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CCU

Coastal Carolina 37 at Georgia State 34

GAST
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:13 · TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:48: Tra Barnett run for 75 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +18.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:30: Ky'Jon Tyler run for 28 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +15.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:53: Tra Barnett run for 42 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +22.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:46: Alex James run for 3 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +21.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:54: Massimo Biscardi 23 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +20.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 10:07CCU 4th & 2 at GAST 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:58GAST 4th & 20 at CCU 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:18CCU 4th & 4 at GAST 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:24CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:48CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:46GAST 4th & 12 at GAST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−5.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:54CCU 4th & 5 at GAST 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−27.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:31GAST 4th & 6 at CCU 36, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.5 ptsWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%−3.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−13.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:57CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03CCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:10GAST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:08GAST Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:48GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:45GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:30CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:53GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:46CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5354% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
46.4%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
46.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 7 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
46.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-2
46.4%
Fred Payton sacked by Marterious Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+37
46.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 37 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
46.4%
Chance Thrasher run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
46.4%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 3 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+2
46.4%
Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
46.9%
Massimo Biscardi 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
47.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry, broken up by Jave BrownSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
47.0%
Barnett, Tra rush for 9 yards to the GSU35 (Bush, D.), PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GSU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+10
47.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+42
47.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 42 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
47.8%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
47.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-10
47.6%
Ellington, Dan pass incomplete, QB hurry by Johnson, S., PENALTY GSU intentional grounding 10 yards to the CCU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 20
OPP 37
0
46.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 26 yds, downed at the CCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 89 yds · 1:2953% → 56%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
47.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+6
47.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 6 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+80
44.4%
CJ Marable run for 80 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
44.5%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-5
44.6%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-1
44.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Seth Paige for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+26
43.8%
Brandon Wright punt for 46 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 26 yds to the GeoSt 49 GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the GeoSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:5057% → 64%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
42.7%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
35.9%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 25 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:5336% → 43%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
36.3%
PENALTY GSU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY CCU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
36.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 23 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael Makins) to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
37.6%
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
37.6%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+36
43.4%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 36 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 6:4157% → 64%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
42.7%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
42.6%
Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+13
42.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 13 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
42.2%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
41.4%
Alex James run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
41.6%
Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
41.4%
Alex James run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+14
41.4%
Payton, F. pass incomplete to Bell, S., PENALTY GSU pass interference (White, Quavian) 14 yards to the GSU19, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
41.3%
Fred Payton pass incomplete, broken up by - StephensmcqueenSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+14
41.4%
Fred Payton run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
41.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
41.3%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
41.5%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
36.0%
Massimo Biscardi 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:1038% → 43%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.8%
Seth Paige run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
38.3%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
37.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Seth Paige for 16 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
39.4%
Seth Paige run for 6 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+9
39.7%
Dan Ellington run for 9 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
39.7%
Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+6
40.9%
Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.9%
Tra Barnett run for no gain to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
38.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 10 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
39.1%
Seth Paige run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
39.1%
Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+4
37.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Tamir Jones for 4 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
39.1%
Seth Paige run for 6 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.1%
Seth Paige run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.3%
Seth Paige run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:4462% → 65%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.4%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
37.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 5 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
37.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-6
36.6%
Fred Payton sacked by Terry Thomas and Marterious Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+12
37.4%
Fred Payton run for 12 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
35.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 55 yds, downed at the GeoSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
37.6%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
52.9%
Tra Barnett run for 75 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
48.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
49.7%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
51.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3353% → 70%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.2%
Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
55.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 31 yds to the GEORGIAST 37 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal use of hands (Cornelius McCoy) to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
56.1%
Devin Gentry run for 10 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
69.6%
Dan Ellington run for 42 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1534% → 55%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+28
65.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 28 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
62.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
62.3%
Fred Payton run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
60.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+28
44.8%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for 28 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0054% → 58%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
55.7%
Seth Paige run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.1%
Seth Paige run for no gain to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
56.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin GentrySimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+10
54.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
57.8%
Devin Gentry run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 47 Devin Gentry fumbled, recovered by CCaro C.J. BrewerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
46.4%
Malcolm Williams run for no gain to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
46.8%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
46.3%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
45.2%
Fred Payton sacked by Victor Heyward and - Stephensmcqueen for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+15
45.2%
Payton, F. pass incomplete to Miller, J., PENALTY GSU pass interference (Gore, Tyler) 15 yards to the GSU20, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
44.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 15 Marcus Outlow fumbled, forced by Marterious Allen, recovered by GeoSt Ed CurneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:2454% → 79%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
53.8%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+25
53.7%
Tra Barnett run for 25 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
56.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 18 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
79.2%
Tra Barnett run for 42 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 57 yds · 6:5831% → 54%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
69.3%
Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
68.0%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
67.7%
Alex James run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
69.8%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
69.2%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for no gain to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
70.4%
Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
67.9%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Shadell BellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-10
68.0%
Payton, F. pass incomplete to Holmes, T. (Jones, Jaylon), PENALTY CCU holding 10 yards to the GSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+22
72.0%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 22 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
67.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 14 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
67.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for no gain to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
67.3%
Fred Payton run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.6%
Alex James run for 3 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
55.5%
Seth Paige run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
56.2%
Seth Paige run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+15
55.1%
Seth Paige run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
60.2%
Tra Barnett run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
57.7%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Tamir JonesSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
55.0%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Mallory ClaybourneSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+4
53.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 4 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:5655% → 80%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+48
45.0%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 48 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
50.0%
Fred Payton run for 1 yd to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+17
50.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 17 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
48.2%
Fred Payton run for 9 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
44.7%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
45.8%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.2%
Alex James run for no gain to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.2%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.4%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Quavian WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
20.0%
Massimo Biscardi 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:2333% → 26%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
33.2%
Dan Ellington run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
36.7%
Seth Paige run for no gain to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
35.0%
Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
35.7%
Dan Ellington sacked by Teddy Gallagher for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+10
22.4%
Tra Barnett run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+21
23.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 21 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
30.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 4 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
30.8%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
29.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
26.0%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:53
Tra Barnett run for 42 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)
+22.3
TD · Q4 9:46
Alex James run for 3 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-21.7
FG · Q4 2:54
Massimo Biscardi 23 yd FG GOOD
-20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com