Try the model
ECU

East Carolina 3 at NC State 58

NCSU
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Carter-Finley Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—NCSU 100.0%Jake Verity 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 58 · Q4 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jake Verity 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+31.0Blowout margin+20.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+18.2Garbage-time factor+7.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:13: Christopher Dunn 23 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +0.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:10: Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:26: Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 24 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:02: Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:49: Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 3 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ECU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 10:13NCSU 4th & 4 at ECU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:06ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:46ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:45NCSU 4th & 21 at ECU 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:31ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:01ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 38, down 24
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53ECU 4th & 22 at ECU 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:04NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 49, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:55ECU 4th & 17 at ECU 4, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:49NCSU 4th & 2 at ECU 3, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:35ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 23, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:47NCSU 4th & 6 at ECU 9, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:44ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 45, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:31ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 24, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00ECU 4th & 14 at NCSU 29, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 4:05NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:10NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:26NCSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:49NCSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:35NCSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:52NCSU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:31NCSU Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:4796% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+26
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 26 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Jalen PriceSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
95.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+4
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
95.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 19 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
95.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
95.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the ECaro 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-1
95.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 6Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
95.1%
Christopher Dunn 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
95.0%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
95.0%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+17
95.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 17 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
95.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Xavier Smith for 1 yd to the ECaro 38Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
95.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
94.9%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
95.0%
Jonn Young punt for 38 yds, downed at the NCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2294% → 95%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
94.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 18 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
94.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
94.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+26
94.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Brady Bodine for 26 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
94.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 14Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
94.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 14 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
94.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 26 yds to the NCSTATE 49 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, HOL ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
94.1%
Hussein Howe run for 12 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
94.1%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
94.1%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
94.2%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+23
94.1%
Reid Herring pass intercepted Nick McCloud return for 23 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5594% → 96%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 8 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
94.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+33
94.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 33 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
95.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:104% → 4%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Xavier Smith for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
95.6%
Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ECaro 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
95.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 2 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+21
95.7%
Jonn Young punt for 46 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 21 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:5996% → 97%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+31
96.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 31 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-1
96.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+24
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 24 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:403% → 3%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 8 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-6
97.1%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 27 Anthony Scott fumbled, recovered by ECaro Anthony ScottSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Jonn Young punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.6%
Brady Bodine run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+29
97.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 29 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
97.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 17 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
97.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 12
OPP 34
-9
97.6%
Ryan Finley sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 21
OPP 43
0
97.4%
A.J. Cole III punt for 37 yds, downed at the ECaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
97.3%
Trace Christian run for 3 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+3
97.3%
Trace Christian run for 3 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
97.3%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
97.3%
Jonn Young punt for 34 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the ECaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11INT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
97.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+7
97.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
97.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 7 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
97.9%
Brady Bodine run for no gain to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
97.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+5
97.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (Jalen Price) to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-13
97.9%
Jakobi Meyers sacked by Chance Purvis and Bruce Bivens for a loss of 13 yards to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 23
OPP 32
+16
97.9%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted Daniel Charles return for 16 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.3%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Hussein Howe for 6 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
97.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
97.4%
Jonn Young punt for 32 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the NCSt 43 Thayer Thomas fumbled, recovered by ECaro Bennett BoatengSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:413% → 3%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
97.2%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 17
50
0
97.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 17
50
-5
97.5%
Reid Herring sacked by Deonte Holden for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 22
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Jonn Young punt for 32 yds, downed at the NCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 0:4398% → 99%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
98.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 13 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
98.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
50
0
98.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
50
+24
98.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 24 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
98.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 15 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+28
99.4%
Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Mydreon VinesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Jonn Young punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 2 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+12
99.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
99.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.6%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.5%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-10
99.6%
Reid Herring sacked by Tim Kidd-Glass for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 17
OWN 4
0
99.6%
Jonn Young punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
99.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 17 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+5
99.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+9
99.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
99.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the ECaro 3Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
99.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 3 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.7%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+27
99.7%
Kingsley Ifedi pass intercepted Jarius Morehead return for 27 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q3 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.8%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ECaro 20Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Germaine Pratt at the NCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+19
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 19 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
99.8%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+11
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Devin Carter for 11 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+22
99.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 22 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 2 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi MeyersSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 2 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q4 12:47
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
99.9%
Christopher Dunn 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 1 Hussein Howe fumbled, forced by Alim McNeill, recovered by NCSt Brock Miller , return for 12 yds to the ECaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Garrett Bradbury run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 3
50
-5
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jonn Young punt for 52 yds, downed at the NCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 97 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+86
99.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 86 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Woody Cornwell run for 11 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 20Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Caiden Norman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Caiden Norman pass complete to Jonathan Johnson for 4 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Jonn Young punt for 37 yds, downed at the NCSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 29FUMBLE
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
100.0%
Damontay Rhem run for 13 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
100.0%
Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Matthew McKay run for no gain to the ECaro 38Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+12
100.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Damontay Rhem for 12 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
100.0%
Damontay Rhem run for 3 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
100.0%
Will Dabbs run for 5 yds to the ECaro 22 Will Dabbs fumbled, recovered by ECaro Michael WitherspoonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 30FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+53
100.0%
Anthony Scott run for 53 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 26Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-3
100.0%
Caiden Norman run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 29 Caiden Norman fumbled, recovered by ECaro Anthony ScottSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+46
100.0%
Jake Verity 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:10
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 11:26
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 24 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+1.3
FG · Q2 0:02
Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOOD
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com