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HAW

Hawai'i 20 at Fresno State 50

FRES
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-1FRES 94.5%Ryan Meskell 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 10:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:26 · Ryan Meskell 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+43.7Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.3Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:26: Ryan Meskell 43 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +1.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:30: Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 50 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +2.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. TD · Q2 14:11: Ronnie Rivers run for 76 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +1.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:58: Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 21 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller PAT MISSED) — FRES win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:00: Ryan Meskell 53 yd FG MISSED , Jamire Jordan return for 100 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK) — FRES win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:26HAW 4th & 4 at FRES 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21FRES 4th & 10 at HAW 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:57FRES 4th & 3 at HAW 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:35HAW 4th & 5 at FRES 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:49FRES 4th & 2 at HAW 14, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:45FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 45, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:47HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 43, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:36FRES 4th & 2 at HAW 4, up 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:36HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:25FRES 4th & 12 at HAW 21, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:43FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:37FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:30HAW Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:11FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58FRES Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:00FRES Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:43HAW Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:344% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
95.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 31 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.6%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+8
95.6%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
95.6%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 34
-2
95.6%
Cole McDonald sacked by James Bailey for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+6
95.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Miles Reed for 6 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+5
95.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, offside defense (Jeff Allison) to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
94.5%
Ryan Meskell 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+26
94.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 26 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
94.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+10
94.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 10 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Solomon MatautiaSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
94.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Manly WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
94.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Derrion GrimSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
94.5%
Blake Cusick punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
94.0%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
94.0%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 11
OWN 5
0
94.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Dayton FurutaSimilar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 11
OWN 5
+8
94.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 44 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 8 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:4294% → 94%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
93.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
94.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
94.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
94.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
94.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 19 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete, broken up by Jaron BryantSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
93.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
93.8%
MCDONALD, Cole rush for 1 yard to the UH35 (ALLISON, J.), PENALTY UH false start (LEVAO, Kohl) 5 yards to the UH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.9%
Ben Scruton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:2093% → 94%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
93.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
93.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
93.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 9 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
93.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
94.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 49 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:016% → 8%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Juju HughesSimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.0%
Elijah Dale run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+24
94.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 9 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
50
+50
92.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 50 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
93.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 76 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
93.8%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
93.9%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+8
94.0%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+10
94.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 10 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:1194% → 95%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
94.2%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+10
94.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 10 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+31
94.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 31 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
94.2%
Jared Rice run for 3 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
94.2%
HAWAII Penalty, offside defense (4 Yards) to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.2%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
94.8%
Asa Fuller 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:226% → 7%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
94.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 23 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
94.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 14 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
94.1%
Cole McDonald run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
93.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 7 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
93.8%
Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
93.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 11Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
93.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
94.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
93.3%
Ryan Meskell 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:2993% → 96%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
93.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+12
93.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 12 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
93.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+8
93.7%
Marcus McMaryion run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
93.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 11 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.8%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
93.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
93.6%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
96.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 21 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13MISSED FG TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:535% → 2%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
95.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 9 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-5
94.7%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to URSUA, John, PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass (FURUTA, Dayton) 5 yards to the UH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+18
95.0%
Cole McDonald run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
50
+15
96.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 15 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+100
98.0%
Ryan Meskell 53 yd FG MISSED , Jamire Jordan return for 100 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 5:0599% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
99.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 14 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.5%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+4
99.5%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Christian Cronk) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 15
50
+3
99.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+12
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 12 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.5%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 8 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+5
99.4%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.5%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+1
99.4%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
Asa Fuller 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Juju Hughes return for 31 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared RiceSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+10
99.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 6 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FUMBLE
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Anthoula KellySimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 11 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 6 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
99.6%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+12
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
99.6%
Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Juju HughesSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
99.6%
Elijah Dale run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 41 Elijah Dale fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Mykal WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-9
99.8%
KeeSean Johnson run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 46 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-14 Yards) to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+11
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 1
50
-5
99.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Jaron Bryant) to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Ward at the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.8%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+16
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 16 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
99.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
HOKIT, Josh rush for 4 yards to the UH34 (PICANCO, Kana'i), PENALTY FS holding (CRUZ, Alex) 10 yards to the UH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+36
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 36 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Derrion GrimSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
99.9%
Asa Fuller 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Mykal Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23MISSED FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 6:44100% → 100%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Cam Sutton for 4 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 10 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+24
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 24 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to David Tangipa for 6 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-5
99.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.9%
Jorge Reyna run for 8 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 2
OPP 11
-10
99.9%
HARRIS, Romello rush for 11 yards to the UH0, clock 05:30, PENALTY FS holding (ST. ANDREW, M.) 10 yards to the UH21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
99.9%
Asa Fuller 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
100.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 8 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+21
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
50
+7
99.9%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Sherman Coleman Jr.Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 13 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 11
OWN 15
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 12
OWN 14
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 21 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller PAT MISSED)
+2.8
TD · Q2 0:00
Ryan Meskell 53 yd FG MISSED , Jamire Jordan return for 100 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 14:30
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 50 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com