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ARST

Arkansas State 0 at Georgia 55

UGA
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:40 · Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+33.0Home team on offense+29.7Score differential+19.1Blowout margin+8.2Garbage-time factor+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:02: Brian Herrien run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 5:28: Rodrigo Blankenship 29 yd FG GOOD — ARST win probability +0.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 1:08: Rodrigo Blankenship 41 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:47: Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 60 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 10:21: Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 48 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ARST made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 11:54ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45ARST 4th & 15 at ARST 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:28UGA 4th & 1 at ARST 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49ARST 4th & 8 at ARST 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:08UGA 4th & 6 at ARST 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:39ARST 4th & 15 at ARST 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:35ARST 4th & 8 at midfield, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:07ARST 4th & 14 at UGA 33, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:35UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 40, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:31ARST 4th & 3 at ARST 30, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:40UGA 4th & 2 at ARST 40, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:22ARST 4th & 9 at UGA 48, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:27ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 26, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:18UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 37, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:50ARST 4th & 7 at UGA 41, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:23ARST 4th & 5 at UGA 13, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:43UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 21, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:37ARST 4th & 11 at ARST 29, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:02UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:47UGA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:21UGA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:54UGA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:02UGA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:20UGA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:07UGA Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:012% → 2%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 22Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
98.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 10 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.2%
Ryan Graham run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-8
98.2%
Logan Bonner sacked by Tyler Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+10
98.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 10 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
98.0%
Cody Grace punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:3198% → 98%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
98.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+10
97.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
97.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 16 yds to the ArkSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 5 yds to the ArkSt 22Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+19
97.7%
Brian Herrien run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:112% → 2%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.8%
Ryan Graham run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
97.7%
Logan Bonner sacked by Quay Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+17
97.7%
Cody Grace punt for 50 yds , Tyler Simmons returns for 17 yds to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:0198% → 98%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+32
97.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 32 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
97.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 15Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-1
97.7%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 16Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+4
97.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 4 yds to the ArkSt 12Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
97.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:313% → 3%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Ryan Graham run for no gain to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Cody Grace punt for 38 yds, downed at the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:3297% → 98%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
97.3%
James Cook run for 9 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
97.3%
Tyler Simmons run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
97.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 9 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+12
97.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 12 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
97.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
97.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
97.6%
Rodrigo Blankenship 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:293% → 3%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.4%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Cody Grace punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:3198% → 98%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
97.5%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
97.5%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+60
98.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 60 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:052% → 2%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 10 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 5 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
98.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 5 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.3%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 8
50
0
98.3%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 8
50
0
98.4%
Cody Grace punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 1:5998% → 99%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+39
98.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 39 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
50
0
98.5%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 10 yds to the GEORGIA 40 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
50
+2
98.5%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+48
99.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 48 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · 42 yds · 4:031% → 1%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 6 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Ryan Graham run for no gain to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 7 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 7 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Kirk MerrittSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
99.2%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+13
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Ryan Graham for 13 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+13
99.2%
Bonner, Logan pass incomplete, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 13 yards to the GEORGIA29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKST.Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
99.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Isaiah Azubuike for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
99.2%
Isaiah Azubuike run for no gain to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
99.3%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Reed TylerSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+50
99.3%
Blake Grupe 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.4%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+6
99.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 6 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Ryan Graham run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Ryan Graham run for no gain to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 2 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Cody Grace punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
99.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 14 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 15 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 13 yds to the ArkSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 23Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+12
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 12 yds to the ArkSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 6 yds to the ArkSt 5Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 5 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.7%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+12
99.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 12 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
99.7%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+3
99.7%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.8%
James Cook run for 37 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Ryan Graham run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.8%
Logan Bonner sacked by Azeez Ojulari and Tyler Clark for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+17
99.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 17 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Omar BaylessSimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 1 yd to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Cody Grace punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:46100% → 100%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+14
99.8%
Stetson Bennett run for 14 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 13 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 28 yds to the ArkSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Trey Blount for 13 yds to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Zamir White 1 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Azubuike run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 5 yds to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Cody Grace punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 11 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Zamir White for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-10
99.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 48 yds , B.J. Edmonds returns for 8 yds to the ArkSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
99.9%
DJ Chatman run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
DJ Chatman run for 3 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.9%
DJ Chatman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Omar Bayless for 5 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Cody Grace punt for 40 yds, downed at the Geo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 3Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+9
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 9 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Willie Erdman for 12 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Prather Hudson for 14 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 62 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23INT
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
DJ Chatman run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
DJ Chatman run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
DJ Chatman run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
100.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 45 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
100.0%
DJ Chatman run for 1 yd to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Brandon BowlingSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 4 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+15
100.0%
Layne Hatcher pass intercepted Lewis Cine return for 15 yds to the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Nathan Priestley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 61 yds, fair catch by Brandon Bowling at the ArkSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 4 yds to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Layne Hatcher run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-6
100.0%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Jermaine Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Cody Grace punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:47
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 60 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 10:21
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 48 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q1 1:08
Rodrigo Blankenship 41 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com