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NEV

Nevada 40 at Hawai'i 22

HAW
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:57 · Ramiz Ahmed 56 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime per score still needed
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−23.1Score differential−9.5Garbage-time factor−7.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Time per score still needed−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:06: Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 29 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +4.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:24: Devonte Lee run for 5 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +10.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:18: Elijah Cooks run for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NEV win probability +11.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:33: Toa Taua run for 13 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +11.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:59: Devonte Lee run for 6 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK) — NEV win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 11NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:14NEV 4th & 5 at HAW 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:14HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00NEV 4th & 9 at HAW 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:34HAW 4th & 2 at NEV 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:24HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:26NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:10HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 7 at NEV 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:30HAW 4th & 3 at NEV 3, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−11.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:57NEV 4th & 9 at HAW 39, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:57HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 39, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:33HAW 4th & 11 at NEV 19, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−7.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:33HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:17NEV 4th & 14 at HAW 35, up 19
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:03HAW 4th & 14 at NEV 34, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:11HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:06NEV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:24NEV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:18NEV Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:33NEV Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:15HAW Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.1%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:59NEV Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
50.0%
Ty Gangi sacked by Samiuela Akoteu for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+3
50.0%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+11
50.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 11 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
50.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Manu Hudson-RasmussenSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
50.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 7 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
50.0%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+7
50.0%
Quinton Conaway punt for 50 yds , JoJo Ward returns for 7 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
50.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-1
50.6%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+10
50.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 10 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.6%
Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
50.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-6
50.5%
Cole McDonald sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 11
OWN 29
-3
50.3%
Stan Gaudion punt for 40 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 28 Romeo Doubs fumbled, recovered by Hawa Noah BordenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:1152% → 55%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
52.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 22 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
52.1%
Cole McDonald run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 8Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:5647% → 46%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
53.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+6
53.0%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
53.0%
HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+13
53.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (13 Yards) to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
53.0%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+4
53.0%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
54.7%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks, broken up by Eugene FordSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
53.9%
Ramiz Ahmed 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
53.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
53.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
53.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Austin ArnoldSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
53.0%
Ben Scruton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:1546% → 51%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
53.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 13 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
53.4%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rojesterman Farris II) to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
53.0%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
48.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 29 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:0051% → 55%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
50.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 7 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+7
50.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 7 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
50.8%
Cole McDonald run for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
50.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Jomon DotsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+70
54.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 70 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
54.8%
NEVADA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:0047% → 47%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
53.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+8
53.3%
Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
52.8%
Toa Taua run for 10 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
52.6%
Toa Taua pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 9 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
52.6%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Kalen HicksSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
53.3%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+6
54.2%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
52.6%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
52.6%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.6%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
53.4%
Ramiz Ahmed 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:2654% → 58%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.4%
Dayton Furuta run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
55.2%
Dayton Furuta run for 12 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
55.9%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
56.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 5 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
55.9%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
57.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:0647% → 60%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
52.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 19 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
51.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for no gain to the Hawa 25 to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+15
51.3%
Ty Gangi run for 15 yds to the Hawa 10 Ty Gangi fumbled, recovered by Nevad Ty Gangi for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
51.3%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
40.4%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
44.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
44.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
43.6%
Stan Gaudion punt for 44 yds, downed at the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
43.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 14 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
41.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
41.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
41.6%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete, broken up by KK PadelloSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
42.7%
Ty Gangi punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2344% → 42%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
43.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 16 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
44.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
44.0%
Dayton Furuta run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-7
43.3%
Cole McDonald sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
42.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
37.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+6
36.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 6 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
37.1%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
37.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds Toa Taua fumbled, forced by Manu Hudson-Rasmussen, recovered by Hawa Penei PavihiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
42.6%
Cole McDonald sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
42.3%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+8
41.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 8 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
44.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
43.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
43.8%
Dayton Furuta run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+14
43.5%
Cole McDonald run for 14 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
46.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 3 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
46.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd, broken up by Asauni RufusSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
45.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
42.5%
Stan Gaudion punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1561% → 76%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
39.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 11 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
38.4%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
36.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 5 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
36.8%
Kelton Moore run for no gain to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
37.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 9 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+8
36.7%
Toa Taua run for 18 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
36.3%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
24.4%
Elijah Cooks run for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:4828% → 25%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
28.8%
Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
29.4%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+14
30.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 14 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
30.4%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+30
30.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 30 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
31.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 4 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
31.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the Nevad 2Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
30.3%
Dayton Furuta run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
25.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2878% → 81%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+31
21.7%
Toa Taua run for 31 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
21.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 36 yds to the HAWAII 30 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
19.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for no gain to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-4
19.6%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+5
20.3%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 9
OPP 39
+56
18.7%
Ramiz Ahmed 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
21.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
21.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
20.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 10
OWN 39
-2
19.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 18 Kaleb Fossum fumbled, forced by Ikem Okeke, recovered by Hawa Khoury BethleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 21%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
24.8%
Cole McDonald sacked by Lucas Weber for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+9
23.2%
Dayton Furuta run for 9 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
22.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 11
OPP 19
0
21.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:2784% → 97%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
16.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 12 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
15.8%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
15.7%
Toa Taua pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 5 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+8
15.2%
Devonte Lee run for 8 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
14.6%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
14.5%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
14.5%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+29
14.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 29 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
2.8%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
5.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Gabriel Sewell for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
5.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Asauni RufusSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
5.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 13 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
5.3%
Dayton Furuta run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
2.5%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-8
2.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+2
2.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 12 yds to the Hawa 25 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 14
OPP 35
0
2.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Toa Taua for no gain to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 14
OPP 35
0
2.9%
Quinton Conaway punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:484% → 8%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
4.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 13 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
4.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 11 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
4.6%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+23
4.7%
Cole McDonald run for 23 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
5.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Daniel BrownSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-15
5.2%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Solo Vaipulu) to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 25
OPP 45
+6
4.5%
Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+5
4.5%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Nevad 34 Cole McDonald fumbled, forced by Dom Peterson, recovered by Hawa J.R. HensleySimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+22
4.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 22 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
5.4%
NEVADA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nephi Sewell) to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 2 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 03:15 (John Ursua pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:0894% → 99%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
5.6%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+11
5.6%
Toa Taua run for 11 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
5.6%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Hawa 6 Toa Taua fumbled, forced by Paul Scott, recovered by Nevad Anthony PalomaresSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.9%
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.7%
Mel Davis run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
0.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:18
Elijah Cooks run for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-11.9
TD · Q4 10:33
Toa Taua run for 13 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q2 6:24
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com