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NCSU

NC State 13 at Texas A&M 52

TA&M
2018 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2018 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:31 · Matthew McKay run for 1 yd to the TexAM 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+35.0Pregame prior+2.9Score differential+30.9Garbage-time factor+10.0Blowout margin+16.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 9 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:43: Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:32: Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +7.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:18: Ryan Finley pass intercepted for a TD Tyrel Dodson return for 78 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +9.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:44: Trayveon Williams run for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NCSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:10NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14TA&M 4th & 14 at NCSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21NCSU 4th & 3 at TA&M 26, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:06NCSU 4th & 1 at TA&M 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:02TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:45NCSU 4th & 7 at TA&M 32, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:23TA&M 4th & 1 at NCSU 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−1.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−6.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:33NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:47NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:14NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:33NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 47, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:09NCSU 4th & 23 at TA&M 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:36NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 25, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:38TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 3, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:31NCSU 4th & 5 at TA&M 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:17TA&M 4th & 11 at NCSU 18, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:52NCSU 4th & 2 at NCSU 33, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 7NCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:34TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56NCSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:43TA&M Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:32TA&M Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:18TA&M Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:44TA&M Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:56TA&M Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:22TA&M Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:0968% → 69%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
68.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 9 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+62
68.5%
Kellen Mond run for 62 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1131% → 31%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
68.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
68.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
68.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
68.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 4:5169% → 70%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
68.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 9 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
69.0%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.2%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
69.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
69.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 5 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+9
70.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 9 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
70.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+1
70.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the NCSt 43Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
70.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
70.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
69.9%
Braden Mann punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:4630% → 32%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
70.0%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+26
70.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Cary Angeline for 26 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
69.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Cary Angeline for 7 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
69.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
69.7%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
69.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 10 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
69.4%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+14
70.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 14 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
69.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
69.6%
Thomas, Thayer rush for 3 yards to the TEXASAM35, PENALTY TEXASAM offside 5 yards to the TEXASAM33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
69.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-1
69.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+3
69.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
68.5%
Christopher Dunn 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3769% → 69%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
68.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
68.7%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Eurndraus Bryant return for no gain to the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3133% → 38%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.2%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
67.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 8 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
67.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+4
67.9%
Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
66.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 9Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 5
OPP 9
+9
61.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 9 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3364% → 62%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
63.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
62.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+14
62.1%
Braden Mann punt for 51 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 14 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0939% → 42%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
61.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 21 yds to the TEXASAM 46 NC STATE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Emeka Emezie) to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 4
OWN 39
+6
61.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 6 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
61.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 20 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
60.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+3
61.2%
Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
57.9%
Christopher Dunn 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:1359% → 59%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
58.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+30
57.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 30 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
61.6%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+13
59.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 13 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
59.7%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 1
OPP 26
-1
58.5%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4544% → 43%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
56.2%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
55.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
56.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+21
56.6%
A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 21 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:4457% → 70%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
57.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 28 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
59.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+30
59.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 30 yds to the NCSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4834% → 33%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 6 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
66.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
67.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:1068% → 78%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
67.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+13
67.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 13 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
69.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+15
69.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 15 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
69.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 8 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
70.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
70.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 4 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+17
70.5%
Kellen Mond run for 17 yds to the NCSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
70.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
70.6%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the NCSt 6Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:1424% → 25%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
75.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 10 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
74.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+52
81.1%
Seth Small 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16INT TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:3624% → 17%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
76.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 12 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
75.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the NCSt 38Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+30
75.7%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 30 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
73.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+10
74.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 10 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+78
83.3%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted for a TD Tyrel Dodson return for 78 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:5715% → 13%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
85.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 9 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
84.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 36Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-7
85.8%
Ryan Finley sacked by Justin Madubuike for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 29 Ryan Finley fumbled, forced by Justin Madubuike, recovered by NCSt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+5
86.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 5 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+48
87.1%
A.J. Cole III punt for 38 yds, downed at the TEXASAM 28 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 2:2089% → 97%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+38
88.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 38 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
89.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
89.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+18
89.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 18 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
96.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 6:294% → 2%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 23Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
96.5%
Finley, Ryan pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NCSTATE18 (Johnson, Tyree), PENALTY TEXASAM face mask (Johnson, Tyree) 15 yards to the NCSTATE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
96.4%
Ryan Finley run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+9
96.6%
Ryan Finley run for 9 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+6
96.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+12
97.0%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+13
97.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 13 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
97.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-5
98.0%
NC STATE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 16
OPP 32
-7
98.1%
Ryan Finley sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 23
OPP 39
0
98.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 32 yds, downed at the TexAM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
1 play · 93 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+93
99.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 93 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 1 yd to the NCSt 30Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.8%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
A.J. Cole III punt for 72 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 3Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+7
99.8%
Braden Mann punt for 54 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
50
-2
99.8%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for 1 yd to the TexAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+35
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 35 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the NCSt 14Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-2
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 16Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-2
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
99.9%
Seth Small 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for 3 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Matthew McKay run for 1 yd to the NCSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Kwame Etwi run for 5 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+7
100.0%
Cullen Gillaspia run for 7 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Kwame Etwi run for 2 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+12
100.0%
Kwame Etwi run for 12 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
100.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 13Similar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Cullen Gillaspia run for no gain to the NCSt 13Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Cullen Gillaspia run for 13 yds for a TD (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
Damontay Rhem run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:43
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q3 11:18
Ryan Finley pass intercepted for a TD Tyrel Dodson return for 78 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 0:32
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com