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FLA

Florida 41 at Michigan 15

MICH
2018 · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl · Dec 29, 2018 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.2MICH 64.2%Evan McPherson 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 7 · Q2 12:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:22 · Evan McPherson 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−0.5Pregame prior+10.8Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:41: Feleipe Franks run for 20 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +11.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:06: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +11.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:34: Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +16.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:16: Jake Moody 26 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +5.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:21: Lamical Perine run for 53 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +5.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:07MICH 4th & 1 at FLA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:11FLA 4th & 19 at FLA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:29MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:37FLA 4th & 4 at MICH 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:22FLA 4th & 2 at MICH 9, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.5%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:08MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 34, up 1
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:54FLA 4th & 23 at FLA 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56MICH 4th & 10 at FLA 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06MICH 4th & 7 at FLA 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:57FLA 4th & 12 at FLA 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:40FLA 4th & 1 at MICH 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−4.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:41MICH 4th & 15 at MICH 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:16MICH 4th & 8 at FLA 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−8.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:20MICH 4th & 14 at MICH 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:58FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 2:03MICH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:41FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:06FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:34FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:21FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3765% → 65%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
65.4%
Shea Patterson run for 21 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
65.4%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
65.5%
Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
65.5%
Ben Mason run for no gain to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
65.4%
Ben Mason run for no gain to the Fla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:4935% → 35%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
65.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
65.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 14
OWN 34
0
65.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 14
OWN 34
-5
65.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kylan Johnson) to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 19
OWN 29
0
65.4%
Tommy Townsend punt for 66 yds, downed at the Mich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:4265% → 65%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
65.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Nick Eubanks) to the Mich 3Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+5
65.2%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Mich 8Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+3
65.1%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 11Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+27
64.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 27 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
65.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Mich 39Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
65.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-7
65.0%
Shea Patterson sacked by CJ Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
64.6%
Will Hart punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:4635% → 37%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
64.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
64.3%
Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+6
64.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 6 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+7
63.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 7 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+41
63.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 41 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.4%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Mich 3Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
63.2%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Josh Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 4Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
63.3%
Evan McPherson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2863% → 68%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
63.7%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+41
63.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 41 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
65.0%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
65.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 6 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
64.3%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
67.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3233% → 36%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
66.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 31 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
65.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
65.4%
Kadarius Toney run for 6 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
65.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
64.7%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+13
64.6%
Jordan Scarlett run for 13 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
64.6%
Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Mich 14Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
64.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan ScarlettSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+5
65.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
64.2%
Evan McPherson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0766% → 65%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
66.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Andrew Stueber) to the Mich 25Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tru Wilson for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
65.0%
Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.1%
Will Hart punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:0835% → 34%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
64.6%
Lamical Perine run for 19 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
62.7%
Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-10
62.6%
Franks, Feleipe rush for 2 yards to the MICHIGAN44, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Perine, Lamical) 10 yards to the FLORIDA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 18
OWN 44
0
64.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for no gain to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 18
OWN 44
0
65.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 18
OWN 44
-5
66.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Ventrell Miller) to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 23
OWN 39
-9
66.2%
TEAM punt blocked by J'Marick Woods recovered by Jordan Glasgow at FLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5369% → 68%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
69.4%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-6
69.5%
Shea Patterson sacked by Kyree Campbell for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+7
67.3%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 30, fumble forced by Polite, J, fumble by Patterson, Shea recovered by MICH Turner, Christian run for 7 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
67.5%
Jake Moody 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1032% → 46%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+30
66.5%
Feleipe Franks run for 30 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
65.4%
Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
64.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+7
65.7%
Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-9
64.3%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Devin Gil for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 19
OPP 35
+15
65.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 15 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
54.3%
Feleipe Franks run for 20 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:2758% → 56%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
57.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 14 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
58.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 4 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
60.0%
Chris Evans run for 8 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
60.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 4 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
60.7%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
57.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 9 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
58.5%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
57.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
55.6%
Jake Moody 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
52.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:5246% → 44%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
54.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
54.4%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-5
55.2%
Franks, Feleipe pass complete to Grimes, Trevon for 11 yards to the FLORIDA28, PENALTY FLORIDA illegal motion 5 yards to the FLORIDA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 12
0
55.2%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 12
OWN 12
+7
56.1%
Tommy Townsend punt for 47 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 7 yds to the Mich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 2:0258% → 58%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
57.6%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 8
50
+6
57.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 6 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
57.3%
Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+53
57.7%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Chauncey Gardner-Johnson return for 53 yds to the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3950% → 65%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
49.9%
Lamical Perine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+8
49.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 8 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
48.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 4 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+30
50.6%
Kadarius Toney run for 30 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1837% → 34%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the Mich 25Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
34.6%
Shea Patterson sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
33.5%
Will Hart punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 4:0166% → 90%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
34.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
33.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+30
34.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 30 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
28.8%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+30
28.0%
Jordan Scarlett run for 30 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.2%
Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Mich 1Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.8%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Mich 1Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.1%
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:1218% → 17%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 8 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
18.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
18.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 2 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+3
17.8%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+11
16.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 11 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
16.3%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+12
18.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 12 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
17.4%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Dean III, Trey) 15 yards to the FLORIDA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
15.8%
Evans, Chris rush for 2 yards to the FLORIDA4, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Stueber, Andrew) 10 yards to the FLORIDA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+2
13.6%
Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
12.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 6 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
17.4%
Jake Moody 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4991% → 99%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.0%
Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
8.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to C'yontai LewisSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+28
8.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 28 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
6.7%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 17
50
-3
6.6%
Van Jefferson pass complete to Feleipe Franks for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+53
1.3%
Lamical Perine run for 53 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:523% → 2%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.9%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
3.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Christian Turner for 16 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
3.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-4
2.9%
Shea Patterson sacked by Adam Shuler II for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
2.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tru WilsonSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+3
2.3%
Will Hart punt for 45 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 3 yds to the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21SF
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1799% → 100%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
1.3%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
1.1%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+8
0.9%
Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
0.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Khaleke Hudson for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:090% → 0%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
0.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 25Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+30
0.2%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted for a TD Chauncey Gardner-Johnson return for 30 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:34
Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q3 8:06
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q2 2:41
Feleipe Franks run for 20 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com