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USU

Utah State 56 at Hawai'i 17

HAW
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the Hawa 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior−33.3Home team on offense−14.2Score differential−13.8Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:57: Gerold Bright run for 18 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +2.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +4.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:31: Darwin Thompson run for 26 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:19: Darwin Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:51: Gerold Bright run for 47 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00HAW 4th & 6 at USU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:19HAW 4th & 8 at USU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00USU 4th & 1 at HAW 1, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47USU 4th & 8 at HAW 11, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:47HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:10HAW 4th & 11 at USU 27, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:57USU 4th & 10 at USU 27, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00USU 4th & 1 at HAW 30, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:17HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 46, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:08HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 16, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:43HAW 4th & 3 at midfield, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00USU 4th & 9 at HAW 41, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:23HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 28, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 0 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:54USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:27USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:57USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:00USU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:31USU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:17HAW Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:19USU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:51USU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:16USU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:43HAW Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
11.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 42 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
11.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 9 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-5
11.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (J.R. Hensley) to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
11.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
11.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
11.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:1488% → 88%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
12.3%
Aaren Vaughns run for 12 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
12.3%
Darwin Thompson run for 41 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
12.2%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
12.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax Raymond, broken up by Ikem OkekeSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
12.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 16 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Chase ChristiansenSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
12.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, targeting (Deante Fortenberry) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
12.4%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
12.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+15
12.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 15 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
12.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Gaje FergusonSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
12.5%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted David Woodward return for no gain to the UthSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:5187% → 88%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
12.6%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+43
12.5%
Darwin Thompson run for 43 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
12.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 13 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.0%
Darwin Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
12.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
12.6%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
12.6%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
12.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Kohl Levao) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-2
12.5%
Cole McDonald sacked by Tipa Galeai for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
12.5%
Ben Scruton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:3588% → 90%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
11.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 8 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-5
11.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Quin Ficklin) to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
11.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 9 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
11.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
11.8%
Jordan Love run for 9 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
11.7%
Gerold Bright run for 8 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
11.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
11.8%
Gerold Bright run for 9 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
11.8%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
9.8%
Gerold Bright run for 18 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:3310% → 11%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+51
10.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 51 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
10.8%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
10.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
10.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
11.2%
Ryan Meskell 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0790% → 94%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
10.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 13 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
10.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for a loss of 4 yards Ron'quavion Tarver fumbled, forced by Solomon Matautia,Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+22
10.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 22 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
10.0%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
10.0%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
10.1%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.7%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
5.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 19 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
5.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 7 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
5.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
5.3%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
5.3%
Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the Hawa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:5594% → 95%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
6.0%
Darwin Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+5
6.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 5 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+34
6.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 34 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
5.8%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
4.8%
Jordan Love run for 2 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
4.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
6.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
5.2%
Dominik Eberle 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kendall Hune N/A return for no gain to the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11DOWNS
16 plays · 53 yds · 5:374% → 3%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
3.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Gaje Ferguson) to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
3.9%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
4.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
3.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+10
3.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 10 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
3.7%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-5
3.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
3.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Devon Anderson) to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-2
3.6%
Cole McDonald sacked by Devon Anderson and Fua Leilua for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+15
3.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, roughing passer (Tipa Galeai) to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
3.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
3.7%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-5
3.7%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Kohl Levao) to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
3.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Andre GraysonSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 11
OPP 27
0
2.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd, broken up by Andre GraysonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0895% → 96%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
4.6%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the UthSt 27 Henry Colombi fumbled,Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
4.7%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
4.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Gerold Bright for no gain to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
3.9%
Taylor Hintze punt for 44 yds, downed at the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
2.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
2.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 14 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
2.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 17 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
2.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Gaje Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+8
2.3%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
2.2%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted, touchback. DJ Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
2.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:2997% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
2.9%
Henry Colombi run for 4 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
3.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Taylor Compton for 11 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
2.9%
Darwin Thompson run for 11 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
2.8%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Solomon Matautia) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.7%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
2.8%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
2.8%
Gerold Bright run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+4
2.9%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
2.6%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Jalen GreeneSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
1.5%
Darwin Thompson run for 26 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:143% → 4%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.0%
Fred Holly III run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
2.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
2.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
3.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
3.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
3.1%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+54
3.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 54 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 09:17 (Cole McDonald pass to JoJo Ward for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 1:5597% → 98%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
3.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+2
3.1%
Darwin Thompson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 13
50
+11
3.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 11 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
3.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Darwin Thompson for 3 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
3.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+5
2.9%
Darwin Thompson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
2.9%
Henry Colombi run for 25 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.7%
Darwin Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
1.1%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
1.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
1.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+2
1.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:2398% → 99%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
1.9%
Henry Colombi run for 5 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
1.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
2.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Dax Raymond for 6 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
0.7%
Gerold Bright run for 47 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.5%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal touching (JoJo Ward) to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
0.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 3
50
0
0.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 3
50
0
0.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:2799% → 100%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
0.6%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
50
+41
0.7%
Aaren Vaughns run for 41 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.5%
Gerold Bright run for 9 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.3%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
0.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 17 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
0.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Tipa Galeai) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
0.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
0.3%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
0.3%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
0.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for no gain to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+15
0.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
0.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 38 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
0.5%
Gerold Bright run for 16 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
0.4%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
0.4%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
0.4%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
0.5%
Taylor Hintze punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
0.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 6 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+23
0.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 38 yds, downed at the HAWAII 34 HAWAII Penalty, kick catching interference (Ikem Okeke) to the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25FUMBLE
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
0.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 14 yds to the HAWAII 37 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 6
OPP 47
-5
0.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 11
OWN 48
+1
0.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
0.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+6
0.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 6 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
0.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+5
0.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+4
0.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
0.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 9 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+5
0.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the Hawa 16 Eltoro Allen fumbled, forced by Khoury Bethley, recovered by Hawa Penei PavihiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
0.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 16 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:00
Jordan Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q1 4:57
Gerold Bright run for 18 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-2
TD · Q3 4:51
Gerold Bright run for 47 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com