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HAW

Hawai'i 44 at San José State 41

SJSU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsScore differential
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 181Pregame prior−0.3Home team on offense+2.0Time remaining−1.3Defense timeouts−0.1Offense timeouts+0.0Score differential−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:45: Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole McDonald pass for Two-Point Conversion) — HAW win probability +31.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:07: Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 4 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +29.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:34: Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +36.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Malike Roberson run for 13 yds for a TD Malike Roberson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +40.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Ryan Meskell 35 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +31.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:31HAW 4th & 4 at SJSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45HAW 4th & 4 at SJSU 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:38SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:18HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:19SJSU 4th & 20 at SJSU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:31HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:54HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:12SJSU 4th & 7 at HAW 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:12HAW 4th & 1 at SJSU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−2.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00SJSU 4th & 22 at HAW 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−3.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:54SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 17, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:45HAW 4th & 6 at SJSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:57SJSU 4th & 20 at SJSU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−4.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:13SJSU 4th & 17 at HAW 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−4.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q2 14:25SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:04SJSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:21HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:13HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:20SJSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:45HAW Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:07SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:34HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 7:1567% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.9%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
32.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
32.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
32.9%
Fred Holly III run for 12 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
32.9%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
32.9%
Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+4
32.9%
Cole McDonald run for 4 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
33.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 7 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-1
33.8%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
34.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Tre WebbSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+12
34.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 12 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
33.8%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete to URSUA, John (WEBB, Tre), PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass (MANNING, Ilm) 5 yards to the SJSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+2
34.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 2 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+9
34.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 9 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
34.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
34.9%
Ryan Meskell 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
35.1%
Thai Cottrell run for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 18Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+3
35.0%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+6
34.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 6 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
34.7%
CRAWFORD, Bryce punt 23 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UH personal foul (KEENE, Jeffery) 15 yards to the SJSU42, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
35.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+1
35.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 16 yds to the SJSU 47 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Thai Cottrell) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 12
OWN 42
+5
34.8%
Bryce Crawford punt for 51 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 5 yds to the Hawa 47 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 16
OWN 38
0
35.3%
Brendan Manigo run for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 16
OWN 38
0
35.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Malike RobersonSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+4
35.0%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
36.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Ethan AguayoSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+7
36.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 7 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+8
36.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 8 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
36.1%
Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
36.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd, broken up by Jonathan Lenard Jr.Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
36.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Zamore ZiglerSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 7
OWN 20
-6
36.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 42 yds , Tre Hartley returns for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4537% → 43%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-9
36.6%
Brendan Manigo run for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+17
36.2%
Bailey Gaither run for 2 yds to the SJSt 25 HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (Ikem Okeke) to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+42
37.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 42 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
38.4%
Brendan Manigo run for 4 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+11
38.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 11 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
39.4%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 2Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.1%
Boogie Roberts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
40.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
40.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
41.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+9
42.1%
Stan Gaudion punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 27 , Bailey Gaither returns for 9 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
41.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+26
41.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 26 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
43.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Solomon MatautiaSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
42.9%
Josh Love run for 1 yd to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-5
42.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-6
41.4%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 9 yds to the SJSU 47 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 20
OWN 38
+1
40.7%
Bryce Crawford punt for 52 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
42.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 12
OWN 9
0
43.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+5
44.0%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 7
OWN 14
0
44.4%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
54.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 55 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
50.7%
Elijah Dale run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
51.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
52.3%
Cole McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+20
53.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 45 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 20 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:3355% → 61%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
54.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Thai CottrellSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
54.6%
Brendan Manigo run for 7 yds to the SJSt 37 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-2
54.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+70
53.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 70 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.5%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
57.5%
Brendan Manigo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
56.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
61.4%
Bryce Crawford 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:5140% → 50%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
60.5%
Elijah Dale run for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+24
60.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 24 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
59.4%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
57.9%
Elijah Dale run for no gain to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
58.9%
Elijah Dale run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+14
59.5%
Elijah Dale run for 14 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
50.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Elijah Dale for 18 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12MISSED FG
22 plays · 42 yds · 2:1456% → 59%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
56.3%
Josh Love run for 1 yd to the SJSt 28 Josh Love fumbled, forced by Solomon Matautia,Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
57.7%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
57.1%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 8 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
58.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Malike RobersonSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
58.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 12 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
60.0%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+16
59.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 16 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
62.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
62.4%
Josh Love run for 7 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
61.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 4 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
62.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
62.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-12
61.2%
Josh Love sacked by Kaimana Padello for a loss of 12 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 22
OPP 32
+49
59.4%
Bryce Crawford 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
57.8%
Thai Cottrell run for 5 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
58.1%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+1
56.9%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+4
55.8%
Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:5644% → 54%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
56.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 15 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
55.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 2 yds JoJo Ward fumbled, forced by Boogie Roberts,Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
55.1%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
56.7%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+17
58.3%
Cole McDonald run for 17 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
54.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 16 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
54.8%
Fred Holly III run for no gain to the SJSt 3Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:4157% → 70%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
57.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 13 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
57.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Rojesterman Farris IISimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
57.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Thai CottrellSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
69.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 14 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:0034% → 39%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
66.2%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
66.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Tre WebbSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+41
67.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 41 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
60.9%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted Jonathan Lenard Jr. return for 18 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4470% → 74%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+24
70.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 24 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
72.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
72.8%
Malike Roberson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
71.9%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
72.9%
Josh Love sacked by Kaimana Padello for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 20
OWN 49
0
76.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Malike RobersonSimilar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 20
OWN 49
0
75.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Billy HumphreysSimilar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
74.4%
Bryce Crawford punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:5928% → 59%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Tre WebbSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
72.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 11 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
71.4%
Fred Holly III run for 4 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+18
70.8%
Fred Holly III run for 18 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
71.8%
Cole McDonald run for 9 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+4
71.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
70.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 8 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+14
71.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 14 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
71.8%
Cole McDonald run for 2 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+7
71.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 7 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
73.7%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
73.0%
Dayton Furuta run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 3Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole McDonald pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:3852% → 85%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
52.1%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to OLIVER, Josh, PENALTY UH pass interference (WILSON, Zach) 15 yards to the SJSU49, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
56.4%
Malike Roberson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+1
57.3%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
56.7%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-7
57.7%
Josh Love sacked by Kalen Hicks for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+43
55.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 43 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 4 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3323% → 62%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
75.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
74.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 14 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
72.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
73.3%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 11 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.7%
Elijah Dale run for no gain to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
71.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 12 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
73.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
74.4%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
76.7%
Dayton Furuta run for 6 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Ethan AguayoSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
38.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:2154% → 53%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
54.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 15 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
58.2%
Brendan Manigo run for 14 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
61.2%
Brendan Manigo run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
60.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
60.5%
Josh Love run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
63.3%
Josh Love sacked by Kendall Hune for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+5
58.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 5 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
57.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 12
OPP 37
-5
54.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
52.9%
Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:5752% → 57%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
48.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
46.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 8 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
46.5%
Cole McDonald sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+12
51.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 12 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
44.2%
MCDONALD, Cole pass incomplete, PENALTY SJSU offside (BRIDGES, Bryson) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
43.2%
Cole McDonald sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 34 Cole McDonald fumbled, recovered by SJSt Boogie Roberts , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
40.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
42.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 2 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
40.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 9 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
40.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Brendan ManigoSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
24.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 12 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
64.7%
Malike Roberson run for 13 yds for a TD Malike Roberson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25MISSED FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 57%
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
64.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Billy HumphreysSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
61.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
56.8%
Bryce Crawford 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 51%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
40.5%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the SJSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
43.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 2 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
49.4%
Ryan Meskell 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0060% → 45%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
40.5%
Cole McDonald sacked by Bryson Bridges for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 31
0
43.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 31
0
47.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
55.3%
Ryan Meskell 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0065% → 57%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
64.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 13 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
64.7%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the Hawa 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
64.7%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the Hawa 12Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-1
62.2%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 13Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
57.2%
Bryce Crawford 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 29FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
64.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Leki Nunn for 13 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
64.7%
Josh Love run for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
64.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+8
62.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Leki Nunn for 8 yds Leki Nunn fumbled, forced by Solomon Matautia, recovered by SJSt Jack SnyderSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+20
78.7%
Bryce Crawford 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 30FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 52%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Devan Stubblefield, broken up by Ethan AguayoSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
72.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+8
79.2%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 8 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
48.0%
Ryan Meskell 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 31FG
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 71%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 7 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+6
40.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 6 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
40.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by John ToussaintSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
40.5%
MCDONALD, Cole rush for 12 yards to the SJSU0, clock 15:00, PENALTY UH holding 5 yards to the SJSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
42.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by John ToussaintSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
46.3%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
29.5%
Ryan Meskell 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 32MISSED FG
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0041% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
41.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Leki Nunn for 5 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-5
41.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
35.4%
Josh Love sacked by Jahlani Tavai for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
27.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Leki NunnSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+47
23.3%
Bryce Crawford 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Malike Roberson run for 13 yds for a TD Malike Roberson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
+40.6
TD · Q4 4:34
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)
-36.9
TD · Q4 12:45
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole McDonald pass for Two-Point Conversion)
-31.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com