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UTM

UT Martin 0 at Florida 45

FLA
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:12 · Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+27.8Home team on offense+33.1Score differential+29.0Garbage-time factor+9.0Blowout margin+14.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:35: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 69 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:00: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 35 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:00: Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the Fla 13 — FLA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:52: Malik Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:49: Lamical Perine run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:46UTM 4th & 15 at UTM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45FLA 4th & 3 at UTM 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:08UTM 4th & 2 at UTM 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:24FLA 4th & 2 at UTM 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:50UTM 4th & 16 at FLA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:51UTM 4th & 5 at UTM 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17UTM 4th & 26 at FLA 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:22UTM 4th & 5 at UTM 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:12UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 46, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:09FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 47, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:08UTM 4th & 12 at UTM 35, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:47UTM 4th & 9 at UTM 35, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:00FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 43, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 8:35FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:00FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:52FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:49FLA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55FLA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:55FLA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
Jaylon Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnMar 20Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.4%
Peyton Logan run for 2 yds to the TnMar 22Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-2
99.4%
Peyton Logan run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 20Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.4%
Zane Cox punt for 33 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 1 yd to the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:4599% → 99%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 5 yds to the TnMar 47Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 1 yd to the TnMar 46Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+12
99.3%
Lamical Perine run for 12 yds to the TnMar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 9 yds to the TnMar 25Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
99.3%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the TnMar 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 5 yds to the TnMar 17Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
99.2%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the TnMar 13Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-2
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kyle Pitts for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 15Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
99.1%
Evan McPherson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:051% → 1%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
99.1%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 8 yds to the TnMar 17Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+3
99.1%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.0%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 5 yds to the TnMar 25Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
98.9%
John Bachus III run for 7 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
98.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 33Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
98.8%
John Bachus III pass complete to Peyton Logan for 3 yds to the TnMar 36Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+7
98.8%
John Bachus III pass complete to Peyton Logan for 7 yds to the TnMar 43Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
98.7%
Zane Cox punt for 41 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 1 yd to the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:3699% → 98%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.7%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+22
98.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 22 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.5%
Kadarius Toney run for no gain to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
98.4%
Lamical Perine run for no gain to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 8 yds to the TnMar 48Similar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+1
98.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the TnMar 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 3:342% → 2%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
98.3%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, False Start (Terry Fultz) to the TnMar 42Similar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+3
98.3%
John Bachus III run for 3 yds to the TnMar 45Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
98.2%
John Bachus III run for no gain to the TnMar 45Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+12
98.1%
John Bachus III pass complete to Peyton Logan for 12 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.9%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.9%
John Bachus III pass complete to Rodney Williams II for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-5
97.8%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, False Start (Aries Davis) to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
-5
97.8%
John Bachus III sacked by Jabari Zuniga and David Reese II for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 16
OPP 49
+1
97.9%
Zane Cox punt for 42 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 1 yd to the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
97.7%
Dameon Pierce run for 11 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
97.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
97.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
97.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 6 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
98.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 69 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
John Bachus III pass complete to Rodney Williams II for 4 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
98.1%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd to the TnMar 30Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.1%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Zane Cox punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:1598% → 99%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
98.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 2 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
98.0%
Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 5
50
+15
97.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 15 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 35 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:361% → 2%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Peyton Logan run for no gain to the TnMar 25Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.5%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 4 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
98.5%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 8 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.4%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+34
98.4%
John Bachus III pass complete to Peyton Logan for 34 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
98.1%
John Bachus III sacked by Lacedrick Brunson for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 17
OPP 36
-5
98.2%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Delay of Game (John Bachus III) to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 22
OPP 41
0
98.2%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Christian PhilpottSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 22
OPP 41
-4
98.3%
John Bachus III sacked by Jabari Zuniga for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 26
OPP 45
0
98.3%
Zane Cox punt for 37 yds, downed at the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:0099% → 98%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
98.9%
Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+12
98.9%
Malik Davis run for 12 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
98.6%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Cecil Cherry and Julian Crutchfield for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
98.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds to the TnMar 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:3898% → 99%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
98.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the TnMar 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+6
98.3%
Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
98.2%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (DaVonte Maura) to the TnMar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-15
98.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brett Heggie) to the TnMar 36Similar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 25
OPP 36
+10
98.2%
Lamical Perine run for 10 yds to the TnMar 26Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+23
98.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 23 yds to the TnMar 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the TnMar 1Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:011% → 1%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Peyton Logan run for 2 yds to the TnMar 27Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.2%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Davin DyalSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.2%
John Bachus III pass complete to Peyton Logan for 3 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Zane Cox punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:2599% → 100%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 8 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+9
99.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 9 yds to the TnMar 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.4%
Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
99.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Josh Hammond for 2 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 9 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+8
99.3%
Lamical Perine run for 8 yds to the TnMar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
99.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Stone Forsythe) to the TnMar 31Similar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+8
99.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the TnMar 23Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+8
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 8 yds to the TnMar 15Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+10
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 10 yds to the TnMar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for no gain to the TnMar 5Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Lamical Perine run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaimiee BoweSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
John Bachus III pass complete to Colton Dowell for 12 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-6
99.9%
John Bachus III sacked by Tedarrell Slaton and Zachary Carter for a loss of 6 yards to the TnMar 34Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+12
99.9%
John Bachus III run for 12 yds to the TnMar 46Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 1
OWN 46
-3
99.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 5 yds to the TnMar 38Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 6 yds to the TnMar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+15
99.9%
Jacob Copeland run for 15 yds to the TnMar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the TnMar 9Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 16INT
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 5 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Jarious Johnson run for 2 yds to the TnMar 32Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+48
100.0%
John Bachus III run for 48 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
John Bachus III pass intercepted, touchback. Kaiir Elam return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+24
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 24 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 3 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Tommy Townsend punt for 50 yds , Terry Williams returns for no gain to the TnMar 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:520% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
100.0%
Jarious Johnson run for 1 yd to the TnMar 4Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+4
100.0%
Jarious Johnson run for 4 yds to the TnMar 8Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+29
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass complete to Jeremy Horton for 29 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass complete to Rodney Williams II for 7 yds to the TnMar 44Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-7
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 7 yards to the TnMar 37Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-2
100.0%
Joe Hudson sacked by Khris Bogle for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 35Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Zane Cox punt for 43 yds, downed at the Fla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+41
100.0%
Iverson Clement run for 41 yds to the TnMar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
100.0%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (David Little) to the TnMar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
100.0%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the TnMar 16Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Emory Jones run for 16 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 3:47
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Zane Cox punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 35Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass complete to Lamarcus Young for 3 yds to the TnMar 37Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-2
100.0%
Joe Hudson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:00
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 35 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+1
TD · Q3 11:52
Malik Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 8:35
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 69 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com