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:11FLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:5434% → 35%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
33.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
33.8%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+11
34.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 11 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
34.5%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
34.8%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-5
35.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Dante Lang) to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+5
35.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
35.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts, broken up by Richard LeCounteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
16 plays · 47 yds · 6:5265% → 64%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
35.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-5
35.3%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+15
36.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 15 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson, broken up by Shawn DavisSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
35.4%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 11
50
+17
36.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 17 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
35.5%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+6
35.6%
Jake Fromm run for 6 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
35.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
35.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 4 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
35.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie Woerner, broken up by Jeawon TaylorSimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+6
35.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 6 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
35.4%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Brian HerrienSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
35.4%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 13Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
36.3%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
36.2%
Rodrigo Blankenship 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:1136% → 36%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
36.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 24 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
37.5%
Kadarius Toney run for no gain to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
37.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-10
36.7%
Kyle Trask sacked by Azeez Ojulari for a loss of 10 yards to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 25
OWN 34
0
35.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 25
OWN 34
+7
35.7%
Tommy Townsend punt for 56 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for 7 yds to the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:3763% → 63%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
36.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+11
37.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 11 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
36.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+6
36.4%
James Cook run for 6 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+17
36.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 17 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
35.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
35.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
35.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
37.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2537% → 37%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
37.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van Jefferson, broken up by DJ DanielSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
37.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 18
-2
37.0%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
36.5%
Tommy Townsend punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:1264% → 73%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
36.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
36.2%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
36.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 8 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
35.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
34.8%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Landers, Matt, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Henderson, CJ) 15 yards to the FLORIDA26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
33.7%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+6
33.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 6 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 17
-5
34.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (George Pickens) to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+12
34.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 12 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
33.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
33.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Fla 3Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:5028% → 33%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
28.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 29 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
29.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 23 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
30.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
30.7%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
29.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by Travon WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
32.9%
Evan McPherson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:2171% → 74%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
28.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+7
27.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+30
27.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 30 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
25.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
26.0%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+5
26.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jabari Zuniga) to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
25.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
26.0%
Rodrigo Blankenship 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
24.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:5072% → 80%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
27.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-2
27.1%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+16
28.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 16 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
25.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Trey Hill) to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+18
25.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 18 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+30
25.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 30 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
24.5%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
24.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+3
25.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 3 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
19.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:0123% → 20%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
22.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 27 yds to the FLORIDA 48 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
24.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
24.4%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+5
23.5%
Trask, Kyle pass complete to Grimes, Trevon for 3 yards to the GEORGIA40, PENALTY GEORGIA offside (Ojulari, Azeez) 5 yards to the GEORGIA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-19
24.0%
Kyle Trask sacked by Jordan Davis and Malik Herring for a loss of 19 yards to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 29
OWN 43
-5
21.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 34
OWN 38
0
21.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 34
OWN 38
+2
20.5%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 32
OWN 40
0
20.1%
Tommy Townsend punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:4184% → 86%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
16.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 24 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
14.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
14.4%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
13.8%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Fla 37Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-8
12.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Fla 35 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 45Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 18
OPP 45
0
13.0%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+9
13.3%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 9
OPP 36
-5
13.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
14.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:3918% → 40%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
18.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 14 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
18.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 11 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
18.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 8 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
20.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 9 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
19.5%
Kyle Trask run for 1 yd to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
19.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 3 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
19.0%
Kyle Trask run for 5 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+6
18.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 6 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
40.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 23 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2473% → 94%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
26.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
25.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
25.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
24.6%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
23.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
23.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
6.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 52 yds for a TD, (Jake Fromm pass to Lawrence Cager for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
23 plays · 75 yds · 6:4510% → 28%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
9.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
8.4%
Trask, Kyle pass incomplete to Swain, Freddie (LeCounte, Richard), PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (LeCounte, Richard) 6 yards to the FLORIDA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
8.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical Perine, broken up by J.R. ReedSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
8.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 11 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
8.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+1
8.5%
Kyle Trask run for 1 yd to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+8
6.9%
Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
6.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
6.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lucas KrullSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+15
6.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 15 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
6.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
6.3%
Kyle Trask run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+6
6.0%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
6.1%
Trask, Kyle pass complete to Jefferson, Van for 9 yards to the GEORGIA5, PENALTY FLORIDA ineligible downfield on pass (Swain, Freddie) 5 yards to the GEORGIA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
5.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Freddie SwainSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+5
5.2%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+8
4.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 8 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+4
3.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 4 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16END OF GAME
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:3689% → 95%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
10.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+7
11.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 7 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
9.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+22
9.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 22 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
7.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
4.7%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-2
4.6%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:11
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+23.6
TD · Q4 13:51
Kyle Trask pass complete to Van Jefferson for 23 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+21.6
TD · Q4 10:01
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 52 yds for a TD, (Jake Fromm pass to Lawrence Cager for Two-Point Conversion)
-16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com