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DUQ

Duquesne 21 at Hawai'i 42

HAW
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadDUQ aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreDUQ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:26 · Mitch MacZura punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Justice Augafa at the Hawa 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+33.3Home team on offense+13.5Score differential+4.9Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:20: Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:32: Fred Holly III run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +1.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:48: Cole McDonald pass complete to Dakota Torres for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:11: Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Mitch MacZura KICK) — DUQ win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: DUQ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:13: Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK) — HAW win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5DUQ made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:15DUQ 4th & 8 at DUQ 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52DUQ 4th & 4 at HAW 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:03DUQ 4th & 1 at DUQ 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:58HAW 4th & 5 at DUQ 20, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:44DUQ 4th & 6 at HAW 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:16DUQ 4th & 18 at DUQ 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05HAW 4th & 1 at DUQ 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:26DUQ 4th & 10 at HAW 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:08HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:12DUQ 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:27HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00DUQ 4th & 16 at DUQ 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:11HAW 4th & 1 at DUQ 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 6DUQ made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:28DUQ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:32DUQ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:12HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:20HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:32HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:48HAW Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:11DUQ Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:13HAW Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1Uncategorized
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Tristin Kamaka for 8 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.0%
DUQUESNE Penalty, personal foul (Leandro Debrito) to the Duqsn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.0%
Fred Holly III run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+11
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Duqsn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Cole McDonald pass intercepted, touchback. Jonathant Istache return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Duqsn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for no gain to the Duqsn 35Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.8%
Daniel Parr run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 37Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
98.8%
Mitch MacZura punt for 38 yds, downed at the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
98.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 10 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 4 yds Cedric Byrd fumbled, forced by Leandro Debrito, recovered by Duqsn Spencer DemedalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 4TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:241% → 2%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.6%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+7
98.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kareem Coles Jr. for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
98.6%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+29
98.6%
Brett Brumbaugh pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 29 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
98.6%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 6Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch MacZura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 5TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.2%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari CrawfordSimilar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.2%
Lucas D'Orazio run for 3 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
97.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Aidan Cain for 20 yds for a TD (Mitch MacZura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2098% → 97%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
97.9%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 22 yds to the Duqsn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
98.0%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+8
98.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown for 8 yds to the Duqsn 35Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
98.0%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Devan Stubblefield for 6 yds to the Duqsn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
98.0%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Duqsn 22Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-10
98.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Duqsn 32Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+7
98.0%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Duqsn 25Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+25
97.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 25 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.1%
Nehari Crawford run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Lucas D'Orazio run for no gain to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+5
97.1%
Daniel Parr run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 48Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
97.1%
Mitch MacZura punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:5897% → 97%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+27
96.6%
Fred Holly III run for 12 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST down DUQUESNE Penalty, personal foul (Greg Claytor Jr.) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
96.7%
Cole McDonald run for 13 yds to the Duqsn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
96.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 5 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
96.6%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Duqsn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
96.6%
Fred Holly III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 40 for a 1ST down DUQUESNE Penalty, targeting (Leandro Debrito) to the Duqsn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.7%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Daquan WorleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-4
96.7%
Cole McDonald sacked by Chris Favoroso for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+9
96.4%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the Duqsn 20Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+20
96.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.1%
P.J. Fulmore run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+15
96.0%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.0%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari CrawfordSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
96.0%
P.J. Fulmore run for 4 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
96.2%
Mitch MacZura punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 4:1696% → 97%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
95.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd, broken up by Brandon StanbackSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+5
95.9%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+32
95.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 32 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
96.2%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Daquan Worley) to the Duqsn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
96.3%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 39Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+12
95.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 12 yds to the Duqsn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
95.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 6 yds to the Duqsn 21Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
95.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+9
95.6%
Fred Holly III run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric ByrdSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
95.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John UrsuaSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+10
95.6%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Daquan Worley) to the Duqsn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:564% → 4%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.1%
Lucas D'Orazio run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 22Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-5
96.1%
DUQUESNE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duqsn 17Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 14
OWN 17
0
96.1%
Lucas D'Orazio run for no gain to the Duqsn 17Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 14
OWN 17
-4
96.3%
Daniel Parr sacked by Kana'i Picanco for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 13Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 18
OWN 13
+21
95.9%
Mitch MacZura punt for 40 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 21 yds to the Duqsn 34 HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Duqsn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:5996% → 95%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
96.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 13 yds to the Duqsn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
96.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd for 4 yds to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+6
96.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
96.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Duqsn 34Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+11
96.1%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 11 yds to the Duqsn 23Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
95.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+8
95.6%
Cole McDonald run for 8 yds to the Duqsn 15Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
95.4%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to John Ursua, broken up by Spencer DemedalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 14INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.2%
P.J. Fulmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
95.3%
Daniel Parr run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
95.4%
Brett Brumbaugh pass intercepted Zach Wilson return for 13 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:4796% → 97%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.5%
Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 38Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+22
95.5%
Dayton Furuta run for 22 yds to the Duqsn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
95.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 12Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+4
95.6%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the Duqsn 8Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+6
95.4%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Daquan Worley) to the Duqsn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
96.9%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 13 yds to the Duqsn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
96.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 16 yds to the Duqsn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
96.7%
Daniel Parr pass complete to P.J. Fulmore for 1 yd to the Duqsn 46Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+9
96.7%
Nehari Crawford run for 9 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.5%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Daniel ParrSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
96.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Mitch MacZura punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Justice Augafa at the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
97.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 13 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
97.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
97.1%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
97.0%
Dayton Furuta run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd, broken up by Daquan WorleySimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.9%
Stan Gaudion punt for 50 yds , Isiah Adams returns for 2 yds to the Duqsn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
96.4%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kareem Coles Jr. for 10 yds to the Duqsn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
96.2%
P.J. Fulmore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duqsn 29Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-2
96.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for a loss of 2 yards to the Duqsn 27Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+14
96.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 14 yds to the Duqsn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.1%
P.J. Fulmore run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 45Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
96.0%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari Crawford, broken up by Tevarua EldridgeSimilar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Aidan Cain, broken up by Scheyenne SanitoaSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+5
96.4%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 1
50
0
96.0%
N/A punt for 30 yds, downed at the Hawa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.6%
Cole McDonald run for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
97.6%
Cole McDonald sacked by Jalen Booker for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
97.5%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+41
97.2%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 yds , Nehari Crawford returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:274% → 3%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.4%
Nehari Crawford run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
96.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari CrawfordSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+10
96.7%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 10 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
96.6%
Daniel Parr run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
96.6%
Lucas D'Orazio run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-10
96.7%
Daniel Parr sacked by Scheyenne Sanitoa for a loss of 10 yards to the Duqsn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 49
+3
97.0%
Mitch MacZura punt for 42 yds , Justice Augafa returns for 3 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 3:5998% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
97.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 20 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.6%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+22
97.6%
Dayton Furuta run for 22 yds to the Duqsn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-Brown, broken up by Reid Harrison-DucrosSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+16
97.8%
Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 16 yds to the Duqsn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
97.8%
Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the Duqsn 23Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
97.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
97.8%
Dayton Furuta run for 14 yds to the Duqsn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.8%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo WardSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.8%
DUQUESNE Penalty, personal foul (Jonathant Istache) to the Duqsn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.8%
Fred Holly III run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 1Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dakota Torres for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 22TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:211% → 3%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
99.2%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Lucas D'Orazio for 9 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Scheyenne Sanitoa) to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Lucas D'Orazio run for no gain to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
99.2%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Mitch MacZura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5898% → 100%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
97.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to Dayton Furuta for 19 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.9%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+27
97.9%
Elijah Dale run for 27 yds to the Duqsn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.0%
Elijah Dale run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 21Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
98.0%
Elijah Dale run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 16Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
97.9%
Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Marcus Armstrong-BrownSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+9
97.8%
Cole McDonald run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
99.5%
Daniel Parr sacked by KK Padello for a loss of 8 yards to the Duqsn 24Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+4
99.6%
Lucas D'Orazio run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 28Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+3
99.6%
Lucas D'Orazio run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:11
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Mitch MacZura KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q3 10:32
Fred Holly III run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q4 2:13
Cole McDonald pass complete to John Ursua for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Meskell KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com