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HAW

Hawai'i 31 at San Diego State 30

SDSU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:46 · Christian Chapman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 55Pregame prior+31.0Home team on offense+1.9Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:11: Cole McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +6.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:19: Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +8.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:07: Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaac Lessard for 13 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +33.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +23.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Juwan Washington run for 25 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 00:00 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SDSU win probability +21.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38HAW 4th & 5 at SDSU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:20HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:27SDSU 4th & 17 at SDSU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46SDSU 4th & 1 at HAW 4, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:01SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 39, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:53SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:29SDSU 4th & 10 at HAW 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:29HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:38SDSU 4th & 8 at HAW 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−1.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00SDSU 4th & 21 at SDSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−7.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:13HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−3.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:07SDSU 4th & 1 at HAW 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−3.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−17.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:10HAW 4th & 5 at SDSU 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−6.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:20SDSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:20SDSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52HAW Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:11HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:19HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:07SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.8%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
88.8%
Christian Chapman run for 9 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-1
88.8%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
88.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FG
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:1712% → 14%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
88.2%
URSUA, John rush for no gain to the UH15 (BALDWIN,Parker), PENALTY SDSU offside 5 yards to the UH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 5
OWN 20
+4
88.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 4 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
88.1%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+49
88.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 49 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
88.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 14 yds to the SDSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
88.0%
Cole McDonald sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 17Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+12
88.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cameron Hayes for 12 yds to the SDSt 5Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.1%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
86.4%
Ryan Meskell 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
87.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 76 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Fred Holly III for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
87.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+37
87.5%
Stan Gaudion punt for 37 yds , Garrett Binkley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
87.0%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
87.0%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Fred TrevillionSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-10
86.9%
CHAPMAN,C. rush for 10 yards to the SDSU46 (BETHLEY, Khoury), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+2
86.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+3
86.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 50 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 3 yds to the Hawa 5 Justice Augafa fumbled, forced by Trenton Thompson, recovered by SDSt Dwayne Johnson Jr. , return for 15 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.3%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2812% → 17%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
87.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
87.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 8 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
87.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 48Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+25
87.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 25 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
87.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 10 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
87.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 3 yds to the SDSt 14Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
87.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the SDSt 9Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
87.3%
John Ursua run for 3 yds to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Luq BarcooSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
87.0%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
86.9%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to URSUA, John, PENALTY SDSU pass interference 8 yards to the SDSU2, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Elijah Dale for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
84.8%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+10
85.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 10 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
85.3%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
85.5%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.5%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
85.4%
Jordan Byrd run for 16 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
85.7%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+5
85.7%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
85.7%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
85.7%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the Hawa 4Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
85.3%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the Hawa 4Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-1
85.0%
Christian Chapman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 3:2517% → 26%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
82.8%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+37
82.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 37 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
81.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Miles Reed for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+47
81.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 47 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
80.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 6 yds to the SDSt 2Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.5%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.8%
Cole McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
76.0%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the SDSt 30Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
75.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 7 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
76.6%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
76.3%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Ward at the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:5226% → 39%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
73.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 21 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+44
72.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 44 yds to the SDSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
71.3%
Cole McDonald run for 1 yd to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
71.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+13
61.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:2662% → 60%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.2%
Christian Chapman run for 10 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
62.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 6 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
62.1%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
61.3%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
60.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Ward at the Hawa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:1639% → 39%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
61.3%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
60.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 6 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
60.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
60.7%
Fred Holly III run for 7 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
60.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-10
60.5%
MCDONALD, Cole pass complete to URSUA, John for 4 yards to the UH26 (CASSIDY,Troy), PENALTY UH holding 10 yards to the UH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 20
OWN 12
0
60.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Fred Holly III for no gain to the Hawa 12Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+7
61.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
62.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3658% → 59%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
57.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 11 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
59.2%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
59.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 10 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
60.5%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
60.5%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kahale WarringSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
58.4%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+53
58.7%
John Baron II 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
56.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Parker BaldwinSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
59.1%
Ben Scruton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Garrett Binkley at the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
58.5%
Juwan Washington run for 9 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
61.3%
Christian Chapman run for 2 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
60.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 10 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
62.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+7
60.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 7 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
62.0%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Tim Wilson Jr.Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
60.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Ethan DedeauxSimilar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
58.0%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by JoJo Ward at the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 76 yds · 0:0048% → 53%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
52.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
52.8%
Miles Reed run for 9 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+41
52.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 41 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
48.3%
Miles Reed run for 15 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
47.5%
Miles Reed run for 9 yds to the SDSt 17Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
47.5%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
47.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
47.5%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the SDSt 15 Miles Reed fumbled, forced by Tariq Thompson, recovered by SDSt Tariq ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:3149% → 40%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
49.4%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
50.2%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+6
49.3%
Juwan Washington run for 6 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
50.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 12 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
52.8%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 42Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
51.4%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kahale WarringSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-10
50.0%
CHAPMAN,C. rush for 5 yards to the SDSU47 (PAVIHI, Penei), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 32
-1
40.8%
Christian Chapman sacked by Kaimana Padello and Zeno Choi for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+58
39.9%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 48 yds, fair catch by JoJo Ward at the SANDIEGOST 21 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
37.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 13 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
36.9%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+7
36.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
36.0%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-7
35.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
38.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+4
40.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 yds , Garrett Binkley returns for 4 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:5538% → 63%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
37.7%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 32Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
37.3%
Ryan Agnew run for 14 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
40.8%
Juwan Washington run for 20 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
45.1%
Juwan Washington run for 9 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
45.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kahale Warring, broken up by Kalen HicksSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
42.8%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
45.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kahale Warring for 8 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
45.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
42.8%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+13
63.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaac Lessard for 13 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:5746% → 50%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
54.4%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+28
56.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 28 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
47.6%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
46.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
47.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Troy CassidySimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
50.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 24 yds, downed at the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23MISSED FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 3:5359% → 67%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
59.1%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
59.7%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
60.0%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-2
62.6%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Derek Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 34Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+15
60.4%
AGNEW,Ryan pass incomplete to WILSON,Tim (FARRIS, R.), PENALTY UH pass interference 15 yards to the SDSU49, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
66.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 9
50
+8
66.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 8 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+15
62.8%
Ryan Agnew run for 15 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
66.8%
Juwan Washington run for 11 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
66.8%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+32
66.6%
John Baron II 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
41.1%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-5
43.0%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 26Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+15
43.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 15 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
40.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Darren HallSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
40.5%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the SDSt 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
43.0%
MCDONALD, Cole pass complete to WARD, JoJo for 5 yards to the SDSU0, clock 15:00, PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SDSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
19.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
41.2%
Juwan Washington run for 25 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 00:00 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-41.2
TD · Q4 6:07
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaac Lessard for 13 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (John Baron II KICK)
+33.9
TD · OT 0:00
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-23.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com