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HAW

Hawai'i 14 at Louisiana Tech 31

LT
2018 · SoFi Hawai'i Bowl · Dec 22, 2018 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:24 · Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense−2.6Pregame prior+5.2Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:20: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +8.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:37: Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo Ward HAWAII Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 45 — HAW win probability +8.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:27: Israel Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +12.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:44: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 58 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +14.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:55: J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +11.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 12:39HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:09LT 4th & 18 at LT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:33LT 4th & 7 at HAW 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:12HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:08LT 4th & 3 at HAW 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:51HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:04HAW 4th & 5 at LT 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:24HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12HAW 4th & 28 at HAW 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:21LT 4th & 2 at LT 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.8%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:21HAW 4th & 1 at LT 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−2.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−11.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:39HAW 4th & 16 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:00HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:54LT 4th & 6 at LT 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:53LT 4th & 21 at LT 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:49HAW 4th & 5 at LT 18, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−2.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:32HAW 4th & 21 at HAW 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:20HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:27LT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:44LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:55LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:14HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:45LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2141% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
59.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 16 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Keonatye Garner) to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
59.2%
Dayton Furuta run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-4
59.1%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 46 Cole McDonald fumbled, recovered by Hawa Cole McDonaldSimilar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-5
59.2%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Joey Nu'uanu-Kuhi'iki) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 17
OWN 49
0
59.2%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:3059% → 59%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
59.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+18
59.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 18 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
59.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+9
59.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
59.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+9
59.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 9 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
59.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Scheyenne Sanitoa for a loss of 8 yards to the LATECH 45 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (J'Mar Smith) to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 18
OWN 45
0
59.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 18
OWN 45
0
59.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Javonte WoodardSimilar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 18
OWN 45
+4
59.1%
Davan Dyer punt for 54 yds , JoJo Ward returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:2341% → 40%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
59.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 12 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
59.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
59.2%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
59.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 18
+12
59.6%
Ben Scruton punt for 40 yds , Cee Jay Powell returns for 12 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1360% → 59%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
60.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-15
60.1%
Dancy, Jaqwis rush for 6 yards to the HAWAII35, PENALTY LATECH personal foul (Rodriguez, Michael) 15 yards to the LATECH44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+3
59.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+10
59.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 10 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
59.3%
Davan Dyer punt for 33 yds, downed at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2141% → 40%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
59.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
59.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-9
59.6%
Cole McDonald sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
60.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:0461% → 62%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
60.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
60.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 13 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
61.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
61.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
61.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
61.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 8 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-1
61.3%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
61.5%
Bailey Hale 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:0940% → 38%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
59.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Delay of Game (Chevan Cordeiro) to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+2
60.6%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
60.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-1
61.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
61.9%
Ben Scruton punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:1061% → 64%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
61.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
61.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+10
60.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
62.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+12
61.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
63.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
63.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 6 yds Adrian Hardy fumbled, forced by Rojesterman Farris II, recovered by Hawa Kendall HuneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:2139% → 47%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
61.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 22 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
59.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 14 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
59.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
58.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
59.6%
Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+6
61.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 6 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
52.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10INT
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5256% → 58%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
55.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
50
+16
56.8%
Alfred Smith run for 16 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
58.0%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
58.0%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Kendall Hune return for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0447% → 45%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
52.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Collin Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-7
53.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 18
OWN 26
+4
54.2%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
54.8%
Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:4754% → 56%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
53.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
53.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 5 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+21
54.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rojesterman Farris II) to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
56.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
55.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 3 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+11
55.5%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Zeno Choi for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 40 J'Mar Smith fumbled, forced by Zeno Choi, recovered by Hawa Kana'i Picanco , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · -17 yds · 1:2553% → 50%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
47.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo Ward HAWAII Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 25
OWN 45
+16
49.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 16 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+15
47.7%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the LATECH49 (Ferguson, Jaylon), PENALTY LATECH face mask 15 yards to the LATECH24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-15
46.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Solo Vaipulu) to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
48.2%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass complete to Armstrong-Brown, Marcus for 10 yards to the LATECH29, PENALTY HAWAII personal foul (Vaipulu, Solo) 15 yards to the HAWAII46, NO PLAY, PENALTY HAWAII unsportsmanlike conduct (Nu'uanu-Kuhi'iki, Joey) 15 yards to the HAWAII31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 40
OWN 31
+5
49.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 5 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 35
OWN 36
0
49.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 35
OWN 36
+7
50.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 7 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 28
OWN 43
0
50.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
48.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3151% → 50%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
51.4%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
53.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
52.3%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
49.6%
Praise Okorie run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:2255% → 55%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
45.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew SharshSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
45.4%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
46.2%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
47.9%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
44.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Jacorion Andrews and Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 16
OPP 34
+3
45.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted for a 1ST down Jordan Baldwin return for 18 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Ilm Manning) to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:3253% → 68%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
53.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+46
55.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 41 yds to the LATECH 10 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Solomon Matautia) to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.0%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4837% → 36%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.7%
Fred Holly III run for 10 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
62.0%
Fred Holly III run for 21 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
59.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
59.2%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-6
60.6%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 16
50
0
64.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 2:5564% → 82%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
64.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
64.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 9
-4
62.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Hanner Shipley) to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+25
62.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 25 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
65.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
66.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 7 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
67.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+58
81.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 58 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2820% → 18%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
80.0%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
80.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
81.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
82.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 2:0582% → 94%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
81.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
83.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+54
82.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 54 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:007% → 7%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
93.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+9
92.9%
Fred Holly III run for 9 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
93.2%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
93.5%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Amik Robertson return for no gain to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5694% → 95%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
94.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-5
95.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Michael Rodriguez) to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
95.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+50
94.9%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LATECH 35 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (Manu Hudson-Rasmussen) to the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:205% → 4%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.7%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
94.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
94.7%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
94.8%
Fred Holly III run for 8 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+7
94.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+37
95.6%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Amik Robertson return for 27 yds to the LaTch 19 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Zeno Choi) to the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4196% → 96%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
96.2%
HAWAII Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ilm Manning) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
96.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-10
96.1%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Kaimana Padello for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 21
OWN 49
+19
96.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Scheyenne Sanitoa blocked by Scheyenne Sanitoa Eugene Ford return for 9 yds to the LATECH 42 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:394% → 11%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
95.8%
McDonald, Cole pass incomplete, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (Andrews, Jacorion) 15 yards to the LATECH23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
95.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 3 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
95.3%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 17
-1
95.8%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 18Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+11
96.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 11 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q4 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:2591% → 99%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
91.2%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
91.9%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
92.2%
Israel Tucker run for 9 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
92.8%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
93.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+39
98.7%
Kam McKnight run for 39 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 3:132% → 2%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.1%
Genta Ito run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
98.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Genta Ito for 6 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
98.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 20
OWN 26
-4
98.4%
Cole McDonald sacked by Charles Adeola for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 24
OWN 22
+3
98.4%
Genta Ito run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:44
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 58 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q3 10:27
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q3 0:55
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com