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FLA

Florida 38 at South Carolina 27

SC
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:45 · Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense+2.1Pregame prior−6.7Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:08: Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 37 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +8.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:57: Tavien Feaster run for 21 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:43: Dameon Pierce run for 75 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +15.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:54: Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 25 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +36.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:53: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +12.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:29FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:22SC 4th & 5 at SC 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:06FLA 4th & 3 at SC 31, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:26SC 4th & 8 at SC 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:09FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06SC 4th & 5 at FLA 31, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:16SC 4th & 9 at SC 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:32FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:24SC 4th & 12 at SC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:23FLA 4th & 12 at FLA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:45SC 4th & 7 at FLA 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:56SC 4th & 4 at SC 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:38FLA 4th & 15 at FLA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:16SC 4th & 13 at FLA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−12.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00FLA 4th & 7 at SC 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−2.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:29SC 4th & 9 at SC 4, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−5.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:30FLA 4th & 3 at SC 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−2.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−5.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:12SC 4th & 2 at SC 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%−1.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:30FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:21SC 4th & 5 at FLA 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:59SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:08FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:57SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:43FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:54FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:53FLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:02FLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:53SC Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5138% → 42%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
37.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+41
37.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 41 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
38.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-1
38.5%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+14
38.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 14 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
39.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Fla 9Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
39.4%
Feaster, Tavien rush for 8 yards to the FLORIDA1, PENALTY FLORIDA offside (Ancrum, Luke) 5 yards to the FLORIDA4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
39.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Fla 1Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.7%
Feaster, Tavien rush for loss of 7 yards to the FLORIDA8, fumble by Feaster, Tavien recovered by SOCAROLINA at FLORIDA8, PENALTY FLORIDA offside (Ancrum, Luke) 0 yards to the FLORIDA1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.7%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2559% → 58%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
41.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
41.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
41.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
42.0%
Tommy Townsend punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5342% → 44%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
41.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
42.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
42.9%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
43.3%
Ryan Hilinski run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
43.9%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
44.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+30
43.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the SOCAROLINA 10 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Shi Smith) to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:1456% → 56%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+32
43.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 32 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
43.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 5 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+2
43.2%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
44.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
43.6%
Evan McPherson 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3444% → 43%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
43.5%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+1
43.7%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
43.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
43.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0656% → 55%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
44.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 5 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
43.8%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
44.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
45.5%
Tommy Townsend punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FG
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:5445% → 50%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
44.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+36
45.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 36 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
46.6%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
46.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+6
46.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+49
50.2%
Parker White 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5250% → 58%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
49.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
48.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
49.0%
Kyle Trask run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
49.1%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
49.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Lamical Perine for 7 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
49.9%
Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
41.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 37 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3448% → 46%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
47.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
48.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
46.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
45.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2856% → 55%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
44.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for no gain to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
44.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 8 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
43.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
44.8%
Tommy Townsend punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0647% → 46%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
47.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
46.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
48.2%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
48.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-3
47.6%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jeremiah Moon for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+6
46.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 54 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 6 yds to the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5656% → 53%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
44.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-5
44.6%
Kyle Trask sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 15
OWN 11
-5
45.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (Kyle Trask) to the Fla 6Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 20
OWN 6
+8
46.4%
Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
46.7%
Tommy Townsend punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1551% → 49%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
51.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+1
51.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
50.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
48.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:2554% → 56%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
45.9%
Lamical Perine run for 15 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
45.0%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+7
44.3%
Lamical Perine run for 7 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
43.6%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1356% → 55%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical Perine, broken up by Israel MukuamuSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
44.7%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted Jammie Robinson return for 15 yds to the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:1853% → 63%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
52.8%
Ryan Hilinski run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
52.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+21
63.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 21 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
44.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 75 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3949% → 47%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
48.8%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
47.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
47.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 48 yds, downed at the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1254% → 51%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
45.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
44.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 6 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-8
45.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for a loss of 8 yards Freddie Swain fumbled, recovered by Fla Freddie SwainSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+3
47.8%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
49.2%
Tommy Townsend punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 6:1449% → 58%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
49.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+13
49.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 13 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
50.5%
Mon Denson run for 25 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
54.5%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+14
54.9%
Mon Denson run for 14 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
56.2%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
56.3%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+14
55.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 14 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
56.7%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by CJ Henderson for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
56.0%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+2
53.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
57.7%
Parker White 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:0041% → 41%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.9%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
60.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Josh Hammond for 13 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jammie Robinson) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
57.2%
Trask, Kyle pass incomplete to Copeland, Jacob, PENALTY SOCAROLINA roughing passer (Enagbare, Kingsley) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
54.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
54.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
55.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
59.1%
Tommy Townsend punt for 41 yds, downed at the SCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2660% → 61%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
59.5%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
63.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
62.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Amari BurneySimilar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 9
OWN 4
0
61.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:2142% → 75%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
57.7%
Lamical Perine run for 9 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
56.4%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
57.1%
Freddie Swain run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
57.6%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+5
58.4%
Kyle Trask run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+9
61.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 9 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
24.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 25 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0636% → 40%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
35.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
38.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
37.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-14
40.2%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 14 yards to the SCaro 29 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by FlaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:4776% → 90%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
24.0%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+20
23.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 20 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
22.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jaycee Horn) to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3313% → 12%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
13.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
12.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
13.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
12.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:5891% → 98%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
8.9%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+12
8.3%
Lamical Perine run for 12 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
7.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Lamical PerineSimilar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
7.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jaycee Horn) to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
7.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
7.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:082% → 9%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
2.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-12 Yards) to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
2.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 16 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
2.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+13
2.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 13 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
2.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
2.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+37
2.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 37 yds to the Fla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
2.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to OrTre Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 0:2296% → 96%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
3.8%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
3.4%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-9
3.2%
Kyle Trask sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
3.6%
Tommy Townsend punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 30DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:023% → 3%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
2.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 4 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+21
2.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 21 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
3.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
3.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Mon DensonSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
3.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to OrTre Smith for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
50
+5
3.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 5 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
3.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
3.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
2.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:54
Kyle Trask pass complete to Freddie Swain for 25 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
-36.3
TD · Q3 13:43
Dameon Pierce run for 75 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q4 7:53
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com