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UNLV

UNLV 28 at Hawai'i 35

HAW
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:03 · Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense−1.7Pregame prior+10.1Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:22: Lexington Thomas run for 45 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +11.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:21: Armani Rogers pass complete to Evan Owens for 16 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +13.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:42: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 64 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 11:42 (Chevan Cordeiro pass to John Ursua for Two-Point Conversion) — HAW win probability +14.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:23: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +28.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:25: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to John Ursua for 68 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +37.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UNLV made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:58UNLV 4th & 6 at HAW 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:04HAW 4th & 14 at UNLV 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:04UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:03HAW 4th & 1 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.2%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:58UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−2.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:22HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:31UNLV 4th & 11 at HAW 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:16HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06HAW 4th & 16 at UNLV 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:20HAW 4th & 21 at HAW 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−4.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:35UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 25, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:46HAW 4th & 5 at midfield, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.9%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:46HAW 4th & 3 at UNLV 27, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−8.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:46UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−3.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−4.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:16HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:29UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 22, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:34UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−6.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−4.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:17UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−5.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:17UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:18UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:29UNLV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:22UNLV Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:46HAW Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:21UNLV Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:42HAW Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    27.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:23HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−1.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:25HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1INT
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
64.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 43 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-1
64.1%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+36
64.1%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Drew Tejchman return for 36 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
63.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
63.7%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Solomon MatautiaSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
63.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Maxwell HendrieSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+16
63.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 31 yds, downed at the Hawa 15 UNLV Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:0564% → 64%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
64.0%
Fred Holly III run for 15 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
64.2%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
64.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
64.0%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jocquez Kalili) to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
64.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+27
64.2%
Cole McDonald run for 27 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
64.4%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the UNLV 14Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
64.4%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-6
64.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Gabe McCoy for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 14
OPP 18
+36
63.9%
Ryan Meskell 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:4636% → 42%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.4%
Evan Owens run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
64.0%
Evan Owens run for 8 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
63.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 47 Lexington Thomas fumbled, forced by Manu Hudson-Rasmussen, recovered by UNLV Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
63.7%
Evan Owens run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 1
50
+3
63.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.6%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Penei PavihiSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
63.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
63.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
64.0%
Max Gilliam run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
63.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+1
63.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+9
63.6%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
63.3%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
63.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
63.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
63.3%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Tyleek Collins for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
58.5%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 9 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0760% → 59%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
60.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 15 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
61.2%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
60.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
0
61.2%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 1
50
0
59.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:2943% → 55%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
57.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
57.3%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+6
57.6%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+6
58.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
56.6%
Jamaal Neal run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+8
56.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 8 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
57.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
56.3%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+1
53.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+3
54.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
44.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
44.9%
N/A pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
44.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-1
44.3%
Cole McDonald sacked by Jameer Outsey for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
44.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 46 yds , Tyleek Collins returns for no gain to the UNLV 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
44.3%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 4
50
+3
44.3%
Evan Owens run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
44.4%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
44.1%
Armani Rogers sacked by Manly Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
44.2%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
44.7%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
45.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
41.3%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
41.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
41.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 10
+9
41.0%
Ben Scruton punt for 46 yds , Tyleek Collins returns for 9 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:3859% → 71%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
40.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+45
28.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 45 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 2:1638% → 42%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
38.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 13 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
39.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
38.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 17 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
40.5%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
39.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+14
38.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 14 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
40.4%
Cole McDonald run for 10 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
39.7%
Cole McDonald sacked by Roger Mann and Salanoa-Alo Wily for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 16
OPP 23
0
42.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 16
OPP 23
0
41.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+41
41.9%
Ryan Meskell 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
28.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
31.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Justice Oluwaseun) to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
31.7%
Max Gilliam pass complete to Brandon Presley for 6 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
31.8%
Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+30
32.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds , Justice Augafa returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 28 UNLV Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Darren Palmer) to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
33.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
34.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 5 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
34.3%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-17
34.0%
Cole McDonald sacked by Gabe McCoy for a loss of 17 yards to the Hawa 34 Cole McDonald fumbled, recovered by Hawa , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 28
OWN 34
+7
30.8%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 21
OWN 41
0
31.6%
Stan Gaudion punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyleek Collins at the UNLV 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
24.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-1
25.0%
Evan Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+7
25.7%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+8
25.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 8 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0028% → 39%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
27.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Tyree JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
27.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+12
25.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dakota Torres for 12 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-2
28.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 5
50
+16
27.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 16 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
29.2%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
29.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 5 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
28.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+24
28.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 24 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
39.1%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
33.5%
Armani Rogers run for 18 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
30.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+6
30.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
31.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
30.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
30.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 5 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
30.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
32.6%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
30.4%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Devan Stubblefield) to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
29.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Dakota TorresSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+23
29.3%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Demitrious Gibbs return for 23 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:2076% → 90%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
23.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
23.4%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
10.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Evan Owens for 16 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
16.7%
Cole McDonald run for 1 yd to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
16.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Farrell Hester IISimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
16.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Farrell Hester IISimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
15.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 39 yds , Tyleek Collins returns for no gain to the UNLV 32 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
11.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+1
11.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
11.4%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+14
11.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 51 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 14 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:1315% → 30%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
15.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+64
29.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 64 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 11:42 (Chevan Cordeiro pass to John Ursua for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:0275% → 79%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
25.2%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
26.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+16
27.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 16 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
23.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
22.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
22.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-2
21.5%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 4:0430% → 63%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
30.1%
Fred Holly III run for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
32.1%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+4
29.7%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+17
30.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 17 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
34.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Fred Holly III for 1 yd to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
34.4%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
63.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.4%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
50.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 15 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.5%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
47.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-3
48.4%
Armani Rogers sacked by Penei Pavihi for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
53.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 40 yds, downed at the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:1757% → 95%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
56.6%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
58.0%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
57.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
95.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to John Ursua for 68 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
90.1%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
90.3%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
91.0%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
91.4%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
96.5%
Dayton Furuta run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:25
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to John Ursua for 68 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+37.8
TD · Q4 4:23
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+28.6
TD · Q4 11:42
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to JoJo Ward for 64 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 11:42 (Chevan Cordeiro pass to John Ursua for Two-Point Conversion)
+14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com